Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Picks and Predictions August 4th 2025

Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins August 4th 2025

The Minnesota Twins will visit the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park on Monday, August 4, 2025. The game is set to start at 6:40 PM and will air on FDSDE. The weather forecast predicts a warm day with a light breeze and overcast clouds.

The Twins hold a record of 52-59 and are ranked fourth in the AL Central. They are coming off a win but have struggled in their last 10 games with a 3-7 record. The Tigers lead the AL Central with a 65-48 record and are looking to bounce back after a recent loss. Casey Mize will start for the Tigers, while the Twins’ starting pitcher is yet to be determined.

Twins vs Tigers Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers
• Venue: Comerica Park in Detroit, MI
• Date: Monday, August 4, 2025
• Betting Odds: Twins Moneyline +129, Tigers Moneyline -154

The Twins Can Win If…

The Minnesota Twins come into this game on a high note after a 5-4 win against the Cleveland Guardians. Matt Wallner was key, going 2-for-3 with a run and an RBI. Kody Clemens also contributed with two hits and an RBI, showing the depth of the Twins’ lineup.

The Twins have shown they can compete with their hitting stats. They rank 11th in home runs with 126, and their batting average is 12th at .241. Their ability to hit for power gives them a chance to score quickly and put pressure on opposing pitchers.

Looking at their lineup, players like Trevor Larnach and Brooks Lee can make a difference. Larnach has 13 home runs and 46 RBIs, while Lee has 10 home runs and 43 RBIs. With these players performing well, the Twins have the potential to score runs and win the game.

The Tigers Can Win If…

The Detroit Tigers are coming off a 2-0 loss to the Philadelphia Phillies. Despite the loss, starting pitcher Charlie Morton put in a solid performance, allowing just one earned run over six innings. Spencer Torkelson and Jahmai Jones each had two hits, showing they can connect with the ball.

The Tigers’ hitting stats are strong, with a .249 batting average ranking 8th in the league. They have hit 144 home runs this season, placing them 6th in that category. Their slugging percentage of .421 is 7th best, showcasing their ability to drive the ball for extra bases.

Casey Mize will take the mound for the Tigers, bringing a 3.44 ERA and a 9-4 record. Mize’s consistency has been key for the team, and his ability to keep opponents’ batting average low at .240 ranks 8th in the league. With Mize’s strong pitching and the team’s solid hitting, the Tigers have a good chance to win against the Twins.

The Lean

The Tigers are favored with a moneyline of -154, while the Twins are at +129. The Tigers have a better team batting average and slugging percentage, ranking 8th and 7th respectively. With a projected score of Tigers 5, Twins 4, the recommendation is to pick the Tigers to win straight up.

The total for the game is set at 8.0 runs. The Tigers’ pitching has a strong earned run average of 3.80, ranked 9th, which might limit the Twins’ scoring. With a projected total of 9 runs, the recommendation is to take the over at 8.0 (-119).

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A Storybook Reunion: Charlie Morton to Make Tigers Debut in Finale vs. Phillies

It is a reunion years in the making, a story of a battle-tested veteran joining a first-place team for a championship push, led by the very same manager with whom he reached the pinnacle of the sport. The Detroit Tigers, fresh off acquiring right-hander Charlie Morton just before the trade deadline, will waste no time putting their new weapon to use. Morton will make his Tigers debut on Sunday night in the finale of a hard-fought three-game series against the host Philadelphia Phillies. For the American League-leading Tigers, it’s a chance to add a veteran arm with championship pedigree. For Morton, it’s a chance to write another chapter in a remarkable career, under the guidance of a familiar and trusted leader.

A Storybook Reunion

The connection between Charlie Morton and Detroit’s manager, A.J. Hinch, is a deep one, forged in the fires of a World Series run. Morton was a key member of the Houston Astros rotation when Hinch managed that team to the 2017 World Series title. It was Morton on the mound, pitching the final four innings in relief, who recorded the final out of Game 7 against the Dodgers to secure the championship. Now, eight years later, they are reunited in Detroit with the same goal. The Tigers’ front office made the move to acquire the 41-year-old not just for what he can do on the mound, but for the invaluable experience and presence he brings to a clubhouse with high expectations.

“His presence alone will be really good for this team,” Hinch said. “He’s steady. He never gets too high or too low. He’s done it, seen it, experienced it. He’s gotten some of the most important outs.”

“We like Charlie because he’s battle-tested,” added Tigers general manager Scott Harris. “He’s pitched for A.J. before and he really endorsed him.”

A look at the numbers shows two of the best teams in baseball, both of whom have strengthened their rosters for the stretch run.

A Tale of Two Seasons for Morton

The Tigers are getting Morton at the perfect time. His 2025 season has been a true tale of two halves. He began the year with the Baltimore Orioles and was, by his own admission, terrible. He had an 0-7 record with a sky-high 9.38 ERA in his first nine appearances. But after a brief stint in the bullpen, Morton returned to the rotation and completely turned his season around. In his last 11 starts with the Orioles, he went a remarkable 7-1 with a 3.88 ERA, looking like the dominant pitcher of old.

“He’s been on quite a good run,” Harris said of Morton’s resurgence. “His top-line performance (numbers) are a little misleading. Since the end of April, he’s been on a really good run, sub-4.00 ERA and throwing a ton of strikes with a ton of swing and miss.”

The Model of Consistency: Cristopher Sanchez

While Morton is making his debut, the Phillies will counter with a pitcher who has been the model of consistency all season. Left-hander Cristopher Sanchez (9-3, 2.55 ERA) has emerged as a true co-ace for the Philadelphia staff. While his incredible streak of nine consecutive quality starts was snapped in his last outing, he still battled to give his team a chance to win. Manager Rob Thomson noted that even though Sanchez gave up four runs, he seemed to find his best stuff late in the game. “The fifth, sixth and seventh, he turned it back on, and he had the finish back to his pitches,” Thomson said. His development into a reliable, top-of-the-rotation arm has been a massive reason for the Phillies’ success this year.

The Pitching Matchup: A Deeper Look

Sunday night’s game features a fantastic duel between two pitchers at different points in their journey. Morton is the grizzled veteran looking to make a great first impression with his new team, while Sanchez is the young ace trying to start a new streak of dominance. The scores and odds for this matchup will be incredibly tight.

The Battle of the Bullpens

This series has been a showcase of two teams that made major moves to bolster their bullpens at the trade deadline. The Phillies’ new closer, Jhoan Duran, saved the opener on Friday. The Tigers’ new closer, Kyle Finnegan, saved their victory on Saturday. The back end of the bullpen will be a major factor in this rubber match, a topic often explored in our expert betting guide. For full box scores of the first two games, you can check the official MLB game results. For more in-depth analysis of other games, you can view all of our MLB previews. To see who our experts are backing, check out our daily MLB picks. To get access to even more premium content and betting tools, you can register for an account today.