Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox Picks and Predictions September 4th 2025

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White Sox vs Twins Picks and Predictions — September 4, 2025

The Chicago White Sox look to extend their season-high win streak to five as they visit the Minnesota Twins at Target Field. Chicago (52-88) may have the worst record in the AL, but they’ve swept the first three games of this series. Minnesota (62-77), meanwhile, is reeling with three straight losses.

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The Twins are -151 favorites at home, with the White Sox priced at +128. The total is set at 8.5 runs. To see how these teams have fared recently, check the latest MLB results.


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White Sox Can Win If…

Their bats stay hot. Chicago has slugged its way through this series, including a four-homer outburst in Tuesday’s 12-3 win and a dramatic ninth-inning rally to steal Wednesday’s 4-3 win. Edgar Quero and Andrew Benintendi have been catalysts, while Lenyn Sosa leads the team with 19 long balls.

Fraser Ellard (0-2, 4.82 ERA) will open the game. The 27-year-old lefty hasn’t allowed an earned run in three career appearances against the Twins and carries a sharp 1.07 WHIP this year.

“First and foremost, it’s about what’s happening with our young players,” manager Will Venable said. “You can point to a lot of areas where we’re making strides.”

Twins Can Win If…

Taj Bradley steadies the rotation. The former Rays righty (6-7, 4.82 ERA) will make his third start since joining Minnesota. He struggled against Chicago in his debut but bounced back with five strong innings against San Diego.

At the plate, Royce Lewis has been a bright spot. He went 3-for-4 with an RBI and two steals on Wednesday, and Byron Buxton (29 HR, .273 BA) remains a constant threat with his power-speed combo.

“When I’m comfortable, it feels like I’m just having fun, playing loose,” Lewis said. “It’s truly just see the ball, hit the ball.”


Key MLB Betting Trends

CategoryWhite SoxTwins
Record52-88 (5th AL Central)62-77 (4th AL Central)
Last 10 Games5-53-7
Runs Per Game4.04.2
Team ERA5.05 (28th)4.58 (22nd)
Home/Away Record25-46 (Road)34-36 (Home)

The Lean

Pick: Twins -151
Projected Final Score: Twins 5, White Sox 4
Total Lean: Over 8.5 (-114)

The Twins have the pitching edge with Bradley over Ellard, and Buxton/Lewis provide enough pop to avoid a sweep. But the White Sox’s offense has been surging, so expect a competitive game that pushes the total Over.

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