Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Picks and Predictions August 17th 2025

Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres August 17th 2025

The San Diego Padres visit the Los Angeles Dodgers at Dodger Stadium for an afternoon game on Sunday, August 17, 2025. The Padres, with a record of 69-54, are second in the NL West. They are looking to break a two-game losing streak. The Dodgers hold the top spot in the division with a 70-53 record and come into this game on a two-game winning streak.

Yu Darvish will start for the Padres, carrying an ERA of 5.61. Tyler Glasnow takes the mound for the Dodgers with a 3.08 ERA. The weather forecast predicts a mild day with clear skies and calm winds. Fans can catch the game on SN LA at 4:10 PM.

Padres vs Dodgers Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
• Venue: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, CA
• Date: Sunday, August 17, 2025 at 4:10 PM
• Betting Odds: Padres Moneyline +131, Dodgers Moneyline -155, Padres Runline +1.5 (-162), Dodgers Runline -1.5 (+135), Total Over 8.5 (-105), Total Under 8.5 (-115)

The Padres Can Win If…

The San Diego Padres are coming off a tough 6-0 loss to the Los Angeles Dodgers. Despite the score, Fernando Tatis Jr. showed promise with two hits, including a double. The Padres will look to bounce back with their lineup, which includes Manny Machado, who leads the team with 20 home runs and 72 RBIs.

The Padres have a solid batting average of .251, ranking 7th in the league. Their pitching staff has been strong, with a team ERA of 3.57, which is the 2nd best in the league. Yu Darvish will start for the Padres, and he aims to improve his record and help the team secure a win.

San Diego’s ability to limit opponents’ batting average to .225, the best in the league, gives them an edge. Ramón Laureano, who has 18 home runs, adds power to their lineup. With a mix of strong hitting and pitching, the Padres have the tools needed to win this game against the Dodgers.

The Dodgers Can Win If…

The Los Angeles Dodgers are coming off a strong 6-0 win against the San Diego Padres. Blake Snell pitched six scoreless innings, allowing only five hits. Teoscar Hernández hit a home run and drove in two runs, while Shohei Ohtani and Michael Conforto also contributed with key hits.

The Dodgers have a powerful lineup, ranking second in home runs with 181 this season. They also hold the second spot in slugging percentage at .440. With hitters like Shohei Ohtani, who has 43 home runs, and Freddie Freeman, with a .299 batting average, the team has the firepower to score runs.

On the mound, Tyler Glasnow will start for the Dodgers with a 3.08 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP. His ability to limit runs and strike out batters gives the Dodgers a strong chance to control the game. Facing a Padres lineup that has struggled against him in the past, Glasnow’s performance will be crucial.

The Lean

The Dodgers are favored with a moneyline of -155 against the Padres. The Dodgers have a strong batting lineup, ranking 2nd in slugging percentage and home runs. Their pitching also ranks high with a 2nd place ERA. My model projects the Dodgers to win 5-3. Based on these factors, the recommendation is to pick the Dodgers to win straight up.

The total for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Dodgers’ strong offense and the Padres’ lower-ranked pitching suggest a higher scoring game. My model projects a combined score of 8 runs. Given the line and the projected score, the recommendation is to bet on the under 8.5 runs.

Dodgers Back on Top, Playing Their Best Baseball Yet

The Los Angeles Dodgers aren’t just back in first place in the NL West — they’re playing like it again. With a chance to sweep their SoCal rivals, the San Diego Padres, Sunday’s game at Dodger Stadium carries weight well beyond bragging rights.

In a 6-0 win on Saturday, L.A. capitalized on six early walks by Dylan Cease, scoring five runs in just two innings on a single hit. It wasn’t flashy — just smart, clean baseball. And that’s exactly what manager Dave Roberts is most proud of.

“We’re minimizing the walks, taking walks, not making outs on the bases, and converting outs when we need to,” Roberts said. That’s Dodger baseball.

Since the All-Star break, the team’s form has been uneven — going 10-14 before this series. But they’ve now taken both games against the Padres, improving to 7-2 in head-to-head matchups this season.

Explore full Dodgers profile

Tyler Glasnow: The Quiet Weapon on the Mound

Dodgers’ starter Tyler Glasnow (1-1, 3.08 ERA) may not have racked up wins lately, but he’s quietly been one of the most reliable arms in the rotation. Over his last six starts, Glasnow has posted a 2.34 ERA, averaging 7.5 strikeouts over his last four.

Against the Padres in his career, he’s 0-0 with a 2.63 ERA — strong numbers despite a limited sample.

Glasnow vs Padres – Career Stats

This kind of consistency gives L.A. a solid foundation to go for the sweep on Sunday.

Padres’ Offense Goes Missing

The Padres came into the series red-hot, averaging 6.2 runs per game over a five-game win streak. That fire’s been extinguished — they’ve scored just two runs in the last two games combined. On Saturday, they actually outhit the Dodgers 6-5, but poor baserunning and missed opportunities cost them dearly.

Manager Mike Shildt was left scratching his head:
“That was an odd game. We outhit them and lost 6-0. We had a plan, but they made plays.”

To make matters worse, the Dodgers’ catcher Will Smith shut down the running game early, throwing out three base stealers in the first two innings.

See more on Padres’ performance

Yu Darvish Returns to Face His Former Team

San Diego will turn to Yu Darvish (2-3, 5.61 ERA) on Sunday. The former Dodger has only made seven starts this season due to elbow issues, but he’s historically pitched well against L.A.

Darvish vs Dodgers – Regular Season

Last year alone, Darvish posted a 1.72 ERA against the Dodgers in three starts, plus a solid 1-1 record in the playoffs.

But coming off an injury, it’s unclear if he can replicate those numbers, especially against a suddenly efficient Dodgers offense.

Who to Watch on Both Sides

Dodgers catcher Will Smith is turning into a defensive weapon, while hitters like Freddie Freeman and Mookie Betts remain threats at the plate.

The Padres, meanwhile, will likely shuffle their lineup to get Gavin Sheets or Ryan O’Hearn involved against the righty Glasnow, after sitting them in recent matchups against lefties.

FAQs

Why are the Dodgers suddenly playing so well?
They’re minimizing mistakes, drawing walks, and making smart base-running and defensive decisions.

How many games have the Dodgers won against the Padres this season?
So far, they’ve won 7 of the 9 matchups in 2025.

Is Tyler Glasnow due for a win?
Yes — despite a strong ERA, he hasn’t won in his last 10 starts, often due to low run support.

What happened to the Padres’ offense?
After a 6.2 run average over 5 games, they’ve cooled off and scored just twice in two games.

Will Yu Darvish be on a pitch limit?
Possibly, considering he’s recently returned from elbow inflammation and has limited innings this year.

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