New York Mets vs Tampa Bay Rays Picks and Predictions June 14th 2025

New York Mets vs Tampa Bay Rays June 14th 2025

The Tampa Bay Rays head to Citi Field to take on the New York Mets on Saturday, June 14, 2025. The game is set for an afternoon start at 4:10 PM and will be broadcast on SNY. Weather conditions are expected to include light rain with a mild breeze, which could impact play.

The Rays come into this game with a 37-32 record, sitting 5 games back in the AL East. They have performed well on the road with a 14-12 record. The Mets, with a 45-25 record, have been strong at home, boasting a 27-8 record. Starting on the mound for the Rays is Drew Rasmussen, while Tylor Megill takes the mound for the Mets.

Rays vs Mets Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Mets
• Venue: Citi Field in New York, NY
• Date: Saturday, June 14, 2025
• Betting Odds: Mets MoneyLine -138, Rays MoneyLine +117

The Rays Can Win If…

The Tampa Bay Rays recently won against the New York Mets with a score of 7-5. Jonathan Aranda led the way, going 3 for 4 with a home run. Brandon Lowe also contributed with three hits, providing solid support in the lineup.

The Rays have a strong chance to win due to their effective hitting and speed on the bases. They rank first in stolen bases with 96, which can disrupt opposing pitchers. The team’s batting average of .245 ranks them 10th, showing consistent hitting ability.

Drew Rasmussen will start for the Rays with an impressive ERA of 2.22 and a WHIP of 0.90. His performance can keep the Mets’ batters in check. With a solid lineup and strong pitching, the Rays have the tools needed to secure another win.

The Mets Can Win If…

The New York Mets recently played against the Tampa Bay Rays and lost 7-5. Despite the loss, Starling Marte had a strong performance, going 3 for 4 with 3 RBIs. The Mets have shown they can bounce back, as seen in their previous games against the Washington Nationals where they won 4-3 and 5-0.

The Mets have a solid hitting lineup with Pete Alonso leading the team in home runs and RBIs. Alonso’s batting average is .298, and he has hit 17 home runs this season. The team ranks 5th in the league for home runs and slugging percentage, which can give them an edge in their upcoming game.

On the mound, Tylor Megill will start for the Mets. Megill has a 3.76 ERA and has shown consistency in his performances. The Mets’ pitching staff ranks 1st in ERA and home runs given up, which could be crucial in limiting the Rays’ offense.

The Lean

The Mets are the favorite with a moneyline of -138. My model projects the Mets to win with a score of 4-3. The Mets have a strong pitching staff, ranked first in ERA, which gives them an edge over the Rays.

The total for the game is set at 7.0. My model projects a total score of 7 runs. Both teams have solid pitching, with the Mets having the best ERA. This suggests the game will stay under the total of 7.0.

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Rays Aim for Series Win Behind Rasmussen

The Tampa Bay Rays overcame a sloppy performance on Friday night to defeat the New York Mets 7-5, setting themselves up for a potential series victory in Saturday’s middle contest. Despite issuing seven walks, hitting a batter, and committing three errors that led to five unearned runs, Tampa Bay’s explosive offense once again delivered.

The Rays pounded out 13 hits in the win, continuing a red-hot offensive stretch that has seen them go 16-6 over their last 22 games. During that span, they’re averaging a league-best 5.7 runs per game while also leading MLB with 36 stolen bases. The power has been there, too, with 33 home runs hit over the same stretch.

For more insights on teams riding hot streaks like Tampa Bay, visit our daily MLB picks and predictions page.

Aranda, Jansen Power Sixth-Inning Comeback

The turning point in Friday’s contest came in the sixth inning, when Danny Jansen launched a two-run homer to cap a six-run outburst that flipped a 5-1 deficit into a Rays lead they would not relinquish. Jonathan Aranda added to the offensive onslaught with a solo homer and a three-hit game, raising his average to a team-best .322. His All-Star campaign is gaining momentum with every performance.

Rays manager Kevin Cash praised the team’s ability to pressure opponents, noting how critical it is to consistently put the ball in play and force defensive mistakes.

Stay up to date with other impactful player performances on our MLB game previews page.

Rasmussen vs. Megill in Saturday Showdown

Tampa Bay will turn to right-hander Drew Rasmussen, who enters Saturday’s game with a 5-4 record and an impressive 2.22 ERA. He’s coming off a strong outing against Miami in which he allowed just two runs across six innings. This will be Rasmussen’s first career appearance against the Mets.

The Mets will counter with Tylor Megill, who shares an identical 5-4 record and sports a 3.76 ERA. Megill held the Rockies to two runs over five innings in his last start and won his only prior outing against the Rays, allowing two runs in six innings.

For a deeper breakdown of pitching matchups and strategies, explore our expert MLB betting guide.

Mets Let One Slip Away at Home

The loss was a rare setback at Citi Field for New York, who entered Friday with a dominant 27-7 home record and six straight wins. Starter Clay Holmes exited with a 5-1 lead in the sixth inning, but relievers Paul Blackburn and Max Kranick couldn’t hold off Tampa Bay’s surge. Manager Carlos Mendoza explained that Holmes was nearing his pitch limit, and the team wanted to give Blackburn some work with a four-run cushion.

The plan didn’t pan out, and Tampa Bay took full advantage.

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