New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Picks and Predictions August 13th 2025

New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves August 13th 2025

The Atlanta Braves will take on the New York Mets at Citi Field on Wednesday, August 13, 2025, at 7:10 PM. The Braves hold a record of 51-68 and are ranked 4th in the NL East. They are coming off a loss and have a 5-5 record in their last 10 games.

The Mets have a 64-55 record and sit 2nd in the NL East. They recently won their last game but have struggled with a 2-8 record in their last 10 games. The weather forecast predicts a very hot day with a light breeze and broken clouds. Carlos Carrasco will start for the Braves, while David Peterson will take the mound for the Mets.

Braves vs Mets Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets
• Venue: Citi Field in New York, NY
• Date: Wednesday, August 13, 2025
• Betting Odds: Braves Moneyline +164, Mets Moneyline -195, Braves Runline +1.5 (-124), Mets Runline -1.5 (+103), Total Over 9.0 (-113), Total Under 9.0 (-107)

The Braves Can Win If…

The Atlanta Braves are looking to bounce back from their recent 13-5 loss to the New York Mets. Despite the defeat, Matt Olson and Nacho Alvarez Jr. had solid performances at the plate. Olson went 2-for-5 with two doubles, while Alvarez Jr. contributed two hits and two RBIs.

The Braves have shown they can win with their strong offensive stats. They rank 10th in on-base percentage and 3rd in walks this season. With Matt Olson leading the team in home runs and RBIs, the Braves have the potential to put up runs quickly.

Atlanta’s pitching staff can also be a key factor. They rank 8th in batting average against, which shows their ability to limit opponents’ hits. With Carlos Carrasco starting, the Braves will look to control the game from the mound and support their offense.

The Mets Can Win If…

The New York Mets are coming off a strong win against the Atlanta Braves, with a score of 13-5. Their offense was on fire, collecting 16 hits and six home runs. Francisco Alvarez and Pete Alonso were key players, each hitting two home runs and driving in multiple runs.

The Mets have solid stats that show why they can win. They rank 8th in home runs with 153 and have a slugging percentage of .411, which is 9th in the league. Their pitching is also strong, with an ERA of 3.73, placing them 8th overall.

David Peterson will start for the Mets, and he has been effective with a 2.98 ERA. His ability to keep hitters off balance will be crucial. The Mets’ lineup, featuring power hitters like Pete Alonso, can provide the run support needed to secure another win.

The Lean

The Mets are favored with a moneyline of -195, while the Braves are at +164. The Mets have a better team ERA at 3.73, ranking 8th, compared to the Braves’ 4.29, which ranks 22nd. Given the Mets’ stronger pitching and home advantage, the recommendation is to pick the Mets to win straight up. The model projects a score of Mets 5, Braves 3.

The total for the game is set at 9.0 runs. The Braves’ pitching has struggled with a higher ERA, while the Mets have a solid slugging percentage ranked 9th. Despite this, the projected total score is 8 runs. Therefore, the recommendation is to take the under at 9.0 (-107).

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Pete Alonso, Mets Aim to Take Series From Braves After Historic Night

Pete Alonso made franchise history on Tuesday, becoming the New York Mets all-time home run leader while helping his club snap a seven-game losing streak. Now, the Mets aim to secure their first series win in over two weeks as they host the Atlanta Braves in the second game of their three-game set Wednesday night.

Left-hander David Peterson (7-5, 2.98 ERA) will start for New York against Braves right-hander Carlos Carrasco (2-2, 6.18 ERA).

Mets Offensive Explosion

Alonso homered twice in Tuesday’s 13-5 victory, breaking his tie with Darryl Strawberry atop the Mets’ all-time home run list with his 253rd blast. His first homer sparked an offensive eruption, as New York tied its season high with six home runs. Francisco Alvarez also went deep twice, while Brandon Nimmo and Brett Baty each added one.

The Mets’ top four hitters — Francisco Lindor, Juan Soto, Nimmo, and Alonso — combined to go 7-for-18.

Mets Batting Leaders

Braves Searching for Answers

Atlanta briefly tied Tuesday’s game with a four-run fourth inning, but its pitching woes continued. The Braves have allowed five or more runs in 16 of 24 games since the All-Star break, going 9-15 in that span — the second-worst record in the National League over that stretch.

With a 51-68 record, Atlanta is on pace for its first losing season since 2017. Starter Spencer Strider tied a career-high by allowing eight runs in four innings Tuesday.

Probable Starting Pitchers

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