New York Mets vs Cleveland Guardians Picks and Predictions August 6th 2025

New York Mets vs Cleveland Guardians August 6th 2025

The Cleveland Guardians take on the New York Mets at Citi Field. The Guardians have a record of 58-55 and are currently second in the AL Central. They have won their last two games and are 7-3 in their last ten. The Mets, also second in their division, hold a 63-51 record but have lost their last three games, going 3-7 in their last ten.

Gavin Williams will start for the Guardians, bringing a 3.33 ERA and a 6-4 record. The Mets will counter with David Peterson, who has a 2.83 ERA and a 7-4 record. The game is set for August 6, 2025, at 1:10 PM. The weather forecast for the day is mild with a light breeze and overcast clouds. Fans can catch the action on CLEG.

Guardians vs Mets Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Mets
• Venue: Citi Field in New York, NY
• Date: Wednesday, August 6, 2025
• Betting Odds: Guardians +146, Mets -172

The Guardians Can Win If…

The Cleveland Guardians are coming off a narrow win against the New York Mets, taking the game 3-2. Logan Allen pitched five innings, allowing only two earned runs and striking out six batters. Steven Kwan led the offense, going 2-for-4 with a run and an RBI, while C.J. Kayfus added a hit and a run.

The Guardians have shown they can win close games, as demonstrated by their recent victories. Their pitching staff has an ERA of 3.85, ranking 13th in the league, and they have a strong bullpen with 16 blown saves, ranking 5th. Their ability to keep games tight gives them a good chance to win.

Gavin Williams will start for the Guardians, bringing a solid ERA of 3.33. José Ramírez is another key player to watch, with a batting average of .296 and 23 home runs. With their strong pitching and key hitters, the Guardians have a good chance to win this game.

The Mets Can Win If…

The New York Mets are coming off a close 3-2 loss against the Cleveland Guardians. Clay Holmes pitched five innings, allowing three hits and two earned runs while striking out six. Mark Vientos was the standout hitter with a double and a run scored, showing potential for the next game.

The Mets have a strong lineup with power hitters like Pete Alonso and Juan Soto. Alonso has hit 25 home runs this season, ranking first on the team. The team’s on-base percentage is .319, placing them 8th in the league, which shows their ability to get on base and create scoring chances.

On the mound, David Peterson will start for the Mets. He holds a 2.83 ERA, which ranks him among the top pitchers this season. With a WHIP of 1.24, Peterson can keep runners off the bases, giving the Mets a solid chance to control the game.

The Lean

The Mets are favored with a moneyline of -172, and they have a stronger batting and pitching performance compared to the Guardians. The Mets rank higher in batting average and slugging percentage, and they have a better ERA. My model projects the Mets to win with a score of 5-3, so I recommend taking the Mets on the moneyline.

The total for the game is set at 8.0 runs, with the over at -107 and the under at -114. The Mets’ stronger offense and pitching suggest a lower scoring game. My model’s projected total is 8 runs, matching the line. However, given the Mets’ pitching strength, I recommend betting on the under.

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A Tale of Two Months: Surging Guardians Go for Sweep of Slumping Mets

What a difference a month makes. On July 5, the Cleveland Guardians were in the abyss, reeling from a 10-game losing streak and looking like sellers at the trade deadline. On that same day, the New York Mets were sitting comfortably in first place in the National League East. Today, those fortunes have been completely reversed. The red-hot Cleveland Guardians, one of the best teams in baseball over the past month, will look to complete a stunning three-game series sweep of the slumping and reeling New York Mets on Wednesday afternoon at Citi Field. It is a matchup that perfectly illustrates the wild, unpredictable nature of a 162-game season.

The Guardians’ Great Turnaround

The turnaround in Cleveland has been nothing short of remarkable. Since their 10-game losing streak ended on July 6, the Guardians have gone an incredible 18-8, the third-best record in the major leagues during that span. They have surged from six games out of a playoff spot to just 1 1/2 games back of the final American League wild card. Their success has been a total team effort, a combination of dominant pitching and timely, clutch hitting. Tuesday night’s 3-2 victory was a perfect example. They won the game despite not recording a single extra-base hit, thanks to a pair of two-out RBI singles and a lights-out performance from their bullpen, which retired the final 14 Mets batters in order.

The belief in their clubhouse, which never wavered even during the darkest days of their losing streak, is now sky-high. “I think it’s just the belief — I think it starts at the top with Stephen (Vogt, the manager),” said pitcher Kolby Allard. “And some of our player leadership, with Jose (Ramirez) just kind of instilling that belief that we can go out there and beat anybody and hang with anybody.”

The table below provides a snapshot of two teams that have been heading in completely opposite directions since July 6. You can review the full box score from their last matchup in our MLB game results.

The Midsummer Meltdown in Queens

While the Guardians have been surging, the Mets have been in a frustrating free-fall. Since holding the best record in baseball on June 12, the Mets are just 18-26. They have lost seven of their last eight games and have now fallen 2 1/2 games behind the Phillies in the NL East, their largest deficit in months. Their recent losses have been particularly gut-wrenching. On Monday, they battled back from a five-run deficit only to lose in extra innings. On Tuesday, they took an early 2-0 lead, but a brilliant defensive play by the Guardians killed their biggest rally, and their offense went silent for the final seven innings.

Despite the struggles, the players are trying to stay positive. “I really believe in this offense and this team,” said left fielder Brandon Nimmo. “You’re going to have times where things are really tough, but you’ve got to just keep grinding and keep giving it your best each day.” The psychology of a talented team in a deep slump is a key topic for any bettor, one often explored in our expert betting guide.

The Pitching Matchup: A Duel of Aces

Wednesday’s finale features a premier pitching matchup between two of the best young arms in their respective leagues, both of whom are coming off fantastic starts. The Guardians will send out right-hander Gavin Williams (6-4, 3.33 ERA). Williams was dominant in his last outing, tossing six scoreless innings against the Twins. The Mets will counter with their own ace, lefty David Peterson (7-4, 2.83). Peterson has been a model of consistency all season and also allowed just two runs over six innings in his last start. This elite duel will be the main event on the scores and odds board.

The Playoff Picture

This interleague series has massive implications for both MLB teams. A sweep for the Guardians would be another huge step in their improbable comeback and would put them even closer to a playoff spot. A loss for the Mets would be another devastating blow, putting their own postseason position in further jeopardy. For more in-depth analysis of other games, you can view all of our MLB previews. To see who our experts are backing in this fantastic pitching duel, check out our daily MLB picks. To get access to even more premium content and betting tools, you can register for an account today.