Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers Picks and Predictions August 17th 2025

Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers August 17th 2025

The Detroit Tigers will visit the Minnesota Twins at Target Field on Sunday, August 17, 2025. The game is set for 2:10 PM and will be broadcast on MNNT. The weather forecast calls for an overcast day with a light breeze blowing out.

The Tigers are leading the AL Central with a record of 73-52. They have won their last four games and are 7-3 in their last ten. Meanwhile, the Twins hold a record of 57-66 and are fourth in the division. They are on a three-game losing streak and have gone 4-6 in their last ten games.

Tigers vs Twins Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins
• Venue: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN
• Date: Sunday, August 17, 2025
• Betting Odds:
  • Tigers Moneyline: -127
  • Twins Moneyline: +106
  • Tigers Runline: -1.5 (+134)
  • Twins Runline: +1.5 (-163)
  • Total Over: 8.5 (-110)
  • Total Under: 8.5 (-110)

The Tigers Can Win If…

The Detroit Tigers are coming off an 8-5 victory against the Minnesota Twins. Casey Mize led the way with 10 strikeouts in 6 1/3 innings. Kerry Carpenter and Jahmai Jones made key contributions with their bats, helping secure the win.

The Tigers have been on a hot streak, winning four of their last five games. Their batting average ranks 8th in the league at .250, and they have hit 159 home runs, placing them 7th. Their pitching has also been strong, with a team ERA of 3.83, which ranks 11th.

Spencer Torkelson and Riley Greene are key players to watch. Torkelson has 26 home runs and 67 RBIs, while Greene has 28 home runs and 90 RBIs. With Chris Paddack on the mound, the Tigers aim to continue their winning ways against the Twins.

The Twins Can Win If…

The Minnesota Twins are looking to bounce back after a recent 8-5 loss to the Detroit Tigers. In that game, Brooks Lee drove in three runs with a triple, while Luke Keaschall added two hits and scored twice. Despite the loss, the Twins showed they can generate runs, especially with their top hitters finding ways to get on base and score.

The Twins have a solid lineup that can power them to a win. They rank 11th in the league with 141 home runs this season. Byron Buxton, leading the team with 24 home runs, is a key player who can change the game with his bat.

On the mound, the Twins have yet to announce their starting pitcher, but their bullpen has been reliable. They rank 5th in blown saves with only 18 this season. This shows they have the ability to hold leads late in the game, which could be crucial in securing a victory.

The Lean

The Tigers have a moneyline of -127, while the Twins are at +106. The Tigers rank higher in batting average and slugging percentage, which gives them an edge. My model projects the Tigers to win with a score of 5-4. Based on these factors, the recommendation is to pick the Tigers to win straight up.

The total for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Tigers have a stronger pitching staff with a lower earned run average compared to the Twins. My model projects a total score of 9 runs. Given this projection, the recommendation is to take the over on the total.

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Tigers’ Chris Paddack Seeks Revenge in Rematch vs. Twins

When Chris Paddack takes the mound Sunday at Target Field, it won’t just be another start. It’s a chance at revenge against his former team, the Minnesota Twins.

The right-hander will now pitch for the Detroit Tigers, who acquired him at the trade deadline. Since joining his new club, Paddack has shown flashes of stability, allowing just one run in three of his last four starts. His only rough outing? Against Minnesota earlier this month, when he gave up four runs over four innings.

Paddack’s Redemption Arc

Paddack (4-10, 4.76 ERA) has leaned on improved strike-throwing, firing 72 percent of his pitches for strikes while walking just one batter in three starts with Detroit.

For a Tigers club surging into the AL Central race, that mentality is vital. Manager A.J. Hinch praised the team’s focus

Tigers Riding Momentum

The Tigers have won four straight and six of their last seven, powered by clutch hitting and strong bullpen work.

Paddack could be the key to keeping that momentum alive. Detroit has leaned on its starters to set the tone, and Paddack’s control-heavy approach has helped keep games within reach.

Twins in a Slump

The Twins, meanwhile, are struggling. They’ve dropped three in a row and five of their last six, and their offense has been inconsistent.

Rookie Luke Keaschall has been a bright spot. In just 18 career games, he’s reached base 32 times with 22 hits and eight walks. His return from a fractured forearm included a two-run homer off Paddack earlier this month.

The Twins also debuted James Outman on Saturday after acquiring him from the Dodgers. Outman, who finished third in Rookie of the Year voting in 2023, could provide much-needed outfield power.

“He’s going to get opportunities to play, and to hopefully get into a good rhythm and show us some things he can do,” manager Rocco Baldelli said.

Minnesota hasn’t named a starter for Sunday, reflecting its rotation instability.

Tigers vs. Twins – By the Numbers

Betting Outlook

For bettors exploring MLB picks and player props, this game offers plenty of intrigue:

• Spread: Expect the Tigers to open as slight road underdogs with Paddack’s revenge angle.
• Over/Under: Likely set around 8.5 runs, given both lineups’ inconsistencies.
• Props to Watch:
  • Paddack strikeouts (control is there, but swing-and-miss hasn’t been sharp).
  • Keaschall total bases (already homered off Paddack).
  • Outman hits/RBIs (new addition who could spark Minnesota).

Final Thoughts

Sunday’s matchup is more than just a series finale. It’s a revenge start for Chris Paddack, a test for the resurgent Tigers, and a chance for the Twins to stop their slide.

With Detroit’s momentum and Minnesota’s desperation, fans and bettors alike will be watching closely.

For more expert breakdowns, check out the full MLB betting guide before first pitch.