Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Picks and Predictions June 29th 2025

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The Minnesota Twins are set to play against the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park on Sunday, June 29, 2025. The game will start at 7:10 PM and will be broadcast on ESPN. The weather forecast predicts a very hot day with a light breeze and clear skies.

The Twins, managed by Rocco Baldelli, come into this game with a season record of 40-43. They have struggled on the road with an 18-26 record. Chris Paddack will start for the Twins, holding a 4.64 ERA. The Tigers, managed by A.J. Hinch, have a strong season record of 52-32 and a solid home record of 29-14. Tarik Skubal will take the mound for the Tigers, boasting a 2.29 ERA. Both teams are in the AL Central division.

Twins vs Tigers Key Information

  • Sport: Baseball
  • Teams: Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers
  • Venue: Comerica Park in Detroit, MI
  • Date: Sunday, June 29, 2025
  • Betting Odds: Twins MoneyLine +235, Tigers MoneyLine -286

The Twins Can Win If…

The Minnesota Twins are coming off a 10-5 loss to the Detroit Tigers. Despite the loss, Byron Buxton had a strong game with a home run and two RBIs. Carlos Correa also contributed with a home run, showing the power potential in the lineup.

With a batting average of .242, the Twins rank 12th in the league. They have shown power with 96 home runs this season, also ranked 12th. This ability to hit home runs can be a game-changer against any opponent.

The Twins’ pitching staff, led by Chris Paddack, will aim to improve against the Tigers. Paddack has a 4.64 ERA and a WHIP of 1.23. If he can find his rhythm, the Twins have a chance to control the game from the mound.

The Tigers Can Win If…

The Detroit Tigers are coming off a strong 10-5 win against the Minnesota Twins. Casey Mize pitched 6 2/3 innings, allowing only 2 earned runs. Zach McKinstry led the offense with 3 hits, including a home run, driving in 2 runs.

The Tigers’ batting stats show why they can win. They rank 4th in the league with a .255 batting average and a .324 on-base percentage. Their lineup has power, with 104 home runs, ranking 8th in the league.

Tarik Skubal will start for the Tigers, boasting a 2.29 ERA and a 9-2 record. His ability to limit walks and keep runners off base is key. With Skubal on the mound and a strong lineup, the Tigers have a good chance to secure another win.

The Lean

The Tigers are the favorite with a moneyline of -286 against the Twins, who are at +235. The Tigers have a stronger batting average and on-base percentage, ranking 4th in both categories. Given their superior hitting and pitching stats, the Tigers are the pick to win. The projected score is Tigers 5, Twins 3.

The over/under line is set at 7.0 runs. The Tigers’ pitching ranks 7th in ERA, while the Twins’ ranks 21st. With both teams having the potential to score, the game is expected to go over the total. The projected total is 8 runs, suggesting a bet on the over is advisable.

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All Eyes on Tarik Skubal as Tigers Host Twins on Sunday Night Baseball

The national spotlight will be on Detroit on Sunday night as one of baseball’s best pitchers takes the mound. Tigers ace and reigning AL Cy Young Award winner Tarik Skubal will get a primetime showcase as the Detroit Tigers host the division-rival Minnesota Twins in the rubber match of their three-game series.

The Ace’s Mentality

Tarik Skubal (9-2, 2.29 ERA) has been virtually unbeatable for the past two months and is a lock to make his second straight All-Star team. He has not lost a personal decision since the first two starts of the season and is a perfect 7-0 at home. Even when he doesn’t have his best stuff, like in his last start where he gave up four early runs, he finds a way to compete.

“Anytime you give up four early, you have to grind to keep your team in it,” Skubal said. “That’s just part of the game. Winning is fun. Winning cures everything. Bad day, good day, if you walk away with a win, it doesn’t really matter, right?”

A pitcher wears a white jersey with the name "Skubal" and number 29, poised to throw a pitch at a baseball stadium.

Paddack’s Battle with the Big Inning

The Twins will counter with right-hander Chris Paddack (3-6, 4.64), who has been struggling with one major issue: the big inning. Paddack has been shelled for 18 earned runs over his last four starts, often because of one long inning where things unravel.

“I have to do a better job of not letting these long innings occur,” Paddack said. “I feel like I’ve been around enough to where I’ve got to be able to make those adjustments.” How a pitcher can mentally overcome a tendency to have a blow-up inning is a key topic in our expert betting guide.

A Lopsided Duel

On paper, this pitching matchup is a significant mismatch. Skubal is one of the most dominant pitchers in the game, while Paddack is searching for answers. This will be a major focus on the scores and odds board for this standalone national game. The Tigers’ offense, which put up 10 runs on Saturday, will look to provide their ace with plenty of support.

Tigers Get a Boost

The Tigers’ lineup got a little deeper this weekend with the return of Matt Vierling from the injured list. “I’m so grateful to be back,” an emotional Vierling said. As two MLB teams battle for a series win, the focus will be on the man on the mound for Detroit. To see if our experts think Skubal will dominate again, check out our daily MLB picks.

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Mike Williams
Mike Williams | Handicapper

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Mike uses his strong sports knowledge to analyze all the angles to find the most profitable wagers. Iron Mike handicaps MLB, college football, NFL, NBA, and NCAA basketball. I'm an actual sports and gambling junkie!

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