Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals Picks and Predictions August 10th 2025

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The Kansas City Royals will take on the Minnesota Twins at Target Field in Minneapolis. The Royals have a record of 58-59, placing them third in the AL Central. They are coming off a win and have gone 6-4 in their last 10 games. Manager Matt Quatraro will lead the team, with Ryan Bergert starting on the mound. Bergert has an ERA of 2.83 and a WHIP of 1.11.

The Minnesota Twins hold a 55-61 record and are fourth in the AL Central. They lost their last game and have a 4-6 record in their last 10 games. Rocco Baldelli manages the Twins, with José Ureña as the starting pitcher. Ureña has an ERA of 5.24 and a WHIP of 1.52. The game is set for Sunday, August 10, 2025, at 1:05 PM, with a mild day and light rain expected. Fans can watch the game on Roku.

Royals vs Twins Key Information

  • Sport: Baseball
  • Teams: Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins
  • Venue: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN
  • Date: Sunday, August 10, 2025
  • Betting Odds:
    • Royals Moneyline: -117
    • Twins Moneyline: -101
    • Royals Runline: -1.5 (+137)
    • Twins Runline: +1.5 (-165)
    • Total Over: 9.5 (-115)
    • Total Under: 9.5 (-105)

The Royals Can Win If…

The Kansas City Royals are coming off a 2-0 win against the Minnesota Twins. Noah Cameron delivered a strong performance, pitching 5 2/3 scoreless innings with four strikeouts. Maikel Garcia and Kyle Isbel contributed with two hits each, helping the team secure the win.

The Royals have a solid pitching staff, ranking third in the league with a 3.61 ERA. Their ability to limit opponents’ batting averages to .237, ranked sixth, further strengthens their case. Ryan Bergert, with an ERA of 2.83, will start the game, providing a strong presence on the mound.

On offense, the Royals have shown strength in hitting doubles, ranking third with 209 this season. Bobby Witt Jr. leads the team in runs with 71, ranking tenth in the league. With players like Maikel Garcia and Vinnie Pasquantino contributing consistently, the Royals have the potential to put runs on the board.

The Twins Can Win If…

The Minnesota Twins are looking to bounce back after their recent 2-0 loss to the Kansas City Royals. In that game, Ryan Jeffers stood out, going 3 for 4 at the plate, while Bailey Ober pitched six solid innings, allowing just one run. Despite the loss, the Twins have shown they can generate offense, as seen in their 9-4 win against the Royals the day before.

The Twins have been effective at hitting home runs, ranking 11th in the league with 136 homers this season. Their lineup includes power hitters like Kody Clemens, who leads the team with 13 home runs. With players like Ryan Jeffers and Brooks Lee contributing regularly, the Twins have the potential to put up runs quickly.

On the mound, José Ureña will start for the Twins. Though his ERA is 5.24, he has the experience to keep the Royals in check. The Twins bullpen has been reliable, ranking 5th in the league for fewest blown saves, which could be key in securing a win.

The Lean

The Kansas City Royals are slightly favored with a moneyline of -117 against the Minnesota Twins, who have a moneyline of -101. The Royals have a strong pitching staff with a 3.61 ERA, ranked 3rd in the league. This gives them an edge over the Twins, who have a higher ERA of 4.26. My model projects the Royals to win with a score of 5-4.

The total for the game is set at 9.5 runs, with the over at -115 and the under at -105. The Twins have a decent slugging percentage of .401, ranked 14th, while the Royals are at .385, ranked 22nd. Given the Royals’ pitching strength and the Twins’ average hitting, the total is likely to stay under. My model projects a total of 9 runs.

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Royals Seek Return to .500 in Rubber Match Against New-Look Twins

For the Kansas City Royals, it is a significant psychological hurdle in their pursuit of a postseason berth. For the young and rebuilding Minnesota Twins, it is another opportunity to prove themselves. When these two American League Central rivals clash on Sunday afternoon in the rubber match of their three-game series in Minneapolis, the stakes will be high for two clubs at very different points in their competitive cycles. The Kansas City Royals, who have been hovering just below the .500 mark, have a chance to even their record and build crucial momentum. The host Minnesota Twins are looking to win their second consecutive series with their new, revamped roster.

The .500 Hurdle and Beyond for Kansas City

The Royals have been clear about their goal for the second half of the season: they want to make a serious push for an American League wild-card spot. To do that, however, they first need to climb back to .500, a mark they have been unable to consistently maintain. Sunday’s game, the finale of a grueling nine-game, three-city road trip, represents a massive opportunity. A victory would not only give them a series win and a successful 5-4 record on the trip, but it would also send them into a pivotal 10-game homestand with a huge wave of positive momentum. The team has been playing better baseball of late, having won four of their last five series, and they are confident that they have the talent in their clubhouse to compete. The challenge now is to turn that belief into consistent results on the field.

The table below provides a snapshot of two divisional rivals that have had very different seasons but are both looking to finish the year strong. To review the full box score from their last matchup, you can check the official MLB game results.

TeamRecordDivision StandingRecent Form (Last 10)
Kansas City Royals62-633rd in AL Central6-4
Minnesota Twins52-724th in AL Central4-6

The Post-Deadline Audition in Minnesota

While the Royals are focused on the playoff race, the Twins are focused on the future. After a massive “fire sale” at the trade deadline that saw them ship away nearly half of their major league roster, the final two months of the season have become an extended audition for the young players who now populate their lineup. The results since the trades have been a respectable 4-4, and manager Rocco Baldelli has been pleased with his team’s effort, even in losses.

Their 2-0 defeat on Saturday was a frustrating one, as the team created numerous opportunities but failed to get the big hit with runners in scoring position. “It’ll frustrate you a little bit,” Baldelli said. “We did a heck of a job finding our way on, especially early on in the game. That’s exactly what you want to see… And then we didn’t get any hits. That’s it.” This inconsistency is to be expected from a young roster, but the experience these players are gaining is invaluable. How to evaluate a young, rebuilding team is a key topic in our expert betting guide.

The Pitching Matchup: A Deeper Look

Sunday’s game features a fascinating pitching matchup between a rookie making his debut with a new team and a veteran trying to find his footing. The Royals will hand the ball to rookie right-hander Ryan Bergert, who was just acquired from the Padres. The Twins will counter with veteran Jose Urena.

PitcherW-L (2025)ERA (2025)Career vs. Opponent
Ryan Bergert (KC)1-12.83First Appearance
Jose Urena (MIN)0-05.241-0, 4.97 ERA (4 games)

The scores and odds for this matchup will be tight. For more in-depth analysis of this and other games, you can view all of our MLB previews. To see who our experts are backing in this divisional showdown, check out our daily MLB picks. To get access to even more premium content and betting tools, you can register for an account today.