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Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies June 18th 2025
The Philadelphia Phillies will take on the Miami Marlins at loanDepot Park in Miami. This game is set for Wednesday, June 18, 2025, at 6:40 PM. The Phillies have a 43-30 record, while the Marlins are at 29-42.
Ranger Suárez will start for the Phillies. He has an ERA of 2.33 and a WHIP of 1.07. Adam Mazur will start for the Marlins. The game will be broadcast on FDSFL. Weather conditions include light rain, but the retractable roof may limit its impact.
Phillies vs Marlins Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins
- Venue: loanDepot Park in Miami, FL
- Date: Wednesday, June 18, 2025
- Betting Odds: Phillies MoneyLine -195, Marlins MoneyLine +133
The Phillies Can Win If…
The Philadelphia Phillies are looking to bounce back after their recent 8-3 loss to the Miami Marlins. Despite the loss, Trea Turner had a strong performance with a home run and two hits. The Phillies have shown they can hit well, as evidenced by their 10 hits in the game on June 16th, where they won 5-2 against the Marlins.
The Phillies have solid batting stats this season, with a team batting average of .257, ranking 2nd in the league. They also have a strong on-base percentage of .329, placing them 3rd. Kyle Schwarber is a key player with 22 home runs, ranking 3rd in the league, making him a significant threat at the plate.
Ranger Suárez is set to start for the Phillies, boasting an impressive ERA of 2.33 and a WHIP of 1.07. His strong pitching could be a game-changer. The Phillies also lead the league with 39 quality starts, showing they can rely on their pitching staff to keep them in games.
The Marlins Can Win If…
The Miami Marlins are coming off a strong 8-3 win against the Philadelphia Phillies. In this game, the Marlins collected 13 hits, including two home runs. Eric Wagaman and Jesús Sánchez were key contributors, each hitting a home run.
The Marlins have shown they can perform well at the plate. They hold a .253 batting average, ranking 4th in the league. Their ability to get on base and score runs gives them an edge in close games.
Miami’s lineup features players like Xavier Edwards and Dane Myers, who have been consistent hitters. Edwards boasts a .295 average, while Myers is hitting .333. With these players in form, the Marlins have a solid chance to secure another win.
The Lean
The Phillies are favored to win with a MoneyLine of -195. The Marlins have a MoneyLine of +133. My model projects the Phillies to win with a score of 5-3. The Phillies have a strong hitting record with a .257 batting average, which ranks 2nd in the league. This gives them an edge over the Marlins.
The over/under line is set at 7.5. My model predicts a total score of 8 runs, suggesting a bet on the over. The Phillies’ pitching has an ERA of 3.94, which ranks 18th, while the Marlins have a higher ERA of 5.00. This indicates potential for runs to be scored, supporting the over bet.
Stay Ahead of the Diamond
MLB Data & Insights
Castellanos Expected Back as Phillies Face Confident Marlins
All eyes will be on the lineup card in Miami on Wednesday as right fielder Nick Castellanos is expected to return for the Philadelphia Phillies. He’ll rejoin his team as they try to get back in the win column against a surging Miami Marlins squad.
The Clubhouse Drama
Castellanos was benched for Tuesday’s game after making what manager Rob Thomson deemed an “inappropriate” comment when he was removed for a defensive replacement on Monday. The move snapped Castellanos’ streak of 236 consecutive games started.
“I wasn’t happy about it. I spoke my mind,” Castellanos said. “(Thomson) said that I crossed a line, so my punishment is that I’m not playing.” This type of clubhouse dynamic is a fascinating, if unpredictable, factor in our expert betting guide.
Confident Marlins Keep Fighting
With Castellanos watching, the Marlins snapped the Phillies’ five-game winning streak with an impressive 8-3 victory on Tuesday. Miami has now won four of its last five games, and the team is playing with a newfound swagger.
“It just continues to show whoever we’re playing, our guys are going to put up a fight,” Marlins manager Clayton McCullough said. “They believe they can beat anyone.”
A Lopsided Pitching Duel on Paper
The Phillies will look to their ace to stop the bleeding. Lefty Ranger Suarez (5-1, 2.32 ERA) has been one of the most dominant pitchers in baseball recently. After a rough first start to the season, he has posted a minuscule 1.36 ERA over his last seven outings.
The Marlins will counter by recalling right-hander Adam Mazur from Triple-A to make his team debut. Mazur struggled at the major league level last season with the Padres and will face a tough test against the potent Phillies lineup. This mismatch on the mound will be a major focus on the scores and odds board.
As these two MLB teams continue their four-game set, the question is whether the Marlins’ confidence can overcome a huge disadvantage on the mound. To see who our experts are backing, check out our daily MLB picks.
