Detroit Tigers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Picks and Predictions July 28th 2025

Detroit Tigers vs Arizona Diamondbacks July 28th 2025

The Arizona Diamondbacks will take on the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park on Monday, July 28, 2025. The game starts at 6:40 PM and will be shown on FDSDE. The weather is expected to be very hot with a light breeze and scattered clouds.

The Diamondbacks, managed by Torey Lovullo, hold a 51-55 record this season. Eduardo Rodriguez will start for them with a 5.50 ERA. The Tigers, led by A.J. Hinch, have a 61-46 record. Troy Melton will pitch for them with a 10.80 ERA.

Diamondbacks vs Tigers Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Detroit Tigers
• Venue: Comerica Park in Detroit, MI
• Date: Monday, July 28, 2025
• Betting Odds: Diamondbacks Moneyline +108, Tigers Moneyline -128, Diamondbacks Runline +1.5 (-191), Tigers Runline -1.5 (+158), Total Over 9.0 (-102), Total Under 9.0 (-118)

The Diamondbacks Can Win If…

The Arizona Diamondbacks are looking to bounce back after their recent series against the Pittsburgh Pirates. In their last game, they fell 0-6 but had some bright spots. Zac Gallen pitched 6 innings, allowing 4 earned runs and striking out 5 batters. Jake McCarthy showed some potential at the plate with a double and a triple.

The Diamondbacks have some strong stats that could help them in their next game. They rank 4th in on-base percentage and 3rd in slugging percentage this season. Eugenio Suárez is a key player to watch, with 36 home runs and 87 RBIs, leading the team in both categories.

Arizona’s lineup has the potential to generate runs against the Detroit Tigers. Players like Ketel Marte and Geraldo Perdomo have been consistent with batting averages of .285 and .275, respectively. Eduardo Rodriguez will take the mound, and although his ERA is 5.50, he has shown the ability to keep games close with quality starts.

The Tigers Can Win If…

The Detroit Tigers recently defeated the Toronto Blue Jays 10-4. Jack Flaherty was strong on the mound, pitching six scoreless innings with seven strikeouts. Gleyber Torres led the offense with a home run and four RBIs, while Parker Meadows added two hits and two runs.

The Tigers have shown solid hitting stats this season. They rank 7th in slugging percentage at .413 and 9th in home runs with 131. Their lineup includes power hitters like Spencer Torkelson, who has 23 home runs, and Riley Greene, who has 25 home runs.

Detroit’s pitching staff has maintained a respectable 3.86 ERA, ranking 12th in the league. They have also recorded 917 strikeouts, placing them 7th. With Troy Melton starting, the Tigers will aim to capitalize on their recent momentum and secure another win at home.

The Lean

The Tigers are favored with a moneyline of -128, while the Diamondbacks are at +108. My model projects the Tigers to win with a score of 5 to 4. The Tigers’ better pitching stats, with a 3.86 ERA compared to the Diamondbacks’ 4.51, support this pick.

The total line for the game is set at 9.0 runs. My model predicts a total of 9 runs, which aligns with the current line. Considering both teams’ hitting and pitching stats, the under 9.0 at -118 seems like the safer bet.

Tigers Hope to Ride Momentum Into Diamondbacks Series

The Detroit Tigers are looking for more than just a feel-good win — they’re hoping Sunday’s 10-4 victory over the Toronto Blue Jays is the spark that reignites their season. After dropping 12 of their previous 14 games, the Tigers return to action Monday night as they open a three-game home set against the struggling Arizona Diamondbacks.

“It’s a sense of accomplishment,” said Tigers manager A.J. Hinch. “We needed a good feeling at the end of the day. It’s a fun win; it’s a good win.”

Melton Looks to Make His Mark

Right-hander Troy Melton will take the mound for his second career start as he tries to secure a long-term role in the rotation. Despite allowing six runs in five innings during his debut against Pittsburgh, Melton showed glimpses of potential, finishing strong with two scoreless innings and seven strikeouts.

With Keider Montero sent down to Triple-A Toledo, Melton is now in line to seize the No. 5 spot in the rotation. His minor league performance was impressive, posting a 2.72 ERA with 56 strikeouts in just over 36 innings.

“He really needed the challenge up in the big leagues,” Hinch said. “We saw, especially in the back half of his outing, why we’re excited about his present and his future.”

Eduardo Rodriguez Returns to Detroit

The Diamondbacks will counter with former Tiger Eduardo Rodriguez (3-6, 5.50 ERA), who is coming off a strong start against Houston — 6 1/3 scoreless innings that followed two rough outings. He owns a career 5-1 record and a 2.54 ERA in seven starts vs. Detroit.

Rodriguez believes his last start was a turning point: “I feel like that was the best I felt with my fastball all this year,” he said, though he was pulled early after taking a comebacker off the leg.

Slumping Diamondbacks Enter Trade Deadline Cloud

Arizona has dropped five of six and was shut out in back-to-back games by Pittsburgh heading into the Detroit series. Their offense has sputtered, scoring just eight runs over that stretch, and trade rumors surrounding players like Eugenio Suarez may be adding to the distractions.

“Those things are natural,” outfielder Corbin Carroll said. “Stuff like that can creep in. It’s also the nature of where some hitters, including myself, are right now.”

The Diamondbacks’ front office appears to be in sell mode, and the uncertainty could influence both clubhouse morale and performance. For Detroit, this is a golden opportunity to rack up much-needed wins against a team that’s equally vulnerable.

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Betting Outlook and Key Stats

Detroit’s extended losing streak may have masked their underlying potential, while Arizona’s recent form makes them a risky play. For those looking to back the right side or total, explore the latest MLB betting picks and breakdowns from industry pros.

To evaluate pitching matchups and line movement, check the updated MLB odds and scores and follow team trends on the official MLB team page for both the Tigers and Diamondbacks.

Looking to sharpen your betting approach? The MLB expert betting guide offers insights for maximizing value through data and strategy.