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Houston Astros vs Colorado Rockies August 28th 2025
The Colorado Rockies will visit the Houston Astros at Daikin Park on Thursday, August 28, 2025. The game is set for an afternoon start at 2:10 PM. Fans can catch the action on SCHN.
The Rockies have a tough season with a 38-95 record and sit last in the NL West. Meanwhile, the Astros lead the AL West with a 73-60 record. The starting pitchers are Kyle Freeland for the Rockies and Jason Alexander for the Astros.
Rockies vs Astros Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros
- Venue: Daikin Park in Houston, TX
- Date: Thursday, August 28, 2025
- Betting Odds: Rockies Moneyline +197, Astros Moneyline -237, Rockies Runline +1.5 (+100), Astros Runline -1.5 (-120), Total Over 9.0 (-107), Total Under 9.0 (-114)
The Rockies Can Win If…
The Colorado Rockies are looking to bounce back after a 4-0 loss to the Houston Astros. In that game, Chase Dollander pitched well, allowing only one run over six innings. Tyler Freeman was a bright spot on offense, going 2 for 4 with two singles.
The Rockies have shown they can win, as seen in their 6-1 victory over the Astros two games ago. In that win, Hunter Goodman hit a home run and drove in two runs. The team’s ability to produce extra-base hits, like Mickey Moniak’s double, gives them an edge.
Hunter Goodman leads the Rockies with 26 home runs this season, ranking 11th in the league. This power in the lineup, along with Tyler Freeman’s consistent .288 batting average, can help the Rockies score runs. With Kyle Freeland on the mound, who has experience despite a tough season, the Rockies have a chance to secure a win.
The Astros Can Win If…
The Houston Astros are coming off a strong 4-0 win against the Colorado Rockies. Framber Valdez led the way with a stellar performance, pitching seven innings with no runs allowed. Yordan Alvarez and Cam Smith each hit home runs, contributing to the team’s offensive success.
Houston’s lineup has been effective, with a team batting average of .253, ranking fourth in the league. Their ability to hit home runs is also notable, with 148 home runs this season. Key players like Christian Walker and Jeremy Peña have been consistent at the plate, providing the team with much-needed runs and RBIs.
On the mound, Jason Alexander will start for the Astros with a 4.59 ERA and a 4-1 record. The Astros’ pitching staff has been solid, ranking fifth in batting average against at .233. With a league-leading 1,249 strikeouts, the Astros’ pitchers have shown they can dominate opposing hitters.
The Lean
The Astros are favored with a moneyline of -237, and the Rockies are at +197. The Astros have a stronger batting average and pitching stats, ranking 4th and 12th, respectively. My model projects the Astros to win 6-3. Based on this, I recommend taking the Astros on the moneyline.
The total for the game is set at 9.0, with the over at -107 and the under at -114. The Rockies have a high ERA of 5.99, and the Astros’ offense ranks 4th in batting average. My model projects a total score of 9. I recommend betting on the over for this game.
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Jason Alexander, Pitching-Rich Astros Try to Top Rockies Again
The Houston Astros are enjoying the benefits of a deep, six-man rotation. With Spencer Arrighetti, Cristian Javier, and Lance McCullers Jr. recently returning from the injured list — and Luis Garcia nearing a comeback — manager Joe Espada suddenly has an abundance of arms.
Garcia’s most recent rehab outing was a strong one: six innings of one-run ball at Triple-A Sugar Land on Tuesday. Espada praised the right-hander’s command and velocity, suggesting Garcia could soon rejoin the rotation.
“We’re very happy with that performance,” Espada said. “Especially the breaking ball was sharp. The velo was good, and he executed his fastball really well.”
This rotation depth also raises the stakes for Thursday’s starter, Jason Alexander, who has been on a roll in August.
Alexander’s strong stretch
Alexander (4-1, 4.59 ERA) has been one of Houston’s most consistent arms lately, going 3-0 with a 1.54 ERA in four August starts. That run included back-to-back six-inning shutouts against the Marlins and Yankees.
While his quality-start streak ended against Baltimore last week, Alexander still gave the Astros 5 1/3 solid innings of two-run ball.
Jason Alexander’s August performance
| Opponent | IP | H | R | BB | K | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | 6.0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | Win |
| Marlins | 6.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | Win |
| Orioles | 5.1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | ND |
| Royals | 6.0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | Win |
The California native has yet to face Colorado in his career. He’ll be looking to keep Houston in command of the series after their 4-0 win on Wednesday.
Rockies counter with Freeland
The Colorado Rockies will turn to left-hander Kyle Freeland (3-13, 5.31 ERA). The veteran has struggled throughout the season, posting a 5.70 ERA across his last six starts and allowing at least five earned runs seven different times.
In his latest outing, a 5-1 loss to Pittsburgh, Freeland gave up five runs over five innings. Against Houston this year, he threw six innings of three-run ball on July 3 but did not factor into the decision of Colorado’s 7-6 win.
Kyle Freeland vs. Astros (career)
| Starts | Record | ERA | IP | Runs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0-2 | 4.42 | 18.1 | 9 |
The Rockies may be out of the playoff picture, but interim manager Warren Schaeffer has emphasized the importance of competing for all nine innings.
“I think that plays next year and years to come,” Schaeffer said. “Just everybody contributing one way or another, quality at-bats, not giving in. It’s a mentality.”
Series context
The Rockies shocked Houston in the opener with a 6-1 win before falling 4-0 on Wednesday. Both games highlighted Colorado’s ability to hang tough despite their struggles earlier this season, while also showing the Astros’ pitching depth and playoff-tested resilience.
For bettors, MLB Scores & Odds has Houston favored behind Alexander’s hot month. MLB Picks highlight this as a key spot for the Astros to capitalize against Freeland’s struggles. And as the MLB Expert Betting Guide notes, mismatched pitching form often outweighs recent offensive trends.
Conclusion
The Astros’ deep pitching staff has them well-positioned heading into the season’s final stretch. Jason Alexander’s recent run of dominance adds another layer of confidence, while Kyle Freeland and the Rockies look to salvage a series split.
Houston continues to measure its arms ahead of a postseason push, while Colorado is building a culture of resilience for the future. Thursday’s finale will test both directions.
