Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox Picks and Predictions July 28th 2025

Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox July 28th 2025

The Boston Red Sox will take on the Minnesota Twins at Target Field in Minneapolis. The game is set for Monday, July 28, 2025, at 7:40 PM. Fans can catch the action on MNNT.

The Red Sox have a record of 57-50 and are 6 games behind in the AL East. Richard Fitts will start for Boston with an ERA of 4.87. The Twins have a record of 50-55 and trail by 10 games in the AL Central. Simeon Woods Richardson will pitch for Minnesota, holding an ERA of 4.14.

Red Sox vs Twins Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins
• Venue: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN
• Date: Monday, July 28, 2025
• Betting Odds: Red Sox Moneyline +103, Twins Moneyline -121, Red Sox Runline +1.5 (-191), Twins Runline -1.5 (+161), Total Over 9.5 (-105), Total Under 9.5 (-115)

The Red Sox Can Win If…

The Boston Red Sox recently edged out the Los Angeles Dodgers with a 4-3 win. Alex Bregman was key, hitting a home run and driving in two runs. Roman Anthony also contributed with a triple and a run scored, showing the depth of their lineup.

The Red Sox have a strong slugging percentage of .426, ranking 4th in the league. They also lead in doubles with 215, which helps them create scoring opportunities. Their ability to hit for power and get extra-base hits makes them a threat in any game.

Richard Fitts will start for Boston with a 4.87 ERA. He will aim to improve his record against the Twins. With strong hitters like Trevor Story and Alex Bregman in the lineup, Boston has the tools to secure a win.

The Twins Can Win If…

The Minnesota Twins are set to take on the Boston Red Sox at home. In their most recent game, the Twins fell to the Washington Nationals, 7-2. Despite the loss, Matt Wallner hit a home run, and Harrison Bader contributed with two hits, showing the potential of their lineup.

The Twins have a solid chance to win with Simeon Woods Richardson on the mound. He holds a 4.14 ERA and has a 5-4 record. The Twins’ pitching staff ranks 13th in strikeouts, which can be a key factor against the Red Sox lineup.

Byron Buxton leads the Twins’ offense with a .282 average, 23 home runs, and 59 RBIs. The team ranks 12th in doubles, which indicates their ability to hit for extra bases. With key players like Carlos Correa and Kody Clemens in the lineup, the Twins have the firepower to secure a win.

After Beating Dodgers, Red Sox Turn Attention to Minnesota

The Boston Red Sox aim to capitalize on a confidence-boosting weekend as they open a three-game road series against the Minnesota Twins Monday night in Minneapolis.

Fresh off back-to-back wins over the Los Angeles Dodgers, Boston improved to 4-5 during a post-All-Star stretch that included brutal matchups with the Cubs, Phillies, and Dodgers. With those games in the rearview, the Red Sox are clinging to the second AL wild-card spot, holding a half-game lead over the Mariners and Rangers, and trailing the Yankees by one game.

Red Sox manager Alex Cora praised the mental toughness of his young team.

“Because of these nine games, they’re going to be better,” Cora said. “I don’t think the stage is too big for them.”

Looking to follow all of Boston’s playoff push? Our MLB team pages provide rosters, stats, standings, and more.

Rookie Duel on the Mound: Fitts vs. Woods Richardson

Boston will send rookie right-hander Richard Fitts (1-4, 4.86 ERA) to the hill for his 10th start of the season. Fitts is looking to bounce back after surrendering four runs over 3 1/3 innings in a loss to the Phillies. He did shine in his lone career outing against Minnesota, tossing five scoreless innings last September.

Minnesota counters with Simeon Woods Richardson (5-4, 4.14), who will make his 16th start. The righty struggled with command in his last appearance, issuing five walks over three innings against the Dodgers. Monday will mark his first career start against Boston.

Looking to analyze pitching splits, matchups, and betting angles for today’s starters? Head to our MLB scores and odds page for line moves and game insights.

Twins Reeling as Deadline Looms

The Twins have lost back-to-back games to the Nationals and dropped six of their last nine since the All-Star break. Amid speculation that Minnesota could be sellers at Thursday’s trade deadline, the team is also battling injuries and inconsistency.

All-Star Byron Buxton is unlikely to play Monday due to cartilage irritation in his rib cage. In his absence, Harrison Bader delivered a two-hit performance on Sunday and has been mentioned in trade talks.

Despite the uncertainty, Minnesota remains just one hot streak away from climbing the AL Central standings. For expert breakdowns on who might move and how rosters are shaping up, visit our MLB betting guide.

What’s at Stake

For Boston, this series is an opportunity to build on momentum and widen the gap in the wild-card race. For Minnesota, it could determine whether the front office leans toward buying or selling before the deadline.

Stay ahead of the curve with sharp breakdowns and today’s highest-value selections in our MLB picks section, updated daily with insight from top handicappers.

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The Lean

The Twins are favored to win with a moneyline of -121. The Red Sox have a moneyline of +103. The Twins have a better pitching staff with an ERA ranked 10th compared to the Red Sox at 20th. My model projects the Twins to win 5-4. Based on this, the recommendation is to pick the Twins to win straight up.

The total for the game is set at 9.5 runs. The Red Sox have a strong slugging percentage ranked 4th, while the Twins have a higher ERA. My model projects a total score of 9 runs. Given these factors, the recommendation is to take the under 9.5 (-115).