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Miami Marlins vs Houston Astros August 5th 2025
The Houston Astros will play against the Miami Marlins at loanDepot Park. The game is set for Tuesday, August 5, 2025, at 6:40 PM. The Astros lead the AL West with a 63-50 record, while the Marlins hold a 55-56 record in the NL East.
Both teams come into this game with different recent performances. The Astros have won one of their last ten games, while the Marlins have won seven of their last ten. The Marlins will start Cal Quantrill, who has a 4.79 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP this season. The Astros have not announced their starting pitcher yet.
Astros vs Marlins Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: Houston Astros vs. Miami Marlins
- Venue: loanDepot Park, Miami, FL
- Date: Tuesday, August 5, 2025
- Betting Odds: Astros Moneyline -113, Marlins Moneyline -107, Astros Runline -1.5 (+147), Marlins Runline +1.5 (-180), Total Over 8.5 (-110), Total Under 8.5 (-111)
The Astros Can Win If…
The Houston Astros are coming off a strong win against the Miami Marlins, with an 8-2 victory. Jason Alexander pitched six innings, allowing only three hits and no runs. Jeremy Peña and Yainer Diaz both had two hits, driving in three runs between them.
The Astros have a solid batting average of .257, ranking second in the league. Their on-base percentage is .320, placing them seventh. With a team ERA of 3.70, they rank sixth, showing strong pitching depth.
Jeremy Peña leads the team with a .324 batting average, while Jose Altuve has 18 home runs. Their lineup is consistent, with players like Christian Walker and Yainer Diaz providing power. Facing a Marlins starter with a 4.79 ERA, the Astros have a good chance to capitalize and secure another win.
The Marlins Can Win If…
The Miami Marlins are looking to bounce back from their recent 8-2 loss against the Houston Astros. In that game, Sandy Alcantara pitched seven innings, giving up six runs. Despite the loss, Derek Hill and Javier Sanoja each hit a home run, showing their ability to contribute offensively.
The Marlins have shown they can win with strong pitching performances, as seen in their recent 2-0 victory over the Yankees. Eury Pérez pitched six shutout innings in that game. The team ranks 7th in strikeouts this season, which can be a key factor in controlling opposing hitters.
Offensively, the Marlins have several players who can make an impact. Kyle Stowers leads the team with 25 home runs and 71 RBIs. With a team batting average ranked 6th in the league, the Marlins have the potential to put runs on the board and support their pitching staff in their next game.
The Lean
The Astros have a slight edge with a moneyline of -113 against the Marlins at -107. The Astros have a strong batting average and a solid pitching staff, ranking 2nd in batting average and 6th in ERA. Our model projects a score of Astros 5, Marlins 4. Based on these factors, the recommendation is to pick the Astros to win straight up.
The total for the game is set at 8.5 runs, with the over at -110 and the under at -111. The Astros’ pitching ranks high, but the Marlins’ pitching struggles with a 24th-ranked ERA. Our model projects a total score of 9 runs. Given this projection, the recommendation is to take the over on 8.5 runs.
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Astros Seek Another Offensive Outburst vs. Marlins
The Houston Astros snapped a mini-slump with an 8–2 victory at Miami on Monday, collecting 11 hits after being held to just five runs in a three-game sweep at Boston. Now they’ll look to build on that momentum in Game 2 of this three-game set at loanDepot park. For more on today’s top plays, browse our latest MLB picks.
Astros Looking to Keep the Offense Rolling
Houston’s lineup came alive behind two-hit efforts from Jeremy Peña, Yanier Díaz and Cam Smith, who combined for four RBIs in the opener. With veteran slugger José Altuve and newcomer Carlos Correa now finding their timing, the Astros hope to string together another barrage of hits. If you want to dive deeper into matchup breakdowns and player trends, check out our comprehensive MLB previews.
Marlins’ Resurgence
Miami arrives with plenty of confidence after halting a five-game skid on Monday, part of a remarkable turnaround from last year’s 100-loss season. Since June 13 the Marlins are 30–15, fueled by breakout performances from utilityman Javier Sanoja and shutdown relief appearances. For strategic insights on betting over this hot stretch, our expert betting guide can help you sharpen your approach.
Pitching Matchup to Watch
The Marlins will send right-hander Cal Quantrill (4–8, 4.79 ERA) to the mound Tuesday, fresh off 16 shutout innings over his last three starts. Houston’s starter is still to be announced, but expect the Astros to counter with a veteran who can keep the lineup clicking. If you want to lock in a play before first pitch, explore our buy picks for expert selections.
Trade Impacts and Injury Updates
Former Marlins outfielder Jesús Sánchez made an immediate return appearance in Miami, lining an RBI double off Sandy Alcántara in his Astros debut. Carlos Correa is also settling in with 17 at-bats to date. Meanwhile, Isaac Paredes (19 HR, .829 OPS) is rehabbing a right hamstring tear in hopes of a late-season return. For a look at how our top handicappers rank in success and ROI, visit the leaderboard.
How to Follow the Series
Tuesday’s game kicks off at 7:10 p.m. ET, with live updates, box scores and highlights available throughout the night. To review yesterday’s box score or track the series result, head over to our game results.
on, the recommendation is to take the over on 8.5 runs.
