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Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies September 4th 2025
The Philadelphia Phillies are set to play against the Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field. The Phillies have an 80-59 record and sit at the top of the NL East division. They are looking to bounce back after a recent loss, holding a 5-5 record over their last ten games.
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Meanwhile, the Brewers have an 86-54 record, leading the NL Central division. They come into this game with a win in their last outing and also have a 5-5 record in their last ten games. The game is scheduled for Thursday, September 4, 2025, at 4:10 PM and will be broadcast on FDSWI. The starting pitchers are Ranger Suárez for the Phillies and Freddy Peralta for the Brewers.
Phillies vs Brewers Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers
- Venue: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI
- Date: Thursday, September 4, 2025
- Betting Odds: Phillies Moneyline +109, Brewers Moneyline -128
Phillies vs Brewers Picks & Predictions
Thursday’s finale between the Philadelphia Phillies and Milwaukee Brewers offers more than a rubber match—it’s a battle of elite arms, with Ranger Suárez and Freddy Peralta squaring off. Both teams boast playoff-level depth, strong lineups, and some of the best pitching performances of the season.
The Brewers evened the series with a 6-3 win on Wednesday. Despite being outhit 9-6, Milwaukee got timely knocks and a big performance from Jose Quintana, who struck out six over 6 1/3 innings. Philadelphia had no shortage of chances, but grounded into three double plays and went just 1-for-8 with runners in scoring position.
Phillies Can Win If
Ranger Suárez (10-6, 3.02 ERA) has been one of the most reliable starters in the National League. He’s allowed just three runs across his last 18 2/3 innings, with two double-digit strikeout games in that span. His pitch sequencing and ability to read swings have allowed him to thrive even when his stuff isn’t electric.
Suárez is backed by a dangerous offense. The Phillies rank third in batting average and fourth in on-base percentage. They racked up nine hits on Wednesday, including a home run from Weston Wilson and two-hit performances from Trea Turner, J.T. Realmuto, and Nick Castellanos.
With Kyle Schwarber (49 HRs) and Bryce Harper in the lineup, Philly can shift the scoreboard quickly—especially if they capitalize on runners in scoring position.
Brewers Can Win If
Freddy Peralta has been nothing short of spectacular. The right-hander was just named NL Pitcher of the Month after posting a 4-0 record and a 0.32 ERA in August. Over his last 28 innings, Peralta has allowed just one run and 11 hits. He shut out the Toronto Blue Jays over six innings in his latest outing.
Milwaukee is riding high, going 21-9 in August. Brice Turang, the NL Player of the Month, has turned into a spark plug. He hit .343 last month with 10 home runs—nearly matching his total from the previous two seasons combined. Even without Christian Yelich (day-to-day with back soreness), the Brewers continue to produce runs with timely hitting and elite base-running.
Betting Lean: Brewers Moneyline & Under 7.5 Total
| Bet Type | Odds/Projection |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Brewers -128 |
| Phillies ML | +108 |
| Projected Score | Brewers 4 – Phillies 3 |
| Game Total | 7 runs (Line: 7.5) |
| Total Bet Lean | Under 7.5 Runs (-101) |
This projects as a close, low-scoring game between two quality starting pitchers. The lean goes to the Brewers at home, riding the momentum of their pitching staff and Turang’s bat. The under 7.5 total runs looks like a sharp play given both teams’ recent pitching dominance.
Player Spotlight & Key Matchups
This game is defined by its pitching duel, but both lineups have dangerous hitters ready to turn the tide.
| Player | Key Stat or Note |
|---|---|
| Freddy Peralta | 24 straight scoreless innings |
| Ranger Suárez | 3.02 ERA, 2 double-digit K games in last 3 starts |
| Brice Turang | .343 AVG, 10 HRs in August |
| Kyle Schwarber | 49 home runs, 2nd in MLB |
| Trea Turner | 2 hits last game, heating up |
Turang’s recent breakout and Peralta’s streak make this an uphill climb for Philadelphia. But don’t count out the firepower of the Phillies’ top bats.
Series Impact & Playoff Implications
The Brewers (86-54) continue to build on their NL Central lead, while the Phillies (80-59) aim to hold their wild card position. Every game matters as both squads jockey for postseason seeding.
Milwaukee has been on fire, even without Christian Yelich, who remains day-to-day. The team is 51-51 since manager Pat Murphy took over in May, and the chemistry is showing late in the season.
Philadelphia, meanwhile, showed resilience in Wednesday’s loss. Manager Rob Thomson praised his team’s fight, especially after Aaron Nola gave up five first-inning runs. If Suarez keeps the Brewers’ bats contained early, Philadelphia’s offense has the depth to claw back.
Final Thoughts & Best Bets
This is a classic pitcher’s duel on paper, with both Suárez and Peralta in mid-season form. The edge goes to Milwaukee, thanks to home-field advantage and Peralta’s current dominance. The game total of 7.5 is generous—both bullpens should be in play late, and one mistake could swing the scoreline.
Recommended picks:
- Brewers -128 Moneyline
- Under 7.5 Runs (-101)
- Freddy Peralta Over 6.5 Strikeouts
- Kyle Schwarber to Hit a Home Run (value prop)
Explore more expert insights at the MLB betting guide or review real-time scores and odds.
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