Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers Picks and Predictions August 15th 2025

Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers Baseball Fri, Aug 15, 19:10 pm.
Minnesota Twins
ML: 105
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Detroit Tigers
ML: -133
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The Detroit Tigers will visit the Minnesota Twins at Target Field on Friday, August 15, 2025. The game is set to start at 8:10 PM and will be shown on MNNT. The Tigers lead the AL Central with a 71-52 record and are on a two-game winning streak. They have won six of their last ten games.

The Twins hold a 57-64 record and are fourth in the AL Central. They have split their last ten games, winning five and losing five. The weather forecast for the game includes scattered clouds and a light breeze. Charlie Morton will start for the Tigers, while Pierson Ohl will pitch for the Twins.

Tigers vs Twins Key Information

  • Sport: Baseball
  • Teams: Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins
  • Venue: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN
  • Date: Friday, August 15, 2025
  • Betting Odds: Tigers Moneyline -129, Twins Moneyline +108, Tigers Runline -1.5 (+131), Twins Runline +1.5 (-160), Total Over 9.5 (+100), Total Under 9.5 (-122)

The Tigers Can Win If…

The Detroit Tigers are on a roll with recent wins, including a close 4-3 victory over the Minnesota Twins. In that game, Riley Greene hit a home run and drove in two runs, while Javier Báez and Kerry Carpenter each added two hits. Pitcher Tarik Skubal delivered a solid performance, allowing only three earned runs over seven innings.

The Tigers’ offense has been strong this season, with a .421 slugging percentage that ranks 7th in the league. They have hit 158 home runs, also placing them 7th. Key players like Spencer Torkelson, who has 26 home runs, and Riley Greene, with 28, are leading the charge at the plate.

On the mound, the Tigers’ pitching staff holds a 3.86 ERA, ranking 12th. They also have a batting average against of .238, which is 8th best. Charlie Morton, despite his 5.48 ERA, has experience and the ability to deliver quality starts, giving the Tigers a chance to secure another win.

The Twins Can Win If…

The Minnesota Twins are coming off a close game against the Detroit Tigers, where they lost 4-3. Despite the loss, the Twins had a solid performance from Edouard Julien, who went 2 for 3 with a home run. Bailey Ober pitched well for 5 1/3 innings, allowing just four hits and striking out four.

The Twins have shown strength in their lineup, with Byron Buxton leading the way. Buxton has a batting average of .282 and has hit 24 home runs this season. The team ranks 12th in home runs with 141, indicating their potential to score runs quickly.

In their upcoming game, the Twins will rely on Pierson Ohl as their starting pitcher. Although Ohl’s ERA is 7.15, the Twins have a lineup capable of providing run support. Facing Charlie Morton of the Tigers, who has a 5.48 ERA, the Twins have a good chance to capitalize on scoring opportunities.

The Lean

The Tigers are favored with a moneyline of -129 against the Twins at +108. The Tigers have a stronger batting average and slugging percentage, ranking 9th and 7th respectively. The Twins rank lower in these categories, making the Tigers a solid pick to win straight up. My model projects a score of Tigers 5, Twins 4.

The total for the game is set at 9.5 runs. The Tigers have a better pitching staff with an ERA of 3.86, ranked 12th, compared to the Twins’ 4.26 ERA, ranked 22nd. Considering both teams’ pitching and hitting stats, the under 9.5 at -122 seems like a good choice. My model projects a total of 9 runs.

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MLB Data & Insights

Twins, Salty About 11-Inning Loss, Look to Level Set vs. Tigers

The Detroit Tigers will hand the ball to 41-year-old Charlie Morton on Friday night as they aim to keep their momentum rolling against the Minnesota Twins. Despite his long and accomplished career, Morton has rarely faced Minnesota — this will be just his seventh appearance against them.

Morton (7-10, 5.48 ERA) first squared off with the Twins in 2015 and most recently on May 14 of this season. Across those six games (five starts), he holds a 2-2 record with a 4.65 ERA, 34 strikeouts, and 12 walks over 31 innings. This year, he’s 0-1 with a 5.14 ERA against Minnesota in one start and one relief appearance.

In his last outing against the Los Angeles Angels, Morton struck out seven straight hitters — 10 in total — but still surrendered six runs in just 4 1/3 innings. “That’s probably one of the weirdest outings of my career,” Morton said.

The Tigers are riding high after a comeback 4-3 win in 11 innings over Minnesota in Thursday’s series opener. Detroit now boasts a major-league-best 19-8 record in one-run games this season.

Projected Pitching Matchup – Friday

TeamPitcherRecordERALast Start
Detroit TigersCharlie Morton (R)7-105.484.1 IP, 6 ER vs. Angels
Minnesota TwinsPierson Ohl (R)0-27.152.2 IP, 4 ER vs. Tigers

The Twins had a chance to win Thursday in the 10th inning, but Alan Roden was thrown out at home on a sharp grounder to first. The game also saw manager Rocco Baldelli ejected for the fourth time this season after a controversial strikeout call against Ryan Jeffers.

Baldelli explained he wanted the plate umpire to check for dirt on the ball to see if the pitch had been cleanly caught. “It’s a huge moment,” Baldelli said. “We’ve been battling for several hours… and it comes down to extra-innings situations. Those are big spots.”

Key Stats & Trends

TeamStatValue
TigersRecord in 1-run games19-8 (MLB-best)
TwinsCurrent AL Central deficit13 games
Morton vs. TwinsCareer2-2, 4.65 ERA in 31 IP
Ohl vs. Tigers2024 Season4 ER in 2.2 IP

Detroit’s Spencer Torkelson praised the team’s resiliency: “Whatever the game gives us that day, we’re gonna take and we’re gonna roll with.” The Tigers’ push for the postseason continues as they try to keep their edge in the MLB playoff race.