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Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs July 28th 2025
Cubs vs Brewers Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers
- Venue: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI
- Date: Monday, July 28, 2025
- Betting Odds: Cubs Moneyline -113, Brewers Moneyline -105, Cubs Runline -1.5 (+150), Brewers Runline +1.5 (-179), Total Over 8.0 (-112), Total Under 8.0 (-108)
The Cubs Can Win If…
The Chicago Cubs head into their next game with confidence after defeating the Chicago White Sox 5-4 in their recent outing. Ben Brown pitched five solid innings, allowing just one run and striking out four. Pete Crow-Armstrong and Nico Hoerner were key contributors, combining for four hits and three RBIs.
The Cubs’ offense has been strong this season, ranking third in batting average at .255 and second in slugging percentage at .444. They have hit 155 home runs, placing them third in the league. With players like Seiya Suzuki and Pete Crow-Armstrong leading the charge, the Cubs have the power to score runs efficiently.
Matthew Boyd will take the mound for the Cubs with an impressive ERA of 2.20. His record of 11-3 shows his ability to control games. With a WHIP of 1.01, Boyd has been effective at keeping runners off base, which will be key in this matchup.
The Brewers Can Win If…
The Milwaukee Brewers are coming off a win against the Miami Marlins, with a score of 3-2. Brandon Woodruff pitched six innings, allowing only two runs and striking out six batters. Jackson Chourio contributed with two doubles and an RBI, while Blake Perkins scored a run and had an RBI as well.
The Brewers have a strong chance to win with their impressive pitching stats. They hold a 3.58 ERA, which ranks fourth in the league, and a batting average against of .231, ranking fifth. Jacob Misiorowski, with an ERA of 2.46, will be on the mound, providing them with a solid starting pitcher.
Offensively, the Brewers have key players like Jackson Chourio, who has a .276 batting average and 17 home runs. Brice Turang leads the team in runs with 62 and has a .276 average. Their ability to get on base, with a team OBP of .322, ranked fifth, gives them a good chance to generate runs against the Cubs.
Matchup of All-Stars, NL’s Top Teams When Cubs and Brewers Open Series
The top two teams in the National League are set to clash in a marquee three-game series starting Monday night as the Chicago Cubs visit the Milwaukee Brewers. With identical 62-43 records and the division lead on the line, both clubs will send elite arms to the mound in a game loaded with playoff implications.
Star-Studded Pitching Duel: Boyd vs. Misiorowski
Chicago will roll out veteran lefty Matthew Boyd (11-3, 2.20 ERA), who enters with a 23-inning scoreless streak — the longest active run in MLB. Boyd was dominant in his last outing, blanking the Royals over seven innings and continuing a stretch that has overwhelmed opposing hitters with command and movement.
“It’s just quality pitch after quality pitch,” manager Craig Counsell said. “There’s no let-up.”
Though Boyd has struggled historically against the Brewers (1-1, 9.95 ERA in 12.2 innings), he’s clearly in career-best form.
Milwaukee counters with rookie sensation Jacob Misiorowski (4-1, 2.45 ERA), making just his seventh career start. The 23-year-old has already recorded 40 strikeouts in 29 1/3 innings and is coming off 3 2/3 scoreless frames against Seattle. While the team is keeping his pitch count in check, Misiorowski’s velocity and spin rates have made him one of the league’s toughest matchups.
“He’s just out of the egg, all arms and legs,” said Brewers skipper Pat Murphy. “He’s something special.”
Looking for today’s best edges and model-driven analysis on elite pitching matchups like this? Check out our MLB expert picks section.
Division Race Tightens as Young Stars Shine
The Cubs have won three of five meetings against the Brewers this season and come into this critical series on the heels of a solid weekend, taking two of three from the White Sox. Third baseman Matt Shaw is red-hot, riding a nine-game hitting streak and slashing .444 with 4 homers and 10 RBIs during that span.
Chicago’s balanced attack and elite rotation have kept them in contention all year. For a look at how each team stacks up statistically and by position, head to the MLB teams overview.
Milwaukee snapped a short skid with a narrow 3-2 win over the Marlins on Sunday. Offensively, Jackson Chourio, 21, has electrified the lineup with a 20-game hitting streak — a rare feat for a player his age and a spark for the club’s postseason push.
Want to see where the public and sharp money are leaning on this game? Visit our live MLB scores and odds page for real-time lines and betting trends.
More Than Just a Midseason Series
This early-week series carries major playoff weight. Both teams are not only chasing the division crown but also fighting for top seeding in the National League. The Cubs’ veteran depth and pitching strength will be tested against the Brewers’ youthful energy and power arms.
For deeper strategy breakdowns and rotation insights, check out our full MLB betting guide — perfect for understanding high-leverage series like this one.
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The Lean
The Cubs are favored on the moneyline at -113, while the Brewers are at -105. The Cubs have a strong batting lineup, ranking 2nd in slugging percentage and 3rd in home runs. Given their offensive power and the Brewers’ lower slugging percentage, the Cubs are the pick to win. My model projects a score of Cubs 5, Brewers 4.
The total for the game is set at 8.0, with the over at -112 and the under at -108. Both teams have solid pitching, with the Brewers ranked 4th in ERA. However, the Cubs’ offense might push the total over. My model’s projected total is 9, so the recommendation is to take the over.
