Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals Picks and Predictions September 10th 2025

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The Washington Nationals visit the Miami Marlins at loanDepot Park. The Nationals hold a record of 60-84 and are on a four-game winning streak. They have won seven of their last ten games. The Marlins have a record of 66-79 and are on a two-game losing streak. They have only won three of their last ten games.

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This game is set for Wednesday, September 10, 2025, at 6:40 PM. The Nationals’ starting pitcher is Jake Irvin, who has an ERA of 5.71. Eury Pérez will pitch for the Marlins, with an ERA of 4.66. The game will be broadcast on FDSFL. Weather conditions are expected to be very hot with a light breeze, but the retractable roof at loanDepot Park may minimize the impact of the wind.

Nationals vs Marlins Key Information

  • Sport: Baseball
  • Teams: Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins
  • Venue: loanDepot Park in Miami, FL
  • Date: Wednesday, September 10, 2025 at 6:40 PM
  • Betting Odds: Nationals Moneyline +138, Marlins Moneyline -162, Nationals Runline +1.5 (-153), Marlins Runline -1.5 (+128), Total Over 8.5 (-105), Total Under 8.5 (-115)

The Nationals Can Win If They Stay Hot at the Plate

The Washington Nationals are finally showing signs of life, and much of it centers around a resurgent offense. Led by the red-hot Josh Bell, Washington has powered its way to five straight wins over the Marlins and seven wins in its last eight games overall. Bell has three home runs and 10 RBIs in his last two games, while rookie Daylen Lile is batting .432 during a nine-game hitting streak.

If Jake Irvin can give the Nats five decent innings and limit long balls — a major weakness all year — Washington’s offense could once again carry the load. Their edge in extra-base hits (8th in doubles, 7th in stolen bases) gives them the tools to manufacture runs and pressure opposing pitchers.

The Marlins Can Win If They Finish What They Start

The Miami Marlins showed fight late in Tuesday’s loss, scoring three runs in the ninth and bringing the tying run to the plate. But moral victories don’t count in the standings — and Miami has now dropped seven of its last eight games. Still, with a solid .250 team batting average (8th in MLB) and plenty of contact hitters, this team isn’t out of it.

Eury Pérez needs to rebound after giving up seven runs to these same Nationals just over a week ago. He’s got the stuff — a 1.10 WHIP points to good control — but consistency has been elusive. If Pérez can settle in early and keep Josh Bell quiet, Miami’s bats might just be able to take it the rest of the way.

The Lean

  • Moneyline: Marlins -162
  • Total: 8.5 runs
  • Prediction: Marlins 5, Nationals 4

Recommended Bets:

  • Pick: Marlins to win straight up
  • Total: Over 8.5

Despite recent struggles, the Marlins are still the sharper team on paper — especially offensively. Both starting pitchers are prone to big innings, and both bullpens have been tested lately, which supports taking the over.

Additional Analysis: Trends, Pitching & Power

Jake Irvin’s numbers are troubling. He’s posted a 9.87 ERA over his last seven starts and has surrendered 33 home runs this season — most in the NL. He’s also allowed two homers in four of his last six outings. If the Marlins’ contact hitters can square up early, things could unravel fast.

Eury Pérez, while more controlled overall, hasn’t been much better lately. He’s lost back-to-back decisions and allowed seven runs to Washington in his last outing. But with a strong WHIP and the motivation to avenge that loss, this could be a bounce-back spot.

Offensively, both teams are strong in doubles, and the Nationals hold an edge in stolen bases. Still, with more depth and urgency, Miami may finally stop the bleeding.

Who is starting for the Nationals and Marlins today?

Jake Irvin (8-11, 5.71 ERA) starts for Washington, while Eury Pérez (6-5, 4.66 ERA) gets the nod for Miami.

Why are the Marlins favored despite recent losses?

The Marlins have the better batting average, a lower WHIP from their starter, and home-field advantage. They also have a more consistent offensive core.

What’s the over/under for Nationals vs Marlins?

The total is set at 8.5 runs. Given both pitchers’ recent struggles, betting the over is a reasonable play.

How has Josh Bell been performing lately?

He’s been on fire — three home runs and 10 RBIs in just the last two games. He’s a major reason the Nationals are surging.

Is this a good game for betting value?

Yes — if you’re looking for a plus-money underdog with momentum, the Nationals have value. If you’re more risk-averse, the Marlins straight up and over 8.5 is the sharp play.