Petco Park San Diego

Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres Pick & Prediction MAY 8TH 2022

MLB | BASEBALL
TV: Bally Sports Network
Logo Miami Marlins
VS
Logo San Diego Padres
6.5
OPENNER
-145

6.5o -113
CURRENT
-1.5 +135

+142
MONEYLINE
-154

2
SCORE
3

Trevor Rogers has a tough act to follow.

Over the past three nights, Miami Marlins starters Jesus Luzardo, Sandy Alcantara and Pablo Lopez have combined to hold the San Diego Padres to five runs (four earned) on 13 hits and six walks with 17 strikeouts in 26 2/3 innings.

It's a small sample size, but that's a 1.35 ERA and 0.712 WHIP.

"We've gotten great starting pitching; actually, we've gotten great pitching from everyone the first three games of the series," Marlins manager Don Mattingly said Saturday night after the Marlins won 8-0 to snap a six-game losing streak. "With an other hit here or there, we could have been looking at a very good week."

So it's up to Rogers on Sunday to keep the Padres' bats cold in San Diego and give the Marlins a split of the four-game series.

The left-handed Rogers (1-4, 6.14 ERA) will be paired against Padres right-hander Joe Musgrove (4-0, 1.97).

Not only is Musgrove undefeated, the Padres are 5-0 in his 2022 starts.

"Joe is special," Padres manager Bob Melvin said recently. "Not only is he very competitive and a battler, we just seem to play well behind him, both offensively and defensively."

The Padres have outscored the opposition 37-13 in Musgrove's five starts. They will turn to their stopper Sunday seeking to avoid losing two straight games for the first time since April 16.

The only question is how many runs the Padres can score. Though they are 8-3 over their past 11 games, they have struggled at the plate. No one below the No. 4 hitter in their lineup the past two nights is hitting .200.

Rogers could be the remedy for San Diego's slumping offense.

In his first five starts this season, he has given up 17 runs (15 earned) on 22 hits and 11 walks with 18 strikeouts in 22 innings. He has a 1.50 WHIP, and opposing hitters are batting .262 against him.

Rogers, who finished second in the National League Rookie of the Year voting last year, had a 2.64 ERA and a 1.150 WHIP while being named to the National League All-Star team.

His strikeouts-per-nine-innings count of 7.4 is down 3.2 from a year ago. Meanwhile, he is giving up more hits and walks. Rogers will face the Padres for the first time.

Meanwhile, Musgrove has given up 10 runs (seven earned) on 27 hits and just two walks with 33 strikeouts in 32 innings this season for a 0.906 WHIP and a .227 opponents' batting average.

"Joe is getting better and better and strives to be even better," Melvin said. "He worked hard to add the changeup to his mix this season. And he's not afraid to use it, which gives him a five-pitch mix. The biggest thing is confidence. Off the success that he had last season and the changes he's made this year, he is very confident in what he is doing and what he brings to the game."

--Field Level Media

PREDICTION
Miami Marlins
3
4
San Diego Padres

Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres

Right-hander Trevor Richards allowed one hit over five shutout innings and catcher Jorge Alfaro drove in four runs with a homer and a double Sunday as the visiting Miami Marlins on Sunday handed the San Diego Padres a second straight 9-3 defeat to take the rubber match of a three-game series at Petco Park.

In addition to outscoring the Padres 18-6 in the final two games of the series, the Marlins, who have the worst record in the National League, outhit the Padres 24-8.

The game was delayed 28 minutes during the third inning by a swarm of bees and saw third baseman Ty France pitch a scoreless ninth for the Padres.

Alfaro broke up a scoreless tie with a two-run homer to center in the second inning and added a two-run double in the fourth.

The Padres' only hit off Richards was a push-bunt single by left-handed-hitting reserve catcher Austin Allen leading off the third inning to beat the shift. Richards also issued two walks against eight strikeouts to improve to 3-5.

The Padres didn't get their second hit until the Marlins led 9-0 in the bottom of the seventh. Hunter Renfroe hit his 16th homer of the season off left-handed reliever Wei-Yin Chen. Renfroe added his 17th home run in the bottom of the ninth off Jeff Brigham, driving in all three San Diego runs.

Richards, Chen, Jarlin Garcia and Brigham combined on a four-hitter.

Martin Prado singled in front of Alfaro's ninth homer of the season in the second. Garrett Cooper homered in the third to make it 3-0. And Harold Ramirez singled and Prado doubled ahead of Alfaro's line-drive double to right in the fourth.

Ramirez later added a pair of RBI singles while Starlin Castro drove in two runs with a sacrifice fly and a double.

Ramirez and Brian Anderson were each 3-for-5 for the Marlins. Anderson scored two runs. Prado and Alfaro each had two hits.

Padres starter Matt Strahm (2-5) took the loss, allowing seven runs on seven hits with five strikeouts and no walks in 4 1/3 innings -- his shortest start since going 2 2/3 innings in his first outing of the season.

--Field Level Media

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