Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks and Predictions June 17th 2025

Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies June 17th 2025

The Philadelphia Phillies will play against the Miami Marlins at loanDepot Park in Miami, FL. This night game is set for Tuesday, June 17, 2025, at 6:10 PM. Fans can watch the game on NSPPH.

The Phillies have a record of 43-29 this season and are 2 games behind in the NL East. They will start Jesús Luzardo, who has a 4.23 ERA and a 6-2 record. The Marlins, with a 28-42 record, are 16 games back in the same division. Cal Quantrill will take the mound for the Marlins, with a 5.61 ERA and a 3-7 record.

Phillies vs Marlins Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins
• Venue: loanDepot Park in Miami, FL
• Date: Tuesday, June 17, 2025
• Betting Odds: Phillies MoneyLine -203, Marlins MoneyLine +168

The Phillies Can Win If…

The Philadelphia Phillies are coming off a 5-2 win against the Miami Marlins. Mick Abel pitched 5 innings, allowing only 1 run. Trea Turner and Max Kepler each hit a home run, contributing to the team’s success.

The Phillies have a strong batting lineup, ranking 2nd in batting average at .257. They also have a solid on-base percentage, ranked 3rd at .330. Their ability to get on base and score runs gives them an edge in any game.

Jesús Luzardo will start for the Phillies, with a record of 6-2. He has shown he can deliver quality starts, contributing to the team’s 39 quality starts this season, which ranks 1st. With strong pitching and hitting, the Phillies are well-positioned to win their next game.

The Marlins Can Win If…

The Miami Marlins recently faced the Philadelphia Phillies, losing 5-2 at home. Sandy Alcantara pitched five innings, allowing five hits and two earned runs. Xavier Edwards had a good performance, going 2-for-4 with two singles.

The Marlins have shown strong hitting stats this season. They hold a .251 batting average, ranking sixth in the league. Their ability to hit doubles is also notable, with 115 doubles placing them tenth in the league.

Key players for the Marlins include Agustín Ramírez and Xavier Edwards. Ramírez leads the team with 10 home runs, while Edwards has a solid .283 batting average. With these players in form, the Marlins have a strong chance to win their next game against the Phillies.

The Lean

The Phillies are favored with a MoneyLine of -203. The Marlins are at +168. The Phillies have a better batting average and on-base percentage, ranking 2nd and 3rd in the league. My model projects the Phillies to win with a score of 5-3.

The over/under line is set at 8.0. The Phillies have a solid pitching staff with a 3.87 ERA, while the Marlins’ ERA is higher at 5.03. Given these stats, my model predicts a total of 8 runs, so the recommendation is to take the over.

Luzardo’s homecoming

After yielding 20 runs across two rough starts, left-hander Jesus Luzardo stamped his rebound last week with ten strikeouts over six innings in a 7-2 win at Chicago. Now Luzardo (6-2, 4.23 ERA) returns to loanDepot Park to face the Marlins, where he spent three-plus seasons before the December trade. His first start back in Miami came on April 20, when he allowed just one earned run over seven innings—today he’ll look to channel that familiarity and keep Philadelphia’s five-game win streak intact.

Quantrill seeks rebound

Miami counters with righty Cal Quantrill (3-7, 5.61 ERA), who tossed six shutout innings against Texas on June 6 but has since dropped three straight decisions. In Wednesday’s loss to Pittsburgh, he surrendered four runs (three earned) over five innings. Quantrill’s veteran arsenal of fastballs and offspeed pitches must keep sluggers like Trea Turner at bay to snap the club’s skid.

Turner’s hot streak and lineup moves

Trea Turner leads the Phillies’ charge after Monday’s opener, going 3-for-5 with a leadoff homer and two RBIs. He’s batting .333 (18-for-54) with three homers in his last 13 games, energizing a lineup that’s now scored five runs or more in four of five contests. For full roster details and defensive alignments, explore the Scores and Stats MLB teams hub.

Handicapper spotlight — Scott’s Picks

Premium handicapper Scott’s Picks went 4-1 yesterday for a $458 profit, including 2-1 on moneylines (+$258) and 2-0 on totals (+$200). His model highlights Luzardo’s regained form and Quantrill’s recent uneven outings, locking in Phillies on the moneyline as today’s featured play. Follow Scott’s full ticket on the Scores and Stats MLB picks hub.

Betting tools & analysis

Live side and total odds are available on the Scores and Stats MLB odds board. To refine your approach with park factors, platoon splits, and late-inning leverage, consult the comprehensive Scores and Stats expert betting guide.

Prediction: Phillies 6, Marlins 3. Luzardo settles in early, Turner extends his streak, and Scott’s Picks’ moneyline angle pays off as Philadelphia completes two-game sweep in Miami.