New York Mets vs Tampa Bay Rays Picks and Predictions June 13th 2025

New York Mets vs Tampa Bay Rays June 13th 2025

The Tampa Bay Rays are set to take on the New York Mets at Citi Field in New York. This night game is scheduled for Friday, June 13, 2025, at 7:10 PM. Fans can catch the action on SNY as the Rays aim to improve their road record of 13-12.

The Mets have been strong at home this season, with a 27-7 record. Tampa Bay’s Taj Bradley will face New York’s Clay Holmes on the mound. With the weather forecast predicting overcast clouds and a light breeze, conditions are set for an exciting game under the lights.

Rays vs Mets Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Mets
• Venue: Citi Field in New York, NY
• Date: Friday, June 13, 2025
• Betting Odds: Mets -170, Rays +143

The Rays Can Win If…

The Tampa Bay Rays recently played a close game against the Boston Red Sox, losing 4-3. Zack Littell pitched 6 innings, allowing 4 runs on 8 hits while striking out 6. Yandy Díaz was a standout, hitting a home run and driving in 2 runs.

The Rays have a strong chance to win with their impressive stolen base numbers. They rank 1st in the league with 96 stolen bases, which can create scoring opportunities. Their pitching staff also ranks 8th in earned run average, showing they can keep games close.

Key players like Junior Caminero and Yandy Díaz can make a difference. Caminero leads the team with 15 home runs, while Díaz has a .256 batting average. With Taj Bradley starting, the Rays will look to capitalize on his ability to strike out batters and limit walks.

The Mets Can Win If…

The New York Mets head into their next game with momentum from a 4-3 win over the Washington Nationals. Kodai Senga was impressive, allowing only one hit over 5 2/3 innings. Jeff McNeil and Brandon Nimmo contributed with home runs, showing their ability to deliver in key moments.

The Mets have solid stats this season, ranking third in on-base percentage at .330. Their slugging percentage is fifth at .427, and they have hit 89 home runs, ranking sixth in the league. These numbers highlight their offensive strength, which can be crucial in securing another win.

Clay Holmes will start for the Mets, with a strong ERA of 2.94 and a record of 7-3. The Mets’ pitching staff leads the league with a 2.83 ERA and has given up the fewest home runs, only 48. This combination of strong hitting and pitching gives the Mets a good chance to win their upcoming game against the Tampa Bay Rays.

Game Snapshot

New York enters Friday’s opener riding a season-high six-game winning streak after edging Washington 4-3 on Thursday. The victory came at a cost: ace Kodai Senga strained his hamstring while covering first base and will head to the injured list. With Tampa Bay off on Thursday, the Rays will look to build on a 15-6 surge since May 20 when right-hander Taj Bradley (4-5, 4.58 ERA) faces Mets closer-turned-starter Clay Holmes (7-3, 2.95 ERA). Live pricing on this interleague clash is available on the Scores and Stats MLB odds board.

Mets’ Rotation Depth Under the Microscope

Holmes makes just his second start after recording eight saves and a 2.95 ERA over 13 relief appearances. His move to the front of the rotation tests New York’s depth behind Senga, but the league-best 2.79 staff ERA underscores the club’s ability to absorb the loss. For a full breakdown of the Mets’ projected lineup and depth chart, see the Scores and Stats MLB teams hub.

Rays Seek Offensive Consistency

Tampa Bay has scored four or fewer runs in 15 of its last 25 games despite falling just short in Boston on Wednesday. Junior Caminero, Brandon Lowe and Yandy Díaz account for over half of the Rays’ homers, yet the club must find production from the bottom third of the order to sustain a 36-32 record. Bradley will aim to navigate a Mets lineup that “throws everything at you,” per Rays manager Kevin Cash, and keep the series within reach.

The Lean

The Mets are favored with a moneyline of -170, while the Rays are at +143. The Mets have strong pitching, leading the league with a 2.83 ERA and allowing the fewest home runs. The model projects the Mets to win 5-3, making the Mets moneyline a solid pick.

The over/under line is set at 8.0 runs. The Mets’ pitching suggests a lower-scoring game, but both teams have decent hitting stats. The model projects a total of 8 runs, matching the line. Given the Mets’ pitching, the under 8.0 is the recommendation.

Handicapper Spotlight — Jimmy Liu

Premium handicapper Jimmy Liu went 2-0 on MLB moneylines yesterday for a $240 profit, improving his season ML ledger to 7-1 for a +$657 return. Liu’s model locks in the Mets on the moneyline as his featured release, highlighting Holmes’ unfamiliar arm angle and Bradley’s 5.40 road ERA as decisive factors. Follow Liu’s full ticket on the Scores and Stats MLB picks hub.

For deeper insights—park factors, platoon splits and late-inning leverage—consult the Scores and Stats MLB betting guide.

Prediction: Mets 5, Rays 3. Holmes eats innings, New York’s offense capitalizes on a depleted Tampa Bay pen, and Jimmy Liu’s moneyline play pays off as the Mets extend their streak.