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Miami Marlins vs Houston Astros August 4th 2025
The Houston Astros will visit the Miami Marlins at loanDepot Park on Monday, August 4, 2025. The game will start at 6:40 PM and air on SCHN. The Astros have a 62-50 record and are first in the AL West. They are on a three-game losing streak and have struggled in their last ten games, going 2-8.
The Marlins, with a 55-55 record, sit third in the NL East. They are on a five-game winning streak and have an 8-2 record over their last ten games. The starting pitchers are Jason Alexander for the Astros and Sandy Alcantara for the Marlins. Weather forecasts predict a very hot day with light rain, but the retractable roof may minimize the impact on play.
Astros vs Marlins Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: Houston Astros vs. Miami Marlins
- Venue: loanDepot Park in Miami, FL
- Date: Monday, August 4, 2025
- Betting Odds: Astros Moneyline -104, Marlins Moneyline -114, Astros Runline -1.5 (+154), Marlins Runline +1.5 (-189), Total Over 8.5 (-102), Total Under 8.5 (-119)
The Astros Can Win If…
The Houston Astros are looking to bounce back after a tough series against the Boston Red Sox. In their most recent game, they fell 6-1, with Carlos Correa hitting a home run. Despite the loss, the Astros have shown they can produce runs, as seen in their 9-1 victory over the Washington Nationals just days earlier.
The Astros have a solid batting lineup, ranking 2nd in the league with a .257 batting average. Jeremy Peña leads the team with a .322 average, while Jose Altuve has hit 18 home runs this season. Their ability to get on base and drive in runs gives them a strong chance to win against the Miami Marlins.
On the pitching side, the Astros have a 3.71 ERA, placing them 7th in the league. Jason Alexander will start against the Marlins, and although his ERA is high, the Astros’ defense and bullpen can provide support. The team’s ability to strike out opponents, leading the league with 1081 strikeouts, will be key in securing a win.
The Marlins Can Win If…
The Miami Marlins are on a hot streak, having won their last five games. In their most recent game against the New York Yankees, they won 7-3. Edward Cabrera pitched six strong innings, allowing just one run and striking out seven.
The Marlins’ batting lineup has been consistent. They rank 6th in batting average at .252 and 7th in doubles with 186. Kyle Stowers leads the team with 25 home runs and 71 RBIs, making him a key player to watch.
Sandy Alcantara will start for the Marlins against the Astros. Despite a 6.36 ERA, Alcantara has shown potential in past games, like his five shutout innings against the Cardinals. With their current momentum and strong hitting lineup, the Marlins have a solid chance to win.
The Lean
The Astros are favored on the moneyline at -104, while the Marlins are at -114. The Astros have a strong batting average, ranking 2nd in the league. Their pitching is also solid, with a 3.71 ERA, ranking 7th. Based on these stats, the Astros are projected to win with a score of 5-4. The recommendation is to pick the Astros to win straight up.
The total for the game is set at 8.5 runs, with the over at -102 and the under at -119. The Astros’ offense, with a .257 batting average, and the Marlins’ pitching, with a 4.37 ERA, suggest a high-scoring game. The projected total score is 9 runs. The recommendation is to bet on the over 8.5 runs.
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A Stunning Role Reversal: Red-Hot Marlins Host Slumping Astros Juggernaut
It is a matchup that no baseball fan could have possibly predicted at the start of the season. The Miami Marlins, a franchise that has been a perennial cellar-dweller, are currently the hottest team in baseball, playing with a swagger and confidence that has captivated their city. The Houston Astros, a modern-day dynasty on track for their ninth consecutive playoff berth, are arriving in South Florida licking their wounds after being swept over the weekend. When these two teams open a three-game interleague series on Monday night, it will be a fascinating study in momentum and a stunning role reversal, with the upstart Marlins looking to prove their incredible run is for real against the slumping juggernaut.
