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New York Mets vs Cleveland Guardians August 5th 2025
The Cleveland Guardians will visit the New York Mets at Citi Field on Tuesday, August 5, 2025. The game will start at 7:10 PM and will be shown on SNY. The Guardians have a record of 57-55 and are ranked second in the AL Central. They have won six of their last ten games and are coming off a win.
The Mets hold a record of 63-50 and are also second in their division, the NL East. They have lost their last two games and have a 4-6 record over their last ten games. The starting pitchers will be Logan Allen for the Guardians and Clay Holmes for the Mets. Weather conditions are expected to be warm with a light breeze and overcast clouds.
Guardians vs Mets Key Information
| Category | Detail |
| Matchup | Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Mets |
| Venue | Citi Field, New York, NY |
| Date | Tuesday, August 5, 2025 (Today) |
| Guardians Moneyline | +163 |
| Mets Moneyline | -194 |
| Guardians Runline | +1.5 (-131) |
| Mets Runline | -1.5 (+110) |
| Total Over | 8.0 (-116) |
| Total Under | 8.0 (-103) |
The Guardians Can Win If…
The Cleveland Guardians are coming off a narrow 7-6 victory against the New York Mets. Slade Cecconi pitched six innings, allowing four hits and two earned runs while striking out six. Gabriel Arias stood out with a home run and four RBIs, showcasing his ability to drive in runs when needed.
The Guardians have shown strength in their pitching, ranking 14th in ERA at 3.87. Their ability to limit home runs, ranked 10th, could play a key role in their success. With José Ramírez leading the offense with a .299 batting average and 23 home runs, the team has a reliable power hitter in the lineup.
Logan Allen will start for the Guardians with a 4.06 ERA and a 7-9 record. The team’s recent performance shows they can win close games. Their balanced lineup and solid pitching give them a chance to secure another win against the Mets.
The Mets Can Win If…
The New York Mets are aiming to bounce back after a close 7-6 loss to the Cleveland Guardians. Pete Alonso was a standout in the game, going 4-for-5 with a home run and four RBIs. With strong performances from players like Alonso, the Mets have the potential to generate significant offense.
The Mets’ hitting stats show they have a solid lineup. They rank 9th in home runs with 139 and 6th in walks with 390. These numbers indicate the Mets have power and patience at the plate, which can lead to scoring opportunities.
On the mound, Clay Holmes will start for the Mets. Holmes has a 3.45 ERA and a 9-6 record this season. His ability to keep runs down can give the Mets an edge in this game against the Guardians.
The Lean
The Mets are favored with a moneyline of -194, while the Guardians are at +163. My model projects the Mets to win with a score of 5-3. The Mets have a stronger batting average and a better ERA, which supports this pick.
The total for the game is set at 8.0 runs, with the over at -116 and the under at -103. My model projects a total of 8 runs, matching the set line. Given the teams’ pitching and hitting stats, the under is a reasonable pick.
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History on the Line: Pete Alonso Eyes Mets’ Homer Record as Surging Guardians Visit
In the midst of a frustrating mid-season slump, the New York Mets and their fans have a chance to witness history on Tuesday night. All eyes will be on slugging first baseman Pete Alonso, who is on the verge of becoming the franchise’s all-time home run king. His historic pursuit will be the main event as the slumping New York Mets continue their three-game interleague series against the visiting and red-hot Cleveland Guardians. It is a matchup defined by the contrast between a team’s collective struggles and the individual brilliance of its superstar.
The Polar Bear’s Historic Pursuit
On Monday night, in a chaotic extra-inning loss, Pete Alonso did what he does best: he hit a towering, game-altering home run. The three-run blast in the sixth inning was the 251st of his career, pulling him to within one of tying the legendary Darryl Strawberry for the most in New York Mets history. It is a monumental achievement for the homegrown talent known affectionately as the “Polar Bear,” a player who has been the heart and soul of the Mets’ offense since his record-breaking rookie season in 2019. Every at-bat he takes now is a must-see event, as fans at Citi Field hold their breath in anticipation of a historic moment.
While the individual accolade is special, Alonso remains focused on his team’s performance. “I think it’d be more concerning if we just kind of got blown out 5-0,” he said after Monday’s loss, in which the Mets rallied to tie the game before losing in the 10th. “But for us to kind of battle back and keep fighting, that’s a lot of good signs.”
The table below provides a snapshot of the two teams as they enter this pivotal interleague series. To review the full box score from their last matchup, you can check the official MLB game results.
| Team | Record | Division Standing | Recent Form (Last 10) |
| New York Mets | 63-50 | 2nd in NL East | 4-6 |
| Cleveland Guardians | 65-49 | 2nd in AL Central | 8-2 |
Cleveland’s Unlikely Playoff Push
While the Mets are focused on history, the Guardians are focused on the present, and their present is looking incredibly bright. After a 10-game losing streak in early July that seemed to derail their season, Cleveland has been one of the best teams in baseball. They are a remarkable 17-7 since July 7, a run that has vaulted them right back into the thick of the American League wild-card race. Their 7-6 extra-inning victory on Monday was another example of their newfound resilience.
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What makes their surge even more impressive is the adversity they have faced. They have been playing without their closer, Emmanuel Clase, and another key starting pitcher, Luis Ortiz, both of whom are on the restricted list due to MLB gambling investigations. They also traded away their former Cy Young winner, Shane Bieber, at the deadline. Despite these massive losses, the team has not missed a beat. “We just need to get in,” said manager Stephen Vogt. “We just want to get in the dance and give ourselves a chance. I love the way our guys are playing. We just need to continue to be us every single day.”
The Pitching Matchup: A Deeper Look
Tuesday’s pitching matchup features two pitchers in very different situations. The Guardians will send out lefty Logan Allen, who is coming off a solid win. The Mets will counter with veteran Luis Severino, who is looking to bounce back from a rough outing. The impact of a historic home run chase on a game’s odds is a key topic in our expert betting guide.
| Pitcher | W-L (2025) | ERA (2025) | Career vs. Opponent |
| Logan Allen (CLE) | 7-9 | 4.06 | First Appearance |
| Luis Severino (NYM) | 8-4 | 3.31 | 1-1, 8.40 ERA |
The Betting Outlook
The scores and odds for this matchup will be tight. The Guardians are the hotter team, but the Mets are at home with their superstar on the verge of making history. For more in-depth analysis of this and other games, you can view all of our MLB previews. To see who our experts are backing, check out our daily MLB picks. To get access to even more premium content and betting tools, you can register for an account today.
