Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets Picks and Predictions June 5th 2025

Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets June 5th 2025

The New York Mets take on the Los Angeles Dodgers at Dodger Stadium on Thursday, June 5, 2025. The game is set to start at 4:10 PM and will be aired on SN LA. The weather forecast predicts a mild day with a calm crosswind and few clouds.

The Mets, managed by Carlos Mendoza, have a season record of 38-23. They have a road record of 14-16. The Dodgers, led by Dave Roberts, hold a season record of 37-24, with a strong home record of 22-10. David Peterson will start for the Mets, while Landon Knack will take the mound for the Dodgers.

Mets vs Dodgers Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
• Venue: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, CA
• Date: Thursday, June 5, 2025
• Betting Odds: Dodgers MoneyLine -138, Mets MoneyLine +115

The Mets Can Win If…

The New York Mets narrowly lost their last game against the Los Angeles Dodgers, 6-5. Tylor Megill pitched six innings, allowing four runs while striking out seven. Juan Soto and Pete Alonso contributed with key hits, including a home run from Soto.

The Mets have shown strong hitting stats this season. They rank 6th in on-base percentage at .327 and 7th in slugging percentage at .412. With 69 home runs, they are 9th in the league, showcasing their power at the plate.

David Peterson will start for the Mets, bringing an impressive 2.69 ERA into the game. His strong performance can give the Mets an edge against the Dodgers’ starter, Landon Knack, who has a higher ERA of 4.58. With their solid pitching and powerful lineup, the Mets have a good chance to win this game.

The Dodgers Can Win If…

The Los Angeles Dodgers are coming off a close 6-5 win against the New York Mets. Max Muncy was the standout player, hitting two home runs and driving in three runs. Freddie Freeman also contributed with two doubles and two RBIs, showcasing the depth of the Dodgers’ lineup.

The Dodgers lead the league in several key offensive categories, including batting average (.267) and home runs (100). Their ability to get on base with a .343 on-base percentage is also the best in the league. This strong offensive performance makes them a tough team to beat.

Starting pitcher Landon Knack will take the mound for the Dodgers. In his last outing, he pitched six innings against the Yankees, allowing just one run. With a strong lineup and solid pitching, the Dodgers have a good chance to win this game.

The Lean

The Dodgers are favored to win with a moneyline of -138. Their strong hitting stats, like a .267 batting average and leading the league in home runs, give them an edge. The model projects a Dodgers win with a score of 6-4, making them a solid pick to win straight up against the Mets.

The over/under line is set at 9.5. Given the Dodgers’ top-ranked slugging percentage and the Mets’ 22nd-ranked ERA, the model projects a total score of 10. This suggests taking the over, as both teams have the potential to score runs and exceed the set line.

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Mets Aim to Close Out Season Series Strong With Another Win Over Dodgers

The New York Mets are playing with purpose — and it shows. After falling to the Los Angeles Dodgers in last season’s NLCS, the Mets now appear better equipped to carve out a smoother postseason path. With a series win already clinched and a 4-2 edge in the season series, New York will try to add an exclamation point in Thursday’s matinee finale at Dodger Stadium.

Left-hander David Peterson (4-2, 2.69 ERA) will take the mound for the Mets, squaring off against Dodgers righty Landon Knack (3-2, 4.58 ERA). Peterson has already beaten the Dodgers once this season, allowing two runs over a season-high 7 2/3 innings back on May 24.

With Wednesday’s 6-1 win, the Mets have now won 10 of their last 13 games, putting them in strong position atop the National League with a 39-23 record — a significant upgrade from last year’s 26-35 mark at this point in the season.

Want MLB pick analysis for this series? Dive into projections on the MLB Pick Page.

Alonso Leads Offensive Charge in Statement Win

Pete Alonso powered the offense on Wednesday with two home runs and five RBIs, helping the Mets capitalize on Griffin Canning’s six scoreless innings. The Mets held the Dodgers to just five hits and nearly blanked them for the first time in a month — Andy Pages’ ninth-inning homer was the only blemish.

“If you look back at the two series we’ve played against these guys, they’re pitching us really well,” said Dodgers manager Dave Roberts. “We’re kind of one step behind… but credit to them for executing.”

New York’s pitching staff has stifled the Dodgers’ lineup, which leads MLB in total runs scored (353) but has averaged just 3.3 runs per game against the Mets.

For the latest bullpen stats and matchup data, check the MLB Team Page.

Peterson vs. Knack: Southpaw Stability vs. Rising Rookie

Peterson comes into Thursday’s start with solid numbers against LA — he’s 2-0 in five career regular-season appearances against the Dodgers with a 4.63 ERA. He also won his last start, limiting the Rockies to one run in 5 2/3 innings.

Knack, on the other hand, is getting his second shot at the Mets. He pitched well on May 25, allowing just one run over six innings but took the loss in a tight 3-1 game. Most recently, he dominated the Yankees, allowing one run across six strong frames in an 18-2 rout.

Need updated pitching splits and odds? Visit the MLB Odds Page.

FAQ: Mets vs. Dodgers Series Finale

What’s at stake in this game?
Although the Mets have clinched the season series (4-2), a win would give them a 5-2 edge — which could be crucial for home-field advantage if the teams finish with identical records.

How has David Peterson pitched against the Dodgers?
Peterson is 2-0 with a 4.63 ERA in five career regular-season games. He beat the Dodgers last month, giving up just two runs over 7 2/3 innings.

Who has the edge on offense?
The Dodgers lead MLB in runs scored but have struggled to hit Mets pitching. New York has held LA to 10 total runs in four wins.

What’s Pete Alonso’s recent form?
Alonso is red-hot, coming off a two-homer, five-RBI performance on Wednesday. He’s been key to the Mets’ surge.

Can Landon Knack shut down the Mets?
He’s pitched well in both recent outings, including one against the Mets. But he’ll need run support — something LA hasn’t consistently provided in this series.

Explore full betting insights and expert tips on the MLB Expert Betting Guide.