Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks and Predictions September 6th 2025

Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies September 6th 2025

The Philadelphia Phillies will take on the Miami Marlins at loanDepot Park. The Phillies lead the NL East with a record of 82-59. They come into this game with a two-game winning streak and a 6-4 record in their last ten games. Philadelphia’s road record stands at 37-36, and they aim to improve it further.

The Miami Marlins are third in the NL East with a record of 65-76. They have struggled recently, losing their last four games and going 3-7 in their last ten. Miami will look to turn things around at home, where they hold a 31-38 record. The game will feature Jesús Luzardo starting for the Phillies and Sandy Alcantara for the Marlins. Weather conditions are expected to be hot with light rain.

Phillies vs Marlins Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins
• Venue: loanDepot Park in Miami, FL
• Date: Saturday, September 6, 2025
• Betting Odds: Phillies Moneyline -156, Marlins Moneyline +132

The Phillies Can Win If…

The Philadelphia Phillies head into their next game after a strong 9-3 win against the Miami Marlins. In that game, Cristopher Sánchez threw seven innings, allowing just one run. Bryson Stott, Brandon Marsh, and Max Kepler each hit a home run, contributing to a total of 16 hits for the team.

The Phillies have a solid batting average of .258, ranking third in the league. Their lineup includes Kyle Schwarber, who has hit 49 home runs this season, placing him second in the league. With players like Trea Turner and Bryce Harper, the Phillies have a balanced mix of power and consistency at the plate.

On the mound, Jesús Luzardo will start for the Phillies. Luzardo has a 12-6 record with a 4.05 ERA, showing he can be effective. The Phillies also rank second in the league for strikeouts, which can be crucial in shutting down opposing batters.

The Marlins Can Win If…

The Miami Marlins are looking to bounce back after a recent 9-3 loss to the Philadelphia Phillies. Despite the defeat, Brian Navarreto showed his power with a home run and two RBIs. The Marlins had eight hits, including four extra-base hits, which shows their potential to generate offense.

One reason the Marlins can win is their ability to hit doubles, ranking sixth in the league with 235. They also have a strong base-stealing game, with 112 stolen bases, placing them ninth. This speed can help them take extra bases and create scoring opportunities.

Sandy Alcantara will start for the Marlins, and he pitched well in his last win against the Mets, allowing just one run over seven innings. The Marlins’ lineup includes key players like Xavier Edwards, who has a batting average of .281, and Agustín Ramírez, who leads the team with 19 home runs. With their lineup and Alcantara on the mound, the Marlins have a solid chance to secure a win.

The Lean

The Phillies are favored with a moneyline of -156. The Marlins have a moneyline of +132. Given the Phillies’ stronger batting average and pitching stats, the recommendation is to pick the Phillies to win. The model projects a score of Phillies 5, Marlins 3.

The total for the game is set at 8.0. The model projects a total score of 8 runs. With both teams having decent offensive capabilities but the Phillies’ better pitching, the recommendation is to take the under at 8.0 (-111).

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Alcantara Building Momentum

The Miami Marlins are seeing encouraging signs from Sandy Alcantara as he continues to work back into form. After missing all of 2024 due to Tommy John surgery, the former Cy Young winner has endured a tough return season with an 8-11 record and 5.66 ERA.

His struggles included 11 runs allowed in his first two starts of August, but Alcantara has since turned the corner. Over his past four outings, he owns a 1.67 ERA and has pitched at least seven innings in three straight starts. His fastball even touched 100 mph in a recent 5-1 victory over the New York Mets, showing flashes of his past dominance.

Bettors and fans can track the latest lines and predictions for Alcantara and the Marlins in the MLB picks section.

Track Record Against Philadelphia

Alcantara has faced the Philadelphia Phillies twice this season with mixed results. He allowed six runs in just two innings on April 18 and then gave up two runs across five innings on June 16, taking the loss in both outings.

For his career, Alcantara is 6-10 with a 3.78 ERA in 21 appearances against Philadelphia. A deeper dive into how he has matched up historically with divisional opponents is available in the MLB previews section.

Luzardo Opposes Former Teammates

The Phillies will counter with Jesús Luzardo (12-6, 4.05 ERA), who has also faced Miami twice this season. He delivered seven strong innings with just two runs allowed in April but was tagged for four runs in five innings during a June start.

Most recently, Luzardo was dominant against the Atlanta Braves, striking out seven across 6 2/3 scoreless innings. His ability to command the fastball and keep hitters off balance could be key again in this matchup. For bettors evaluating pitching duels, the MLB expert betting guide offers additional insight.

Phillies’ Offense Staying Hot

Philadelphia (82-59) continues to pace the National League East, powered by an offense that delivered four home runs in Friday’s 9-3 win over Miami. Outfielders each went deep, Bryson Stott added a blast, and Trea Turner collected four hits. The new-look outfield alignment, which has shifted Nick Castellanos into more of a platoon role, has provided balance at the plate.

Follow how these offensive surges are impacting outcomes by reviewing the latest MLB game results

Miami Finds a Silver Lining

Despite the setback, Miami (65-76) found a bright spot with Brian Navarreto’s first career home run. It came in his first major league at-bat since 2020, a milestone moment after years of working his way back from the minors.

For fans looking to wager on upcoming games, the latest opportunities are featured in the MLB buy picks section. Additionally, tracking the success of leading analysts can be done through the best handicappers leaderboard