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New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies August 26th 2025
The Philadelphia Phillies will take on the New York Mets at Citi Field on Tuesday, August 26, 2025. The game is set to start at 7:10 PM and will be aired on SNY. The Phillies hold the top spot in the NL East with a record of 76-55, while the Mets are in second place with a record of 70-61.
Jesús Luzardo will start for the Phillies, sporting a 12-6 record and a 4.10 ERA. The Mets will counter with Sean Manaea, who has a 1-2 record and a 5.15 ERA. The weather is expected to be warm with a clear sky, making for a pleasant evening of baseball.
Phillies vs Mets Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
- Venue: Citi Field in New York, NY
- Date: Tuesday, August 26, 2025
- Betting Odds: Phillies Moneyline -109, Mets Moneyline -109, Phillies Runline -1.5 (+154), Mets Runline +1.5 (-185), Total Over 8.5 (-106), Total Under 8.5 (-115)
The Phillies Can Win If…
The Philadelphia Phillies recently faced the New York Mets, ending with a 13-3 loss. Despite the outcome, Trea Turner managed a triple, and Brandon Marsh added a double. The Phillies will look to bounce back with key players like Kyle Schwarber, who has 45 home runs this season.
The Phillies have a strong batting lineup, ranking 2nd in batting average at .257. Their on-base percentage is 4th at .326, and they have hit 160 home runs, placing them 10th. With Jesús Luzardo on the mound, who has 12 wins and 12 strikeouts in his last victory, they have a solid chance on the pitching front.
Philadelphia’s lineup includes top hitters like Trea Turner and Bryce Harper, both with impressive batting averages. Turner’s .299 average and Harper’s .263 provide consistent offense. The Phillies’ ability to get on base and drive in runs gives them a strong opportunity to win against the Mets.
The Mets Can Win If…
The New York Mets are coming off a strong 13-3 win against the Philadelphia Phillies. Luis Torrens led the way with a standout performance, going 3 for 5 with 5 RBIs and a home run. Kodai Senga pitched four innings, allowing three earned runs, while the Mets’ offense collected 14 hits.
The Mets have been solid at the plate this season. They rank 5th in on-base percentage at .325 and 8th in slugging percentage at .424. With 176 home runs, they are a top-10 team in power, which could be key in their upcoming game.
Key players like Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor are crucial for the Mets. Alonso leads the team with 29 home runs and 103 RBIs, while Lindor adds 25 homers and 72 RBIs. With Sean Manaea starting, the Mets will look to their offense to support him against the Phillies’ Jesús Luzardo.
The Lean
The moneyline for the game between the Phillies and the Mets is set at -109 for both teams. My model projects the Phillies to win with a score of 5-4. The Phillies have a slightly better batting average and a top-ranked pitching staff in quality starts, which gives them the edge.
The total for the game is set at 8.5 runs. My model projects a total score of 9 runs. Both teams have strong hitting stats, with the Mets ranked 8th in slugging percentage and home runs. This suggests taking the over on the total runs is a good pick..
Stay Ahead of the Diamond
MLB Data & Insights
Mets Look to Continue Clutch Hitting in Rematch vs. Phillies
The New York Mets have been one of the streakiest teams in baseball this season. Early on, their inability to deliver with runners in scoring position cost them games and ground in the NL East race. But lately, the story has flipped.
In Monday’s opener, the Mets thumped the Philadelphia Phillies 13-3, exploding for 14 hits and going 11-for-19 with runners in scoring position. That was their best RISP performance since a 2017 win over the Braves.
Over their past nine games, the Mets are hitting .375 in clutch spots, leading the entire National League. Anyone following MLB picks knows that kind of timely hitting is exactly what separates contenders from pretenders.
Key players sparking the turnaround
Backup catcher Luis Torrens drove in five runs Monday, including a three-run homer that broke the game wide open. Mark Vientos stayed hot with a pair of doubles, raising his average to .387 over the past eight games.
Mets’ offensive surge in August
| Category | Season Average | August |
|---|---|---|
| Batting Avg. w/ RISP | .249 | .351 |
| Runs per Game | 4.5 | 6.2 |
| Team Batting Avg. | .244 | .271 |
The Mets are also 4-0 at Citi Field against Philadelphia this season, hitting a blistering .419 with RISP in those matchups. Fans tracking MLB teams can see just how much home dominance has shifted the dynamic in the division.
Phillies searching for answers
For Philadelphia, the loss was another frustrating outing in Queens. The Phillies went just 1-for-9 with RISP on Monday, wasting early chances to set the tone.
Trea Turner plated a run with a grounder, Alec Bohm added a two-run single, but the offense fizzled late. Bryce Harper, meanwhile, is now 2-for-23 in his last six regular-season games against the Mets in New York.
Even with the slump, the Phillies remain one of the best situational hitting teams in baseball this month, batting .299 with runners in scoring position. For bettors keeping an eye on trends, MLB scores and odds highlight just how volatile this rivalry has become.
Tuesday’s pitching matchup: Luzardo vs. Manaea
Philadelphia hands the ball to left-hander Jesús Luzardo (12-6, 4.10 ERA), who has been on a roll. He’s 4-1 with a 2.48 ERA over his last five starts, including 12 strikeouts against Seattle last week. Luzardo also blanked the Mets over 6 2/3 innings back in June.
The Mets counter with Sean Manaea (1-2, 5.15 ERA), who has hit a rough patch. He’s winless in his last five outings, allowing 17 runs across four starts.
Probable starters breakdown
| Pitcher | Record | ERA | Last Start | Career vs. Opponent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesús Luzardo (PHI) | 12-6 | 4.10 | 6 IP, 1 ER, 12 K vs. SEA | 5-2, 2.63 ERA |
| Sean Manaea (NYM) | 1-2 | 5.15 | 4.2 IP, 4 ER vs. WSH | 2-2, 5.19 ERA |
For those exploring deeper betting angles, the MLB expert betting guide provides insights on how pitchers like Luzardo and Manaea match up historically against divisional rivals.
What’s at stake
The Mets’ resurgence has put pressure on Philadelphia, cutting into the division lead. If New York keeps hitting like this at home, the race could tighten quickly.
For the Phillies, Luzardo offers a chance to reset momentum and prove Monday’s rout was a fluke. But their offense needs to show up in big moments, especially in hostile territory.
With playoff positioning in focus, every at-bat in this series feels like October baseball — and for fans, it’s a perfect time to follow along with the latest MLB teams performance trends and betting outlooks.
