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New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves June 26th 2025
The Atlanta Braves will take on the New York Mets at Citi Field in New York on Thursday, June 26, 2025. The game is set to start at 7:10 PM. Fans can catch the action on FDSSO, with warm weather and scattered clouds expected. The Braves, led by manager Brian Snitker, come into this game with a 37-42 record. They have struggled on the road with a 15-27 record. The Mets, managed by Carlos Mendoza, have a strong 47-34 record and a solid 28-12 home record. Grant Holmes will start for the Braves, while Griffin Canning takes the mound for the Mets.
Braves vs Mets Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets
- Venue: Citi Field in New York, NY
- Date: Thursday, June 26, 2025
- Betting Odds: Braves MoneyLine -109, Mets MoneyLine -110
The Braves Can Win If…
The Atlanta Braves are looking to bounce back after a 7-3 loss to the New York Mets. In that game, Drake Baldwin hit a home run, and Ronald Acuña Jr. contributed with two RBIs. Despite the loss, the Braves have shown they can perform well, having won two of their last three games against the Mets.
The Braves have a solid chance to win with their balanced lineup. Matt Olson leads the team with 15 home runs, while Austin Riley adds power with 12 home runs. The team’s on-base percentage ranks 8th in the league, which can help them create scoring opportunities.
Grant Holmes will start on the mound for the Braves, with an ERA of 3.71. He has been reliable this season, providing quality starts in key games. The Braves’ pitching staff ranks 4th in strikeouts, which can help them control the game against the Mets.
The Mets Can Win If…
The New York Mets are coming off a strong win against the Atlanta Braves with a score of 7-3. Juan Soto led the charge with two home runs and two RBIs, while Ronny Mauricio added another home run. Clay Holmes pitched five solid innings, allowing just one run on three hits.
The Mets have shown they can hit well, ranking 5th in slugging percentage at .420 and home runs with 107. Their on-base percentage is 4th in the league at .324, demonstrating their ability to get runners on base. With a batting average of .245, they are 9th, showing consistent hitting across the lineup.
Griffin Canning will start for the Mets, with a 7-3 record and a 3.91 ERA. He has been reliable on the mound, and his performance will be crucial. The Mets’ pitching staff leads the league with a 3.27 ERA and has given up the fewest home runs, only 59, showing their strength in limiting opponents’ scoring opportunities.
Soto’s Historic Night
Juan Soto erased any trace of a slump Wednesday, going deep twice in New York’s 7–3 victory and becoming the youngest player ever to record 27 multi-homer games before turning 27. Since May 30, Soto is hitting .333 with 11 homers, 20 RBIs and a league-leading 24 walks. His performance injected life into a lineup that had managed just two wins in its previous 12 games.
Rotation Matchup
The Mets will hand the ball to Griffin Canning (7–3, 3.91 ERA), fresh off five innings of three-run ball in an 11–4 triumph over Philadelphia. Atlanta counters with Grant Holmes (4–6, 3.71 ERA), who last tossed 5 ⅔ shutout frames in a 7–0 win at Miami. Canning took the loss in his lone career start versus the Braves, while Holmes blanked the Mets over four innings in his only previous outing against them.
Braves’ Rotation Concerns
With All-Star lefty Chris Sale sidelined by a rib injury, Atlanta’s rotation depth is under scrutiny. Rookie Didier Fuentes lasted just 3 ⅓ innings Wednesday, and Atlanta starters have failed to eclipse six innings in five of their last seven turns. Manager Brian Snitker will lean on Holmes to stabilize the staff and keep the division leaders in contention.
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The Lean
The Braves and Mets are set for a close game based on the moneyline odds. The Braves are at -109, while the Mets are at -110. Despite the Mets being the slight favorite, my model projects the Braves to win with a score of 5-4. The Braves’ strong pitching, with the lowest ERA in the league, gives them the edge.
The over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. My model projects a total of 9 runs, suggesting the over is the better pick. Both teams have solid hitting stats, with the Mets ranking 5th in slugging percentage. This indicates a potential for a higher-scoring game.
