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Cubs vs Brewers NLDS Game 1 Preview
The Chicago Cubs head to Milwaukee to take on the Milwaukee Brewers in Game 1 of the NL Division Series. The Brewers will hand the ball to Freddy Peralta, while the Cubs are expected to counter with Matthew Boyd. Brandon Woodruff will miss the series due to a strained lat muscle, which weakens Milwaukee’s depth.
Milwaukee enters as a modest favorite with the total set near 7.5
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Matchup Breakdown
Milwaukee Brewers Outlook
Peralta gives them a solid chance to suppress the Cubs’ offense early. Losing Woodruff is a blow to their rotation depth, so bullpen usage will be key. The Brewers will look to lean on home-field advantage and strong late-inning relief.
Chicago Cubs Outlook
The Cubs get a boost from momentum, having knocked off the Padres in the Wild Card round. Their offense must pressure Peralta and force Milwaukee into mistakes. Boyd must keep them in the game deep enough for the bullpen to take over.
Key Battle
Peralta vs Chicago’s lineup: if Peralta can maintain command and limit walks, Milwaukee controls tempo. If Chicago bursts early, it may force Milwaukee’s bullpen to show vulnerabilities.
Injuries & Conditions
- Milwaukee: Brandon Woodruff (lat strain) is out.
- Chicago: No major injuries reported.
- Conditions: October day in Milwaukee, outdoor park, typical playoff conditions with dry weather expected.
Best Bets & Prediction
Milwaukee has the edge with a healthier rotation and home environment. The lean is Brewers ML, with value also in Under 7.5 given the pitching matchup.
| Category | Detail |
|---|---|
| Best Bet | Brewers ML |
| Confidence | ★★★☆☆ |
| Projected Score | Brewers 4, Cubs 2 |
| Total Lean | Under 7.5 |
| Market Split | ~60% bets on Milwaukee; sharp money leaning under |
ScoresAndStats Handicappers & Picks
When evaluating playoff matchups, always cross-check your lean with the Leaderboard to see which experts are trending. Use the Service Plays for current side/total and prop angles. Compare your pick against the Free MLB Picks to see consensus. Also consult the Bettors Handbook for pocket strategies on bankroll, game flow, and adjustment logic.
