Minnesota Twins vs Chicago Cubs Picks and Predictions July 10th 2025

Minnesota Twins vs Chicago Cubs July 10th 2025

The Chicago Cubs are set to play against the Minnesota Twins at Target Field in Minneapolis. This afternoon game on Thursday, July 10, 2025, will be shown on MNNT. The weather forecast predicts a mild day with light rain and a light breeze.

The Cubs, managed by Craig Counsell, have a record of 54-38 this season. They have performed well at home with a 30-16 record and hold a 24-22 record on the road. The Twins, led by Rocco Baldelli, have a 45-47 record. At home, they have a 26-18 record. Starting for the Cubs is Colin Rea, while Chris Paddack takes the mound for the Twins.

Cubs vs Twins Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Chicago Cubs vs. Minnesota Twins
• Venue: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN
• Date: Thursday, July 10, 2025
• Betting Odds: Cubs Moneyline -123, Twins Moneyline +105, Cubs Runline -1.5 (+130), Twins Runline +1.5 (-156), Total Over 9.5 (-112), Total Under 9.5 (-108)

The Cubs Can Win If…

The Chicago Cubs are ready to turn things around after a close 4-2 loss to the Minnesota Twins. In that game, Kyle Tucker scored a run, and Dansby Swanson drove in one. Despite the loss, the Cubs have shown they can compete, and they aim to bounce back strong.

Key stats show why the Cubs have a chance to win. They rank 2nd in slugging percentage at .447 and 3rd in home runs with 137. With power hitters like Seiya Suzuki, who has 25 home runs, the Cubs can make a big impact on the scoreboard.

Colin Rea will start for the Cubs, bringing a 6-3 record and a 4.13 ERA. He faces Chris Paddack, who has a 4.64 ERA. The Cubs’ lineup, featuring hitters like Michael Busch with a .297 average, can take advantage of this matchup and lead the team to victory.

The Twins Can Win If…

The Minnesota Twins are coming off a 4-2 win against the Chicago Cubs. David Festa pitched 5 1/3 innings, allowing only 3 hits and 2 runs. Matt Wallner contributed with a home run, and Carlos Correa added a double, showcasing the team’s ability to produce key hits.

The Twins’ lineup shows strength with Byron Buxton leading with 20 home runs this season. Their batting average is .240, ranked 14th, while their slugging percentage is .396, also 14th. The Twins have hit 106 home runs, placing them 11th in the league, indicating power potential.

Chris Paddack will start for the Twins, holding a WHIP of 1.22. He aims to improve his record and build on the team’s recent success. With the Twins’ strong hitting and Paddack’s control, they have a good chance to secure another win against the Cubs.

The Lean

The Cubs are favored on the moneyline at -123, while the Twins are at +105. The Cubs have a stronger hitting lineup, ranking 4th in batting average and 2nd in slugging percentage. With these stats, my model projects the Cubs to win with a score of 5 to 4. I recommend taking the Cubs on the moneyline.

The total for the game is set at 9.5, with the over at -112 and the under at -108. Both teams have solid hitting and average pitching, suggesting a higher-scoring game. My model projects a total score of 9, which is close to the line. Therefore, I recommend taking the under at 9.5.

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Twins Aim to Sweep Cubs and Hit the .500 Mark Before All-Star Break

The surging Minnesota Twins are one game away from a clean sweep of the Chicago Cubs as they square off in Thursday’s series finale in Minneapolis. Riding a wave of momentum with back-to-back wins—8-1 on Tuesday and 4-2 on Wednesday—the Twins have now won four of their last five, positioning themselves just two games shy of a .500 record with four matchups left before the All-Star break.

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Aggression Pays Off for Minnesota

Twins manager Rocco Baldelli couldn’t be happier with his team’s aggressive style of play, especially on the basepaths, where they turned heads with sharp instincts and bold moves. Ryan Jeffers made a daring dash to home after third-base coach Tommy Watkins waved him around, and Royce Lewis added another run in a delayed steal play that caught the Cubs defense off guard.

“You’re going to have to find a way to push some runs across,” Baldelli said. “They’re not all going to come easily.”

“If the relay is executed cleanly (with Jeffers trying to score), who knows, maybe we’re out. But you know what? You put the pressure on the other side, make something happen.”

This hustle could be key again as the Twins look to close the gap and end the first half of the season on a high note.

Cubs’ Bats Go Quiet After Recent Explosion

Just days after racking up 28 runs in a three-game barrage against the Cardinals, the Cubs have mustered only three runs in two games versus Minnesota. Manager Craig Counsell noted the urgency to attack early in games before Minnesota’s lockdown bullpen takes control.

“It was a quiet night again,” Counsell said. “The Twins have a very good bullpen, so it’s kind of inherent that you get their starters. And the first two days of the series, we have not.”

With little time to recover, the Cubs turn to right-hander Colin Rea (6-3, 4.13 ERA) to stop the slide. Rea is hunting his third straight win after solid outings against the Astros and Cardinals. His last meeting with the Twins in 2023 didn’t go as planned, allowing four runs in five innings.

Minnesota counters with Chris Paddack (3-7, 4.64 ERA), who’s looking to build on a decent performance against Tampa Bay. In his career versus Chicago, he holds a 1-1 record with a 4.35 ERA.

Buxton’s Status Uncertain for Finale

The Twins may be without outfielder Byron Buxton for the series closer after he took a pitch to his left pinky Tuesday. While imaging came back clean, soreness might keep him on the bench temporarily—although the All-Star festivities next week remain within reach.

“It looks like he’s going to be OK,” Baldelli said. “He had some imaging done and it came back all right. He was pretty sore, though, so we’ll see (about Thursday).”

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Minnesota’s recent run makes them an intriguing case for savvy bettors looking into the latest MLB Picks and Parlays, especially as the All-Star break nears. Whether you’re backing aggressive base running or fading struggling bats, the rest of the series could offer serious value.