Milwaukee Brewers vs Washington Nationals Picks and Predictions July 13th 2025

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Milwaukee Brewers vs Washington Nationals July 13th 2025

The Washington Nationals will visit the Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field on Sunday, July 13, 2025. The game will start at 2:10 PM and will be broadcast on MASN. The weather is expected to be mild with a light breeze and overcast clouds.

Washington, managed by Miguel Cairo, has a season record of 38-57 and sits 16 games back in the NL East. Milwaukee, led by Pat Murphy, holds a record of 55-40 and is just 1 game back in the NL Central. Starting on the mound for the Nationals is Jake Irvin, while Freddy Peralta will pitch for the Brewers.

Nationals vs Brewers Key Information

  • Sport: Baseball
  • Teams: Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers
  • Venue: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI
  • Date: Sunday, July 13, 2025
  • Betting Odds: Nationals Moneyline +193, Brewers Moneyline -231, Nationals Runline +1.5 (-112), Brewers Runline -1.5 (-108), Total Over 8.5 (-109), Total Under 8.5 (-111)

The Nationals Can Win If…

The Washington Nationals are coming off a narrow 6-5 loss against the Milwaukee Brewers. Despite the loss, the Nationals showed strong hitting with 11 hits and three home runs. Brady House was a standout, going 3-for-4 with two home runs and three RBIs, while Daylen Lile also contributed with a solo homer.

The Nationals have a solid chance to win with their batting stats. They rank 11th in batting average at .246 and are also 11th in doubles with 154. Their ability to steal bases, ranking 7th with 80 stolen bases, can create opportunities on the bases.

Jake Irvin will start for the Nationals with a 4.78 ERA and a 7-4 record. Irvin can keep the Brewers’ offense in check if he can replicate his performance from July 8th against the Cardinals, where he allowed only four runs over six innings. The Nationals’ lineup, featuring CJ Abrams and James Wood, adds depth and power, making them a tough opponent.

The Brewers Can Win If…

The Milwaukee Brewers won their last game against the Washington Nationals, 6-5. Brandon Woodruff pitched 4 1/3 innings with 10 strikeouts. Andrew Vaughn and Jackson Chourio led the offense, combining for five hits and five RBIs.

The Brewers have been strong at home, winning their last five games. Their pitching staff ranks 7th in ERA at 3.69 and 5th in batting average against at .235. Freddy Peralta, with a 2.74 ERA, will start the next game, giving them a solid chance to win.

Offensively, the Brewers have depth with players like Christian Yelich, who has 19 home runs and 65 RBIs. They rank 10th in batting average and on-base percentage. With their lineup and pitching, they are well-positioned to continue their winning streak.

The Lean

The Brewers are the recommended moneyline pick with odds of -231. The Brewers have a strong pitching staff, ranking 7th in ERA and 5th in batting average against. The model projects the Brewers to win with a score of 5-3.

For the over/under, the recommendation is to take the under at 8.5 runs (-111). The Brewers’ pitching strength is a key factor, and the Nationals have struggled with a 28th-ranked ERA. The model projects a total score of 8 runs, suggesting the under is a solid choice.

Brewers Aim to Sweep Struggling Nationals Heading Into Break

The Milwaukee Brewers have a chance to head into the All-Star break on a high note as they go for a sweep of the Washington Nationals on Sunday afternoon. Coming off a thrilling 6-5 comeback win Saturday, the red-hot Brewers will look to stretch their winning streak to seven games and keep pressure on the Chicago Cubs in the National League Central.

Saturday’s victory, fueled by a three-run eighth-inning rally, was emblematic of how Milwaukee continues to find ways to win, even when playing from behind. Third baseman Caleb Durbin, who delivered the game-winning RBI single, said there was never any doubt in the dugout that they’d pull through. “We felt like we were going to win the game,” Durbin said. That belief now has Milwaukee at 55-40, just one game back of first place.

Milwaukee’s 24-12 record since June 1 is the second-best in all of baseball, trailing only the Toronto Blue Jays during that stretch. Manager Pat Murphy, in his second year at the helm, credits the team’s success to mindset and work ethic. “That’s the great thing about the right people,” he said. “They work hard and know what they have to do to stick around.”

For those watching the postseason picture or considering futures bets, Milwaukee’s consistency is worth monitoring closely. Full analysis of playoff odds, pitching matchups, and more can be found in the MLB expert betting guide.

Vaughn Makes Immediate Impact After Trade

A major spark for Milwaukee has come in the form of newly acquired first baseman Andrew Vaughn, who was traded from the Chicago White Sox in mid-June. Since being called up to replace the injured Rhys Hoskins, Vaughn has driven in ten runs across just five games, including four RBIs on Saturday with a pair of two-run doubles. His offensive production has helped fill the void left by Hoskins and added depth to a lineup already producing in clutch moments.

Durbin praised Vaughn’s quick fit with the club, and the numbers back it up. His bat has added a new dimension to Milwaukee’s middle of the order, especially during this recent stretch. More player trends and daily matchup data can be found on the MLB picks and projections page.

Peralta Gets the Ball in Series Finale

Milwaukee will send Freddy Peralta (10-4, 2.74 ERA) to the mound in search of the sweep. Peralta is coming off a dominant outing against the Los Angeles Dodgers in which he threw six shutout innings, allowing just five hits and one walk while striking out seven in a 9-1 win.

Although his career numbers against the Nationals aren’t quite as sharp—3-3 with a 6.75 ERA in 32 innings—Peralta has been in top form lately, and he’ll be looking to close the first half of the season on a high note. For those tracking strikeout props and pitcher efficiency ratings, his recent outings have trended strongly upward. Live game odds and prop bet tracking are available through the MLB scores and odds hub.

Nationals Turn to Irvin, Hope to Salvage Series

The Nationals, meanwhile, are 1-4 under interim manager Miguel Cairo and continue to search for momentum heading into the break. Saturday’s loss was another tough pill to swallow, especially after rookie third baseman Brady House delivered the best performance of his young MLB career with two home runs and three RBIs.

Despite House’s milestone day, the Nationals couldn’t hold a late lead, and their bullpen faltered again. House, who launched his first major league homer deep to left in the fourth inning, said the moment was a blur. “When I go to bat, it’s like I almost black out,” he admitted. He later received the home run ball from a pair of Brewers fans, a gesture he called “very appreciated.”

Jake Irvin (7-4, 4.78 ERA) will start Sunday’s finale for Washington. In his last outing against St. Louis, Irvin gave up four runs over six innings, struggling with command. His career numbers against Milwaukee are even more concerning—0-3 with a 7.32 ERA in 19 2/3 innings.

While Washington’s rebuild remains a long-term project, young pieces like House offer some encouragement. For updates on player development, depth chart shifts, and long-term projections, check out the MLB team tracker.

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Final Outlook Ahead of the Break

Milwaukee is not just winning—they’re proving they can win in multiple ways. Saturday’s late-inning comeback further solidified the Brewers’ reputation as one of the most resilient teams in baseball heading into the second half. Meanwhile, Washington continues to falter in close games and will need to regroup during the All-Star break.

A strong outing from Peralta could keep the Brewers on Chicago’s heels in the NL Central. If Irvin falters, it could be another long day for a Nationals team still seeking answers.

By T. Franklin Smith | July 11, 2025
By Rick Rockwell | July 11, 2025