Cleveland Guardians vs Toronto Blue Jays Picks and Predictions June 26th 2025

Cleveland Guardians vs Toronto Blue Jays June 26th 2025

The Toronto Blue Jays are set to play against the Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH. This afternoon game will take place on Thursday, June 26, 2025, at 1:10 PM. Fans can catch the game on SNET as the Blue Jays, managed by John Schneider, look to improve their 42-37 record.

The Cleveland Guardians, led by manager Stephen Vogt, hold a 40-38 record this season. They aim to capitalize on their strong home record of 20-16. Kevin Gausman will start for the Blue Jays, while Tanner Bibee takes the mound for the Guardians. The weather forecast predicts a warm day with broken clouds and a calm crosswind.

Blue Jays vs Guardians Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians
• Venue: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH
• Date: Thursday, June 26, 2025
• Betting Odds: Blue Jays MoneyLine -105, Guardians MoneyLine -114

The Blue Jays Can Win If…

The Toronto Blue Jays recently faced the Cleveland Guardians, losing 4-5. Despite the loss, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hit a home run and scored twice, while George Springer added two RBIs. Max Scherzer pitched five innings, allowing three earned runs and striking out four.

The Blue Jays’ batting lineup is a strength, with a team batting average of .256, ranking 3rd in the league. They have also hit 134 doubles, placing them 6th. Their ability to get on base and create scoring opportunities is evident with their on-base percentage ranking 5th.

Kevin Gausman is set to start for the Blue Jays with a WHIP of 1.13, indicating his ability to limit base runners. The Blue Jays also lead the league in strikeouts, with 706, showing their pitching can overpower opponents. With their strong hitting and pitching, the Blue Jays have a solid chance to win this game.

The Guardians Can Win If…

The Cleveland Guardians enter their next game with momentum from a narrow 5-4 win over the Toronto Blue Jays. In that game, Lane Thomas hit a home run and Gabriel Arias drove in two runs. Pitcher Gavin Williams delivered a solid performance, pitching over five innings with three earned runs.

Key stats indicate the Guardians’ potential to win. They have hit 79 home runs this season, ranking 18th in the league. Their pitching is also strong, with an ERA of 3.89, placing them 15th, and they have given up only 80 home runs, ranking 9th.

José Ramírez is a standout player for Cleveland, with a batting average of .318 and 13 home runs. Tanner Bibee, with an ERA of 3.86, will start on the mound and aims to improve his 4-7 record. The Guardians’ ability to combine solid hitting and pitching makes them a strong contender in this game.

The Lean

The Blue Jays are the underdog with a moneyline of -105, while the Guardians are favored at -114. Our model projects the Blue Jays to win with a score of 5-4. The Blue Jays have a strong batting average and on-base percentage, which could give them an edge. Therefore, the recommendation is to pick the Blue Jays to win straight up.

The current over/under line is set at 8.0 runs. Our model projects a total score of 9 runs. Both teams have shown potential in their hitting stats, with the Blue Jays ranking high in batting average. Given this, the recommendation is to take the over on the total runs.

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Guardians Aim to Clinch Series Over Blue Jays in Thursday Finale

The Cleveland Guardians and Toronto Blue Jays are set to close out their competitive three-game set Thursday afternoon, each riding high from recent highlights. Cleveland will turn to Tanner Bibee (4-7, 3.86 ERA), while Toronto counters with veteran Kevin Gausman (5-6, 4.60 ERA), as both teams jostle for AL postseason relevance.

Cleveland leveled the series on Wednesday with a 5-4 win in 10 innings, courtesy of a walk-off single from Jose Ramirez, who drove in Angel Martinez for the game-winner. It was the Guardians’ fifth win in six extra-inning games this season and their first one-run victory at home since May 1.

“We always try to be competing and doing the best that we can. Today we got the fortune that it went our way.”
— Jose Ramirez

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Lane Thomas added to the magic with a sixth-inning solo shot that tied the game, marking his third straight home game with a home run. Not since Josh Naylor in May 2023 had a Guardians player homered in three consecutive home contests.

Thomas, often hampered by injuries, appears to be turning the corner both physically and mentally.

“This game is hard enough when you’re completely healthy… But I think I’m in a good spot and moving in the right direction.”
— Lane Thomas

Ramirez, meanwhile, remains a steady presence, batting .355 with eight homers and 23 RBIs over his last 44 games.

Pitching Duel: Bibee vs. Gausman

Thursday’s finale should feature a strong pitching matchup. Bibee has been particularly effective against Toronto, posting a 3-0 record with a 2.00 ERA in three starts. Gausman, too, has a history of success versus Cleveland, going 4-5 with a 2.61 ERA over 10 outings—including a 3-1 record and 1.63 ERA in four road appearances.

Toronto has gone 26-17 since May 8 and currently holds the second AL wild-card spot. The return of Max Scherzer on Wednesday offered a morale boost, as the future Hall of Famer pitched five innings after recovering from a thumb injury.

“From a physical standpoint, it went great… I pitched good, I didn’t pitch great, but that gives me something to work on.”
— Max Scherzer

Also heating up for the Jays is George Springer. After struggling early in the season, Springer has shown life at the plate, highlighted by a grand slam on Tuesday and a multi-hit game on Wednesday. Manager John Schneider attributes part of Springer’s turnaround to more frequent starts as the designated hitter.

Momentum and Matchup Impact

Both teams are looking to end this series with a statement. The Guardians are trying to claw back into the AL Central race, while the Blue Jays are focused on consolidating their playoff positioning.

For fans tracking the latest MLB predictions and picks, this matchup could provide excellent betting value, especially given the contrasting pitching histories and recent offensive sparks.

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