Buxton’s 479-Foot Blast Powers Twins vs. Rangers Series Finale Preview

Minnesota Twins vs Texas Rangers June 12th 2025

The Texas Rangers will take on the Minnesota Twins at Target Field in Minneapolis. The game is scheduled for Thursday, June 12, 2025, at 1:10 PM. Fans can catch the action on RSN as the teams meet in an afternoon game.

The Rangers, managed by Bruce Bochy, have a 32-36 record this season. They have struggled on the road with a 12-23 record. The Twins, led by Rocco Baldelli, hold a 36-31 record and have been strong at home with a 20-11 record. Patrick Corbin will start for the Rangers, while Bailey Ober will take the mound for the Twins.

Rangers vs Twins Key Information

Sport: Baseball
Teams: Texas Rangers vs. Minnesota Twins
Venue: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN
Date: Thursday, June 12, 2025
Betting Odds: Rangers MoneyLine +140, Twins MoneyLine -166

The Rangers Can Win If…

The Texas Rangers are coming off a 2-6 loss to the Minnesota Twins. In that game, Marcus Semien hit a home run, and Evan Carter had two hits, including a double. Despite the loss, the Rangers showed their ability to get extra-base hits with four in the game.

Over the season, the Rangers have a solid pitching staff with a team ERA of 3.17, ranking 3rd in the league. They also have a batting average against of .223, which is also 3rd best. This strong pitching can help them win games by keeping opponents’ runs low.

Patrick Corbin will start for the Rangers with an ERA of 3.52. His performance can be crucial in today’s game. With hitters like Josh Jung and Adolis García, who have a combined 14 home runs, the Rangers have the power to score runs and support their pitching staff.

The Twins Can Win If…

The Minnesota Twins are coming off a strong 6-2 win against the Texas Rangers. Byron Buxton led the way with a perfect 3-for-3 performance, including a home run and three RBIs. David Festa pitched six solid innings, allowing only two earned runs, which helped secure the victory.

The Twins have shown they can win with both hitting and pitching. Their team ERA of 3.67 ranks 9th in the league, indicating a reliable pitching staff. On the offensive side, they have hit 68 home runs this season, placing them 15th, which shows they can generate power when needed.

Bailey Ober will start for the Twins with a 3.78 ERA and a 4-2 record, providing stability on the mound. Key hitters like Byron Buxton and Ty France are performing well, with Buxton hitting .268 and France at .278. These players can make a difference in the game with their consistent hitting.

The Lean

The Twins are favored with a moneyline of -166 against the Rangers at +140. The Twins have a better batting average and on-base percentage, ranking 14th and 13th respectively. Their pitching is also stronger, with a 3rd-ranked ERA of 3.17. My model projects the Twins to win with a score of 5-3, making the Twins MoneyLine a solid pick.

The over/under line is set at 8.5. The Twins’ pitching ranks high, with a batting average against of .223, which is 3rd best. The Rangers’ pitching has a higher ERA of 3.67, ranking 9th. My model projects a total score of 8, so the recommendation is to take the Under 8.5.

Byron Buxton’s 479-foot blast ignited the Twins’ offense and now Minnesota looks to close out its homestand with a series win over Texas.

Buxton’s Power Fuels Minnesota

Byron Buxton extended his torrid stretch with a 479-foot home run—the second-longest in MLB this season—sparking a 6-2 win and capping a five-game winning streak. Buxton has recorded multi-hit games in back-to-back starts, and his raw power has become the focal point of Minnesota’s surge at Target Field, where the Twins are 20-11. For more in-depth breakdowns, check out our latest game previews.

Veteran Arms on the Hill

Thursday’s rubber game features two veterans searching for bounce-back performances:

Patrick Corbin (LHP, TEX) has posted a 3.52 ERA but hasn’t recorded a win since May 14. In his last outing he went eight innings and allowed just two runs, yet ran into a tough-luck decision. Corbin is 1-2 with a 7.00 ERA in three career starts against Minnesota.
Bailey Ober (RHP, MIN) is 4-2 with a 3.78 ERA but is also riding a six-start winless skid. He’s 1-0 with a 5.40 ERA in three career outings versus the Rangers.

Both pitchers will need to pound the strike zone and limit hard contact to keep the scoring in check. You can find deeper insights and strategy in our MLB betting guide.

Key Storylines to Watch

Momentum vs. Adjustment: Can the Twins ride Buxton’s heroics into a sweep, or will Texas make the pitching adjustments needed to quiet the crowd?
Home-Field Edge: Target Field’s dimensions and passionate fans give Minnesota an edge; early aggression at the plate could set the tone.
Hot Hands in the Lineup: Evan Carter (.278, three homers, eight RBIs) has gone deep in two of his last three games and will look to continue his strong start after returning from a quad strain.

Betting Angles & Resources

Moneyline & Run Line: Minnesota’s home dominance (20-11) versus Texas’s road struggles (12-23) tilts the moneyline toward the Twins, but a close run line might offer better value.
Totals: With two streaky pitchers, the under is attractive if both adhere to their recent strike-throwing.
Player Props: Buxton’s home run prop is tempting after his display of raw power, while Carter’s multi-hit props merit attention.

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Minnesota Twins vs Texas Rangers Picks and Predictions June 12th 2025