Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals Picks and Predictions September 8th 2025

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Nationals vs Marlins Picks and Predictions — September 8, 2025

The Miami Marlins will try to flip the script when they host the Washington Nationals for a four-game set beginning Monday at loanDepot Park. Miami (66-77) was swept by Washington (58-84) last week, with the Nationals outscoring them 17-7 across three games.

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Washington enters on a hot streak, having won five of six, capped by Sunday’s ninth-inning rally to beat the Cubs 6-3. Miami, meanwhile, snapped a five-game losing skid with a 5-4 win over Philadelphia but still faces an uphill battle to regain momentum.

For a full picture of recent performances, review the latest MLB game results.

Opening odds: Marlins -135 (moneyline), Nationals +114, Total 8 runs.


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Nationals Can Win If…

Josh Bell is heating up at the right time, delivering a clutch three-run homer in the ninth inning on Sunday. Daylen Lile and Robert Hassell III have added timely production, and Washington’s lineup has been effective at manufacturing runs with speed and doubles (top 10 in both categories).

Cade Cavalli (2-1, 4.85 ERA) gets the ball after beating Miami last week with five strong innings.

“Cade is a dawg on the mound … he’s a special player,” outfielder Daylen Lile said.

If Cavalli keeps hitters off-balance and the lineup maintains its opportunistic approach, the Nationals can continue their spoiler role.

Marlins Can Win If…

Miami finally snapped its skid on Sunday thanks to Otto Lopez’s two-homer, four-RBI game. The Marlins rank ninth in MLB in batting average (.250) and sixth in doubles, giving them multiple avenues to score.

Janson Junk (6-2, 4.09 ERA) returns from an elbow issue and has been consistent when healthy. He tossed 5 2/3 scoreless innings against Washington in June and will look to repeat that success.

“Felt like it had been a while … certainly feel better to get the lead today,” manager Clayton McCullough said of Sunday’s early offense.

If Junk shakes off the rust and Miami’s bats stay hot, they can strike back at home.

Key MLB Betting Trends

CategoryNationalsMarlins
Record58-84 (5th NL East)66-77 (3rd NL East)
Last 10 Games5-54-6
Runs Per Game4.24.3
ERA / Opp Runs4.82 ERA (26th MLB)4.46 ERA (19th MLB)
Season Series 2025Nationals lead 3-0Marlins trail 0-3

The Lean

Model Projection: Marlins 5, Nationals 4
Pick: Marlins Moneyline (-135)
Total Lean: Over 8.0

Miami is favored for a reason, especially with Junk back on the mound, but Washington’s recent surge and Cavalli’s solid outing against the Marlins last week make this no lock. Expect both offenses to contribute in a game that pushes past the total. Stay sharp with daily insights from our MLB Betting Predictions hub.


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