New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants Picks and Predictions August 2nd 2025

Giants vs Mets Prediction: Can Kai-Wei Teng Outduel Senga in Debut?

The San Francisco Giants look to build off Friday’s extra-inning win as they visit the New York Mets at Citi Field on Saturday, August 2, 2025. First pitch is set for 4:10 PM ET and the weather forecast calls for clear skies and a light breeze.

The Giants (+172 ML) will start Kai-Wei Teng in his 2025 MLB debut, while the Mets are heavy -202 favorites behind Kodai Senga (7-3, 2.00 ERA). The total is set at 8.0 runs.

Giants Can Win If…

San Francisco’s bullpen depth and ability to draw walks could be the key on Saturday. Despite trading away Camilo Doval and Tyler Rogers, the Giants pieced together a gritty 4-3 win in extra innings on Friday, snapping a six-game skid.

Kai-Wei Teng, promoted after a solid Triple-A campaign (3.67 ERA), will need to keep the Mets’ bats in check in his first MLB appearance of the year. The bullpen remains well-rested and ready to support him.

“We still have the big pieces; the core group of guys are here,”
— Giants SP Robbie Ray on staying competitive after the trade deadline

Player to Watch: Rafael Devers

Devers leads the Giants with 19 home runs and 73 RBIs. He’ll be crucial if San Francisco wants to keep pace with New York’s firepower.

Key Stat

The Giants are 5th in MLB in team ERA (3.64) and have allowed the fewest home runs (95), a critical factor in keeping this Mets lineup grounded.

Mets Can Win If…

Despite losing four straight, the Mets remain dangerous with one of the most complete rosters in the National League. Kodai Senga has a 2.00 ERA and hasn’t lost in his last seven starts, with the Mets going 7-0 in that stretch.

Their bullpen—retooled at the deadline with Ryan Helsley and others—is deeper and more reliable. Friday’s game saw four relievers pitch, none throwing more than 16 pitches, so they’re fresh.

“Bullpens win championships. That’s what matters,”
— Mets RP Ryne Stanek

Player to Watch: Pete Alonso

Alonso smashed his 23rd homer on Friday and remains a game-changer alongside Juan Soto, who leads the team with 25 homers.

Key Stat

The Mets rank first in fewest home runs allowed and have a 3.48 ERA over their last 10 games, keeping them competitive in tight contests.

Key MLB Betting Trends

Recent Form

• Giants: Just 3-7 in their last 10 games, but Friday’s win snapped a six-game losing streak.
• Mets: 6-4 in their last 10 but currently on a four-game skid.

Check the latest MLB game results to monitor team performance and betting angles.

O/U Trends

• The total has hit under in 6 of the Mets’ last 9 games.
• Giants have gone under in 5 of their last 7.

Run Line Records

• San Francisco is 50-60 ATS this season.
• New York is 58-52 ATS overall, and 31-24 at home.

The Lean

The Mets’ pitching edge, particularly with Senga on the mound, is the clear separator. The Giants are running out a debut starter in Teng, and while their bullpen showed toughness Friday, replicating that effort won’t be easy two days in a row.

Official Pick: Mets -202
Model Score Projection: Mets 5, Giants 3
Lean: Under 8.0 (-108) — given both teams’ strong bullpens and the Mets’ elite starting pitching.

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