Detroit Tigers vs New York Mets Picks and Predictions September 3rd 2025

Detroit Tigers vs New York Mets September 3rd 2025

The New York Mets will visit the Detroit Tigers for an afternoon game at Comerica Park. The Mets hold a record of 75-64 and sit second in the NL East. They are on a two-game winning streak and have won six of their last ten games. The Mets will rely on their starting pitcher, Clay Holmes, who has an ERA of 3.60 and a record of 11-6.

The Detroit Tigers, with a record of 80-60, lead the AL Central. They are looking to bounce back from a two-game losing streak. The Tigers have struggled recently, winning only three of their last ten games. Casey Mize will take the mound for the Tigers, bringing an ERA of 3.95 and a record of 12-5.

Mets vs Tigers Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: New York Mets vs. Detroit Tigers
• Venue: Comerica Park in Detroit, MI
• Date: Wednesday, September 3, 2025
• Betting Odds: Mets Moneyline -117, Tigers Moneyline -101, Mets Runline -1.5 (+142), Tigers Runline +1.5 (-170), Total Over 8.5 (-110), Total Under 8.5 (-110)

The Mets Can Win If…

The New York Mets recently won against the Detroit Tigers, 12-5. In that game, the Mets had 17 hits and 4 home runs. Nolan McLean pitched well, allowing only 2 earned runs over 6 innings.

The Mets have strong hitting stats this season. They rank 4th in home runs with 193 and 5th in slugging percentage at .432. Their on-base percentage is also high, ranking 3rd in the league at .329.

Key players like Pete Alonso and Juan Soto are performing well. Alonso has 33 home runs and 112 RBIs, while Soto has 37 home runs and 91 RBIs. With Clay Holmes on the mound, who has an ERA of 3.60, the Mets have a solid chance to win.

The Tigers Can Win If…

The Detroit Tigers are looking to bounce back after a tough loss to the New York Mets, 12-5. Despite the loss, Wenceel Pérez had a strong performance, going 3-for-4 with a run and two RBIs. Justyn-Henry Malloy also contributed with a hit and an RBI in his only at-bat.

The Tigers have shown they can compete with their solid hitting stats. They rank 8th in batting average at .250 and 7th in home runs with 176 this season. With players like Spencer Torkelson leading the team in home runs and RBIs, their offense is always a threat.

On the mound, Casey Mize will start for the Tigers. He has a 3.95 ERA and a 12-5 record this season. His ability to keep the Mets’ hitters in check will be key for the Tigers to secure a win at home.

The Lean

The Mets are favored on the moneyline at -117 against the Tigers, who are at -101. The Mets have a stronger on-base percentage and slugging percentage, ranking 3rd and 5th respectively. With these stats, the Mets are projected to win 5-4. Based on this, the recommendation is to pick the Mets to win straight up.

The total for the game is set at 8.5, with both the over and under at -110. The projected score is 5-4 in favor of the Mets, which totals 9 runs. Given the teams’ batting and pitching stats, the recommendation is to take the over on 8.5 runs.

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Mize Searching for Answers on the Mound

Casey Mize began the year as one of Detroit’s most reliable arms, even earning an All-Star nod. But as the season has progressed, the right-hander has struggled to maintain that level of consistency. His ERA has climbed from 2.63 in early July to 3.95 heading into Wednesday’s finale against the New York Mets.

Mize lasted only 3 1/3 innings in his most recent outing against the Oakland Athletics, surrendering five runs in a 7-0 loss. Over his last eight starts, he has given up 46 hits and issued 11 walks in 35 innings, putting constant pressure on himself with traffic on the bases. Manager A.J. Hinch noted that command issues and leaving pitches over the plate have been the biggest concerns.

Bettors looking for an edge on this matchup can review the latest MLB picks and trends before locking in their wagers.

Holmes Transitioning into a Starter Role

The Mets will counter with Clay Holmes, a reliever-turned-starter who has been surprisingly durable in his first full season in the rotation. Holmes carries an 11-6 record with a 3.60 ERA into this start, and while he hasn’t been dominant recently, he has kept New York competitive.

In his last three outings, Holmes limited Seattle, Atlanta, and Miami to a combined seven runs over 16 1/3 innings. Fatigue may be a factor, as his 142 1/3 innings pitched already more than double his previous career high, but his ability to generate ground balls has been crucial for New York. For bettors seeking more detail, our MLB previews provide expanded matchup analysis.

Mets’ Offense Driving Series Momentum

New York’s lineup has carried the team through the first two games of this series, posting back-to-back double-digit run totals. Juan Soto continues to shine, homering five times in his last five games and driving in eight runs in Detroit alone. Pete Alonso added two homers of his own on Tuesday, pushing his season total to 33.

The Mets, sitting at 75-64, are eyeing a sweep that would further strengthen their postseason push. Meanwhile, the Tigers have dropped seven of their last nine games and are desperate to avoid another setback. For insights into bankroll management and betting strategies, check out our expert betting guide

Betting Outlook and Key Factors

This game features two pitchers in very different stages of their seasons. Mize is fighting to rediscover his rhythm, while Holmes is battling endurance but continuing to compete effectively. Detroit needs a strong start to slow down a Mets offense that has been relentless, with Soto and Alonso leading the charge.

Those interested in taking action on this matchup can explore our buy picks section and see which cappers are currently delivering results on the best handicappers leaderboard. Final scores, betting outcomes, and historical results can always be found on the MLB game results page.