Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins Picks and Predictions June 15th 2025

Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins June 15th 2025

The Minnesota Twins will take on the Houston Astros at Daikin Park in Houston, TX, on Sunday, June 15, 2025. The game is set for an afternoon start at 2:10 PM and will be broadcast on MNNT. The weather is expected to be warm with a light breeze, but the retractable roof at Daikin Park means wind might not affect play.

The Twins, managed by Rocco Baldelli, have a 36-34 record this season. They have struggled on the road with a 16-22 record. Simeon Woods Richardson will start for the Twins, bringing a 5.74 ERA into the game. The Astros, led by Joe Espada, have a 40-30 record and a strong 26-13 home record. Brandon Walter will start for Houston, boasting an impressive 1.64 ERA.

Twins vs Astros Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros
• Venue: Daikin Park in Houston, TX
• Date: Sunday, June 15, 2025
• Betting Odds: Astros MoneyLine -134, Twins MoneyLine +113

The Twins Can Win If…

The Minnesota Twins are coming off a close 3-2 loss against the Houston Astros. Joe Ryan pitched a solid game, allowing only two hits and two runs over seven innings. Brooks Lee stood out with a home run, driving in both of the Twins’ runs.

The Twins have shown they can compete with strong teams. Their batting average ranks 12th in the league, and they have hit 73 home runs this season. With players like Byron Buxton and Willi Castro, the Twins have the potential to turn hits into runs quickly.

On the mound, Simeon Woods Richardson will start for the Twins. While his ERA is currently 5.74, he has shown the ability to strike out batters effectively. The Twins’ pitching staff ranks 9th in strikeouts, which could be key in keeping the Astros’ hitters off balance.

The Astros Can Win If…

The Houston Astros are coming off a 3-2 win against the Minnesota Twins. Hunter Brown was strong on the mound, striking out 12 over seven innings. Yainer Diaz contributed with a home run, driving in two runs.

The Astros’ batting average ranks 3rd in the league at .255, showing their ability to get on base. Their pitching has been solid, with a team ERA of 3.47, ranking 6th. Brandon Walter will start with an impressive ERA of 1.64, giving the Astros a strong chance on the mound.

Jeremy Peña leads the team with a .328 average and has been consistent in driving in runs. Isaac Paredes adds power with 15 home runs, ranking 9th in the league. The Astros’ lineup is well-rounded, making them a tough team to beat at home.

The Lean

The Astros are favored with a moneyline of -134 against the Twins at +113. The Astros have a stronger batting average and pitching stats. The model projects the Astros to win 5-3. Based on these factors, the recommendation is to pick the Astros to win straight up.

The over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The model projects a total score of 8 runs. Both teams have solid pitching, which could limit scoring. Therefore, the recommendation is to take the under for this game.

Houston pushes for sweep behind Brandon Walter despite roster hits

The Houston Astros continue to thrive through adversity, notching a 3-2 walk-off win on Saturday to clinch the series against the Minnesota Twins. Now they’ll look to finish the sweep on Sunday behind left-hander Brandon Walter, who is fresh off his first MLB quality start.

Houston improved to 14-5 since May 24 and hasn’t lost a home series in over a month, going 11 straight with at least a split. But the success has come while playing short-handed. Already without Kyle Tucker and Jeremy Peña, the Astros were dealt two more blows as Isaac Paredes (hamstring) and Jacob Melton (ankle) joined the injury list.

“We added pieces right now that I think will help us,” said manager Joe Espada, referencing call-ups Cooper Hummel and Luis Guillorme, both of whom debuted Saturday night.

Pitching Matchup

Brandon Walter (0-0, 1.64 ERA) vs Simeon Woods Richardson (2-3, 5.74 ERA)

Walter has looked sharp in his limited opportunities, tossing six innings of two-run ball against Cleveland in his most recent start. Over 11 total innings across two appearances, he’s struck out 10 while walking only one batter. His lone career appearance vs. the Twins came in 2023 (with Boston), where he allowed three runs in long relief.

Meanwhile, Woods Richardson is trending in the opposite direction. After a brutal outing against the Rangers (7 R, 4.2 IP), he’s now allowed 16 earned runs over his last 18 innings. The Twins have dropped three of his last four starts. In two career starts against Houston, he’s posted a 4.35 ERA with no decisions.

Lineup Spotlight

Brooks Lee, now riding a 14-game hitting streak, blasted a game-tying two-run shot on Saturday and continues to emerge as a key bat for the Twins, especially with Royce Lewis hitting the IL (hamstring). His plate discipline and ability to adjust mid-count are growing assets for Minnesota.

“He’s working through the at-bat,” said manager Rocco Baldelli. “You can actually see it.”

For Houston, it’s been next man up in every sense. With a thin bench, look for veterans Alex Bregman and Jose Altuve to carry the offensive load, alongside Yainer Diaz, who’s quietly slashing over .300 during the month of June.

Betting & Handicapping Notes

Scott’s Picks has cashed four of his last five MLB totals and is monitoring this one for a possible late release, pending final lineups. His edge leans Houston’s way, citing:

• Walter’s elite command and groundball profile
• Woods Richardson’s recent control issues
• The Twins’ missing core bats and shaky bullpen depth

Check for any official play before first pitch at the MLB picks page on Scores and Stats.