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Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays September 19th 2025
The Toronto Blue Jays will take on the Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium. The game is set for Friday, September 19, 2025, at 7:40 PM. The weather forecast predicts a warm day with clear skies, making it ideal for outdoor baseball.
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The Blue Jays enter the game with a record of 89-64, holding the top spot in the AL East. They have had a strong run recently, going 7-3 in their last 10 games. Meanwhile, the Royals have a record of 76-77 and are third in the AL Central. They have struggled lately, with a 3-7 record in their last 10 games. Max Scherzer will start for Toronto, while Michael Lorenzen will pitch for Kansas City.
Blue Jays vs Royals Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Kansas City Royals
- Venue: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, MO
- Date: Friday, September 19, 2025
- Betting Odds: Blue Jays Moneyline -139, Royals Moneyline +118, Blue Jays Runline -1.5 (+116), Royals Runline +1.5 (-139), Total Over 9.0 (-102), Total Under 9.0 (-118)
The Toronto Blue Jays Can Win If…
The Toronto Blue Jays enter this matchup trying to rebound after a 4-0 shutout loss to Tampa Bay. In that game, Chris Bassitt struggled with three earned runs in just over four innings, though Vladimir Guerrero Jr. managed to keep his average at .300 with a single.
Toronto continues to lead MLB in batting average at .268 and on-base percentage at .334. Those numbers highlight their ability to generate baserunners and put pressure on opposing pitchers, even in games where the power numbers aren’t showing.
Veteran Max Scherzer will start, bringing a 4.31 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. He has historically dominated the Royals, owning a 14-5 record with a 3.15 ERA in 24 career starts against them. With Michael Lorenzen struggling at a 4.91 ERA for Kansas City, Toronto has a strong matchup edge on the mound.
The Kansas City Royals Can Win If…
The Kansas City Royals dropped their last contest 2-0 to Seattle despite a quality outing from Stephen Kolek. Their path to victory rests on their pitching continuing to hold down quality lineups.
Offensively, the Royals lean on Vinnie Pasquantino and Salvador Perez. Pasquantino leads with 30 homers and 104 RBIs, while Perez has chipped in 29 home runs and 92 RBIs. Kansas City has struggled overall, ranking last in the AL in runs scored, but timely power from this duo could be key against Scherzer.
The pitching staff remains the Royals’ strongest weapon, ranking sixth in MLB with a 3.77 ERA and holding opponents to a .242 batting average. Lorenzen has struggled recently but will look to bounce back against a Blue Jays team that has been shut down in back-to-back games.
The Lean
According to the latest MLB odds, the Blue Jays are -139 favorites with the Royals at +118. Toronto’s top-ranked batting average and Scherzer’s track record against Kansas City give them the edge. My model projects a 5-4 Blue Jays win, making them the moneyline pick.
The total is set at 9.0 runs, with the over at -102 and the under at -118. With Scherzer and Lorenzen both carrying ERAs above 4.00, run scoring could be steady. The projection sits at 9 total runs, leaning toward the over. For additional picks, visit MLB Picks and the Expert Betting Guide.
Key Betting Trends
| Team | Last 10 Games | Moneyline Record | Over/Under Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Blue Jays | 6-4 | 6-4 | 5-5 |
| Kansas City Royals | 3-7 | 3-7 | 4-6 |
Additional betting notes:
- The Blue Jays are 8-3 in Max Scherzer’s last 11 starts.
- The Royals are 1-5 in Michael Lorenzen’s last six outings.
- The under is 7-3 in the Blue Jays’ last 10 road games.
Players to Watch
| Player | Team | Stat Highlight |
|---|---|---|
| Max Scherzer | Blue Jays | 14-5 career record vs Royals, 3.15 ERA |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Blue Jays | .300 AVG, power threat in middle lineup |
| Bo Bichette | Blue Jays | Key bat with contact + speed |
| Michael Lorenzen | Royals | 4.91 ERA, 1-5 in last six starts |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | Royals | 30 HR, 104 RBI, lineup cornerstone |
| Salvador Perez | Royals | 29 HR, veteran presence |
Game Preview Recap
The Toronto Blue Jays head to Kansas City trying to end a two-game skid that tightened the AL East race. Their magic number to clinch a postseason spot sits at three, and every win matters with the Yankees closing in.
Max Scherzer is slated to face his former AL Central rivals and has an impressive career record against the Royals. Though his September has been shaky, his experience is invaluable in a key late-season matchup.
The Kansas City Royals, meanwhile, are nearly eliminated from postseason contention and will turn to Michael Lorenzen, who was briefly moved to the bullpen after allowing six runs to the Phillies. With their season winding down, the Royals are focused on avoiding another losing streak to close the year.
Toronto’s offensive depth gives them a clear edge, but if the Royals can get strong performances from Pasquantino and Perez, they have a chance to spoil the Blue Jays’ push. Fans tracking the outcome can follow MLB Scores & Odds and check the Teams hub for updates.