The Miami Miracle: A City Reborn
To say the Miami Marlins have turned their season around would be a massive understatement. This is a team that lost 100 games last year and has made the playoffs just twice in the last 21 seasons. As recently as mid-June, they were 16 games under .500, another lost season seemingly on the horizon. Since then, they have been a completely different club. The Marlins are a remarkable 30-14 since June 13 and are currently riding a five-game winning streak. Their weekend series against the New York Yankees was a franchise-defining moment. They completed their first-ever series sweep of the Yankees, a feat that brought their record to an even .500 (55-55) for the first time since April.
The fans have responded in a massive way. The three-game series against New York drew over 101,000 spectators, the largest three-game attendance figure since LoanDepot Park opened in 2012. For a team that had the worst attendance in the National League last year, the electric atmosphere is a sign that something special is brewing in Miami. “It’s been a steady climb,” said Marlins rookie manager Clayton McCullough, a leading candidate for NL Manager of the Year. “To get to .500 is great. It took a lot of work to get here. Now we have to get ready for Houston.”
A look at the recent form of these two clubs shows just how different their trajectories have been over the past couple of weeks.
| Team | Record (Last 10) | Runs Scored (Last 10) | Team ERA (Last 10) |
| Miami Marlins | 8-2 | 5.5 | 3.10 |
| Houston Astros | 6-4 | 4.8 | 4.50 |
Stars and Phenoms: The Fuel for the Fire
The Marlins’ surge has been powered by a combination of star power and an injection of exciting young talent. All-Star left fielder Kyle Stowers has been on an absolute tear, with two home runs and eight RBIs in the Yankees series alone. He has emerged as one of the most feared hitters in the National League. He has been joined by center fielder Jakob Marsee, who made his MLB debut over the weekend and put on a historic performance. Marsee became the first major leaguer since 1901 to record at least four extra-base hits and at least four walks in his first three career games. This immediate impact from a young player has added another layer of excitement to their lineup.
A Rare Stumble for the Juggernaut
While the Marlins are celebrating, the Astros are trying to flush a frustrating weekend. They were swept in three games by the Boston Red Sox, a rare sign of vulnerability for a team that is on pace to win its eighth division title in nine years. The Astros’ potent offense was held in check, and manager Joe Espada knows his team needs to turn the page quickly. “We just couldn’t get a lot going on the whole series,” Espada said. “We have to put it behind us quickly and get ready for Miami.” The challenge of a top-tier team trying to break out of a mini-slump is a key topic in our expert betting guide.
Houston’s New Look and a Revenge Game
The Astros’ lineup will feature some new and familiar faces. The team recently re-acquired franchise icon Carlos Correa, who spent his first seven seasons in Houston. His return to the clubhouse provides a massive leadership boost. The series also marks the return of former Marlins right fielder Jesus Sanchez, who was traded to Houston just prior to the deadline. He will be facing his old team for the first time, adding a personal “revenge game” element to the series.
The Pitching Matchup: A Tale of Two Comebacks
Monday night’s pitching matchup is a fantastic duel between two right-handers who are on their own comeback journeys. The Marlins will send out their former ace, Sandy Alcantara (6-9, 6.36 ERA). The 2022 Cy Young winner missed all of last season with elbow surgery and has struggled for most of this year. However, with the trade deadline passed and his name out of the rumor mill, he has been dominant, tossing 12 scoreless innings over his last two starts. The Astros will counter with 32-year-old journeyman Jason Alexander (1-1, 7.36), who has battled his way back to the majors after eight years in the minor leagues.
| Pitcher | W-L (2025) | ERA (2025) | Last 2 Starts |
| Sandy Alcantara (MIA) | 6-9 | 6.36 | 12 IP, 0 ER, 13 K |
| Jason Alexander (HOU) | 1-1 | 7.36 | 8.2 IP, 7 ER, 6 K |
The scores and odds for this matchup will be fascinating, as Alcantara’s recent form makes the Marlins a dangerous opponent for anyone. For more in-depth analysis of this and other games, you can view all of our MLB previews. You can also check the official MLB game results from the weekend. To see who our experts are backing in this interleague showdown, check out our daily MLB picks. To get access to even more premium content and betting tools, you can register for an account today.
