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Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals August 19th 2025
The St. Louis Cardinals will visit the Miami Marlins at loanDepot Park. The Cardinals have a record of 62-64 and are ranked fourth in the NL Central. They are on a one-game winning streak and have gone 4-6 in their last ten games. Michael McGreevy will start on the mound for the Cardinals. He has a 4.41 ERA and a 4-2 win-loss record.
The Miami Marlins hold a 59-66 record and sit third in the NL East. They are coming off a loss and have struggled recently with a 2-8 record in their last ten games. Edward Cabrera will be their starting pitcher. Cabrera has a 3.34 ERA and a 6-6 win-loss record. The game will be played at 6:40 PM under a retractable roof, which should mitigate any weather impacts.
Cardinals vs Marlins Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins
- Venue: loanDepot Park in Miami, FL
- Date: Tuesday, August 19, 2025
- Betting Odds: Cardinals Moneyline +118, Marlins Moneyline -140
The Cardinals Can Win If…
The St. Louis Cardinals are coming off a strong performance against the Miami Marlins, winning 8-3. Matthew Liberatore pitched five innings, giving up three runs and striking out five. Key hitters like Alec Burleson and Nolan Gorman contributed with multiple RBIs, showcasing the team’s offensive depth.
The Cardinals have a batting average of .249 this season, ranking 9th in the league. Their ability to hit doubles is notable, with 213 doubles placing them 5th. This consistent hitting can put pressure on the Marlins’ pitching staff.
Michael McGreevy will start for the Cardinals, bringing an ERA of 4.41 and a WHIP of 1.22. The Cardinals’ lineup includes top hitters like Willson Contreras and Alec Burleson, both with solid batting averages and home run numbers. With strong pitching and a capable lineup, the Cardinals have the tools to secure another win.
The Marlins Can Win If…
The Miami Marlins are ready to bounce back after their recent loss to the St. Louis Cardinals, 8-3. In that game, Eric Wagaman hit a home run, and Agustín Ramírez added a double. Despite the loss, Eury Pérez had six strikeouts in just over four innings.
The Marlins have some strong stats that suggest they can win. They have a team batting average of .251, which ranks 7th in the league. Their ability to hit doubles is also impressive, ranking 6th with 210 doubles this season.
Edward Cabrera will take the mound for the Marlins with a solid ERA of 3.34. Cabrera’s consistency gives the Marlins a chance to control the game from the start. With hitters like Xavier Edwards, who has a .302 average, the Marlins have the potential to score early and often.
The Lean
The Marlins are favored with a moneyline of -140. The Cardinals are at +118. The Marlins have a better team ERA and batting average. My model projects the Marlins to win 5-4. The recommendation is to pick the Marlins to win straight up.
The total for this game is set at 8.0. The model projects a total score of 9 runs. Both teams have mid-range slugging percentages and have given up a fair number of home runs. The recommendation is to take the over at 8.0 (-109).
Stay Ahead of the Diamond
MLB Data & Insights
St. Louis Gets Timely Surge to Snap Skid
After a tough five-game losing streak, the St. Louis Cardinals bounced back in a big way with an 8-3 win over the Miami Marlins on Monday. It wasn’t just the score — it was how they did it. The top of the lineup came alive, going 8-for-17 with four RBIs. Manager Oliver Marmol praised the team’s approach, citing improved at-bats and patient plate appearances, including five walks.
Willson Contreras returned after a short injury break and made an immediate impact, going 2-for-4 with an RBI. Marmol emphasized that Contreras brings more than just his bat — he brings energy and leadership to the clubhouse, something this team thrives on when he’s in the lineup.
With that win, the Cardinals are now just five games behind the New York Mets for the final National League Wild Card position.
McGreevy Stays Hot in August
On Tuesday, the Cardinals hand the ball to rookie right-hander Michael McGreevy (4-2, 4.41 ERA). The 25-year-old has pitched six full innings in each of his last three starts and holds a solid 2-0 record with a 3.50 ERA this month. This will be his first career outing against the Marlins.
Michael McGreevy – August 2025 Game Log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Innings Pitched | Earned Runs | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4 | vs Cubs | Win | 6 | 2 | 5 |
| Aug 11 | vs Rockies | Win | 6 | 3 | 4 |
| Aug 16 | vs Brewers | ND | 6 | 2 | 6 |
McGreevy was St. Louis’ first-round pick in 2021 and has quietly turned into a steady presence during a stretch when the rotation needed him most. For bettors looking at pitching trends, his consistency may offer value on the MLB odds board.
Cabrera Looks to Bounce Back for Miami
The Marlins, meanwhile, are reeling after eight losses in their last 10 games. On Monday, they were sloppy in all facets: four wild pitches by Eury Pérez, two recorded errors, and several other miscues that could’ve been called. Miami manager Clayton McCullough didn’t mince words, calling the effort “ugly” and reminding his team that being back at home is no excuse.
Looking to stop the bleeding will be right-hander Edward Cabrera (6-6, 3.34 ERA). The 26-year-old is having the best season of his career. He’s already set personal highs in innings pitched (113.1), games started (21), and has career-best control numbers — including a walk rate of 3.0 per nine innings.
Edward Cabrera – Career vs Cardinals
| Starts | Record | ERA | Innings Pitched | Hits Allowed | Earned Runs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0-1 | 1.64 | 11 | 6 | 2 |
Cabrera pitched well against the Cardinals earlier this season, allowing just one earned run across six innings in a July 28 start. Unfortunately, Miami’s offense didn’t show up that night, and they lost 7-1. With the Marlins’ current form, Cabrera may need to be flawless again — or get some much-needed help from his lineup and defense.
Can the Cardinals Close the Gap?
With the Wild Card race heating up, the Cardinals can’t afford to waste momentum. A win on Tuesday would secure a series victory and bring them one step closer to playoff contention. But consistency — especially in offensive execution — remains the biggest question mark. Can McGreevy stay sharp? Will the offense stay patient?
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