Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals Picks and Predictions August 9th 2025

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Royals vs Twins Prediction: Can Bailey Ober Cool Down Kansas City?

The Kansas City Royals look to bounce back against the Minnesota Twins on Saturday, August 9, 2025, at Target Field. Minnesota sends Bailey Ober (4–6, 5.38 ERA) to the mound, while Kansas City counters with rookie Noah Cameron (5–5, 2.68 ERA).

Opening odds list the Royals as -120 favorites with a total of 8.5 runs.

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Key Game Information

CategoryDetails
SportBaseball (MLB)
TeamsKansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins
VenueTarget Field — Minneapolis, MN
DateSaturday, August 9, 2025
Probable StartersKC: Noah Cameron (LHP) • MIN: Bailey Ober (RHP)
BroadcastLocal TV Coverage
WeatherOvercast, light breeze
Betting OddsKC -120 • MIN +102 • RL: KC -1.5 (+141) / MIN +1.5 (-169) • Total: 8.5 (O -118 / U -102)

Kansas City Royals Can Win If…

Noah Cameron maintains his sharp rookie form and keeps Minnesota’s bats in check. The lefty owns a 2.68 ERA and 1.01 WHIP, and in his lone start vs. the Twins earlier this season, he gave up just one run over 6 2/3 innings.

Kansas City’s bats must also find their spark. Bobby Witt Jr. and Mike Yastrzemski homered in Friday’s loss, but the Royals need sustained production to avoid falling further out of the Wild Card race. Ranking 3rd in MLB with 208 doubles, they have the gap power to create scoring chances.

Minnesota Twins Can Win If…

Bailey Ober finds a way to solve the Royals, a team he’s faced 12 times without a win (0–4, 5.37 ERA). The Twins offense is hot, putting up 14 hits and 9 runs in Friday’s win.

Ryan Jeffers led the way, going 3-for-4 with two RBIs, while Kody Clemens and Royce Lewis also contributed big knocks. Minnesota’s 136 home runs (11th in MLB) give them the firepower to back Ober with plenty of run support.

Key MLB Betting Trends

Trend TypeKansas City RoyalsMinnesota Twins
Current FormLost 9–4 on Friday, 3–4 since trade deadlineWon 3 straight, 5–5 last 10
Pitcher NotesCameron: 2.68 ERA, 1.01 WHIP; 1 run in 6.2 IP vs MINOber: 0–4, 5.37 ERA in 12 career starts vs KC
Offensive Ranks3rd in doubles (208), 13th in AVG (.250)11th in HR (136), 14th in SLG (.402)
Motivation4 GB in Wild Card chaseBuilding momentum, testing young talent

The Lean

The Royals have the starting pitching edge with Cameron, but Minnesota’s offense is riding a wave of confidence. Given Ober’s struggles vs. KC, this game could be tighter than the line suggests.

Pick: Royals ML (-120)
Projected Score: Royals 5, Twins 3
Total Lean: Under 8.5 (-102)

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