Kansas City Royals vs New York Mets Picks and Predictions July 13th 2025

Kansas City Royals vs New York Mets July 13th 2025

The New York Mets will visit the Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium on Sunday, July 13, 2025. The game starts at 2:10 PM and will be broadcast on FDSKC. Fans can expect overcast clouds with a mild day and calm crosswinds.

The Mets, led by manager Carlos Mendoza, hold a 55-41 record this season. They have been strong at home but have faced challenges on the road, with a 22-27 away record. The Royals, managed by Matt Quatraro, have a 46-50 record. They aim to improve their 23-26 home record. Clay Holmes will pitch for the Mets, while Noah Cameron starts for the Royals.

Mets vs Royals Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: New York Mets vs. Kansas City Royals
• Venue: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, MO
• Date: Sunday, July 13, 2025
• Betting Odds: Mets Moneyline -137, Royals Moneyline +116, Mets Runline -1.5 (+120), Royals Runline +1.5 (-143), Total Over 9.0 (-102), Total Under 9.0 (-119)

The Mets Can Win If…

The New York Mets recently took down the Kansas City Royals 3-1. Frankie Montas pitched five innings, allowing just one run with five strikeouts. Juan Soto hit a home run, driving in two runs, while Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso each contributed with hits and runs scored.

The Mets have a strong lineup, ranking 8th in slugging percentage and 7th in home runs this season. Pete Alonso leads the team with 21 home runs and a .533 slugging percentage. Francisco Lindor adds power with 19 home runs and consistent hitting, making the Mets a threat at the plate.

On the mound, Clay Holmes will start for the Mets. He has a solid ERA of 3.29 and has recorded eight wins this season. The Mets’ pitching staff ranks 4th in ERA, showing they can limit opponents’ scoring and support their offensive efforts.

The Royals Can Win If…

The Kansas City Royals are looking to bounce back after a 1-3 loss to the New York Mets. In that game, Jonathan India stood out with two doubles and an RBI. Despite the loss, starting pitcher Angel Zerpa showed promise with a scoreless inning.

The Royals have a strong chance to win with their pitching and hitting stats. They rank second in earned run average (ERA) at 3.50 and fourth in batting average against at .234. Their lineup includes Bobby Witt Jr., who has a .294 batting average and 14 home runs, making him a key player for the Royals.

Noah Cameron is set to start for the Royals, bringing a solid ERA of 2.56 and a WHIP of 0.96. His ability to control the game from the mound can give the Royals an edge. With the support of hitters like Vinnie Pasquantino and Maikel Garcia, the Royals are poised to make a strong showing.

Manaea Returns as Mets Eye Sweep of Royals in Series Finale

After nearly four months on the sidelines, Sean Manaea is finally set to return to a Major League mound. The veteran left-hander is expected to make his 2025 season debut Sunday in a piggyback role behind Clay Holmes, as the New York Mets look to complete a three-game sweep of the Kansas City Royals and head into the All-Star break with major momentum.

Manaea, sidelined by a right oblique strain since spring training, had been expected to be a key part of the Mets’ rotation after a strong 2024 season. The former 12-game winner posted a 3.47 ERA over 32 starts last year, but his road back this season included multiple rehab assignments and patience. Speaking to SNY before Sunday’s game, Manaea admitted the process has been frustrating but said he’s thrilled to finally be back contributing.

For those tracking long-term pitching depth, Manaea’s return is critical to a Mets team navigating injuries and preparing for a second-half playoff push. Explore more matchups and staff trends in the MLB expert guide.

Holmes Gets Nod to Open Series Finale

Though Manaea will pitch Sunday, the start will officially go to right-hander Clay Holmes, who enters with an 8-4 record and a 3.29 ERA in his first full season as a starter. Holmes struggled in his last outing, giving up five earned runs over five innings against the Orioles. While his career numbers against Kansas City include just 10 1/3 innings out of the bullpen, Holmes brings experience and improved command to a Mets rotation that’s been stabilized by solid performances over the past two weeks.

Mets manager Carlos Mendoza has kept expectations fluid, noting that both Holmes and Manaea have expressed willingness to adjust roles based on game flow. The goal remains to keep things simple for Holmes while easing Manaea back in at the right time. For deeper insights into their usage and projections, consult the daily MLB pitching matchups.

Soto Stays Hot as Mets Win First Road Series Since June

Juan Soto has powered the Mets’ offense in this series with home runs in both games so far, including a two-run blast that proved decisive in Saturday’s 3-1 win. The All-Star slugger is batting .313 at Kauffman Stadium across both regular season and postseason games, and he has now collected three homers and eight RBIs in Kansas City appearances.

New York has already secured its first winning road series since sweeping Colorado from June 6-8. A sweep of the Royals would further affirm the team’s recent upward trend, especially as key players like Manaea begin to rejoin the rotation. Current projections, team totals, and run-line odds are available on the MLB picks page.

Royals’ Rookie Standout Cameron Takes the Mound

Kansas City will counter with promising rookie Noah Cameron, who continues to impress in his first MLB season. The left-hander owns a 2.56 ERA through 11 starts and delivered a career-best outing in his most recent appearance, going seven innings and striking out seven against Pittsburgh while allowing just three hits.

Royals manager Matt Quatraro praised Cameron’s composure and pitch execution, noting how well the rookie settled in after early innings. Cameron also threw a career-high 109 pitches, underscoring his endurance and development. Though Sunday marks his first career appearance against the Mets, his performance has made him one of the more intriguing young arms in the

Kansas City’s Offense Goes Quiet at the Worst Time

Despite entering the series on a four-game win streak, the Royals have managed just four total runs in two losses to New York. A 1-for-17 mark with runners in scoring position has fueled frustration across the clubhouse. Quatraro admitted postgame that the missed chances have taken a toll, especially in tight games where even one timely hit could have changed the outcome.

Jonathan India has remained a bright spot, collecting two doubles Saturday and going 4-for-9 over the past two games. However, he is just 1-for-7 combined against Holmes and Manaea. Meanwhile, veteran slugger Salvador Perez, who is hitting .385 in July, looms as a threat against both Mets pitchers. He has homered three times off Manaea and once off Holmes in his career.

For full stat splits and player-by-player matchup data, the MLB teams page breaks down historical trends and current hot streaks across rosters.

The Lean

The Mets are favored with a moneyline of -137 against the Royals at +116. The Mets have strong pitching with a 3.58 ERA, ranked 4th, while the Royals have a 3.50 ERA, ranked 2nd. My model projects the Mets to win 5-4, making the Mets a solid pick for the moneyline.

The total for the game is set at 9.0, with the over at -102 and the under at -119. Both teams have decent batting averages, but the Mets have a higher slugging percentage at .415, ranked 8th. My model projects a total of 9 runs, so taking the over is recommended.