Padres vs Rockies Picks and Predictions September 5th 2025
The San Diego Padres enter their weekend series at Coors Field with their playoff hopes intact but some serious hurdles to clear. With injuries piling up and recent losses adding pressure, Friday’s matchup against the struggling Colorado Rockies could help San Diego get back on track.
San Diego Turning to Pitching Power
Despite losing All-Star reliever Jason Adam for the season, San Diego still boasts an elite bullpen led by deadline addition Mason Miller, who recently fired an immaculate inning — three strikeouts on nine pitches — against Baltimore.
They’ll send Nick Pivetta to the mound Friday. He’s had a solid year overall but has struggled mightily against Colorado in his career.
Pitcher | Team | Record | ERA | Career vs Rockies |
---|---|---|---|---|
Nick Pivetta | San Diego Padres | 13-4 | 2.84 | 1-6, 11.14 ERA (7 games) |
Pivetta’s performance will be critical as the Padres try to halt a four-game losing streak.
Padres’ Injury Woes Continue
The Padres (76-64) are still in the Wild Card race but have been hit hard by injuries. Star shortstop Xander Bogaerts is out with a fractured foot and may not return until the postseason.
Center fielder Jackson Merrill, however, returned from an ankle issue and remains optimistic.
“Every team has injured players. We’ve just got to keep grinding.”
Miller’s arrival and dominance give the bullpen a lift, and the offense has previously thrived at Coors Field.
Rockies’ Struggles Continue at Home
The Rockies are 39-101 and need three more wins to avoid tying the 2024 White Sox for most losses in modern history. Their recent 7-2 stretch offered hope, but they’ve since lost 11 of 13.
Freeland Back on the Mound
Colorado will turn to Kyle Freeland, who was ejected after just eight pitches in his last outing due to a benches-clearing incident. He has experience against San Diego, making 25 previous appearances.
Pitcher | Team | Record | ERA | Vs Padres (Career) |
---|---|---|---|---|
Kyle Freeland | Colorado Rockies | 3-14 | 5.41 | 7-9, 4.74 ERA (25 appearances) |
Freeland needs to settle down early if Colorado wants a shot at slowing San Diego’s bats.
Padres Have Owned This Matchup
The last time San Diego visited Coors Field, they scored 37 runs in a three-game series, including a 21-0 blowout. While Colorado bounced back the next day, it wasn’t enough to stop the momentum shift.
Last Series at Coors | San Diego Total Runs | Record | Biggest Win |
---|---|---|---|
May 2025 | 37 | 2-1 | 21-0 (May 10) |
That offensive explosion shows how dangerous the Padres can be, even without key players.
Player Spotlight: Hunter Goodman
Not all is lost in Colorado. Catcher Hunter Goodman has emerged as the team’s offensive leader with 27 home runs and 83 RBIs.
“We’re trying to get better every day,” Goodman said. “The last two weeks haven’t been great, but we’re in good games.”
Game Prediction and Best Bet
Despite Pivetta’s past issues with Colorado, San Diego’s bullpen and offensive history at Coors Field should give them the edge. The Rockies are spiraling, and Freeland has struggled to pitch deep into games.
Pick: Padres -1.5
Prediction: Padres 7, Rockies 4
Check the full MLB betting guide for more weekend picks.
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FAQs
Who is starting for Padres vs Rockies?
Nick Pivetta starts for San Diego, while Kyle Freeland takes the mound for Colorado.
How many games has San Diego lost in a row?
The Padres have lost four straight entering Friday’s game.
What happened to Jason Adam?
Adam is out for the season due to injury, but Mason Miller has helped stabilize the bullpen.
How has Hunter Goodman played for the Rockies?
He leads the team in home runs (27) and RBIs (83) this season.
What happened in the last Padres-Rockies series at Coors?
San Diego scored 37 runs over three games, including a 21-0 win.
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