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Athletics vs Rays Prediction: Springs Faces Former Team in West Sacramento Showdown
The Oakland Athletics host the Tampa Bay Rays on Monday, August 11, 2025, at Sutter Health Park in West Sacramento, CA. While both teams sit near the bottom of their respective divisions, the matchup features intriguing storylines — including rookie sensation Nick Kurtz’s continued quest to break out of his home run slump and Jeffrey Springs facing his former club.
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Key Game Information
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Sport | Baseball (MLB) |
| Teams | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Oakland Athletics |
| Venue | Sutter Health Park — West Sacramento, CA |
| Date | Monday, August 11, 2025 |
| Probable Starters | TB: Ryan Pepiot (RHP) • OAK: Jeffrey Springs (LHP) |
| Weather | Very hot, clear skies, light breeze |
| Betting Odds | TB -105 • OAK -113 • O/U 10.0 (-104/-118) |
Tampa Bay Rays Can Win If…
They turn speed into runs. Tampa Bay leads MLB with 149 stolen bases, a weapon that could pressure an Athletics defense ranked near the bottom of the league. Junior Caminero (32 HR) provides the big bat, while Ha-Seong Kim — fresh off a 2-for-3, HR, 2 RBI day — can ignite the offense from the top.
Ryan Pepiot (3.77 ERA, 1.18 WHIP) has been effective against Oakland in his career (2-0, 3.06 ERA). If he can neutralize Brent Rooker and keep Nick Kurtz in his power drought, the Rays’ offense should have enough to snap their three-game skid.
Oakland Athletics Can Win If…
Jeffrey Springs stays sharp. The lefty (10-7, 3.89 ERA) has allowed just 7 hits in his last 18 innings, and his familiarity with the Rays’ lineup could be an advantage. Offensively, Oakland ranks 5th in batting average (.254) and 4th in slugging (.432), with 211 doubles — a top-3 mark in MLB.
The A’s need Nick Kurtz to break out of his 13-game HR drought. Even without the long ball, his .305 average and 25-game on-base streak make him a constant threat. Brent Rooker remains a key power source, having taken Pepiot deep before.
Key MLB Betting Trends
| Trend Type | Rays | Athletics |
|---|---|---|
| Current Form | Lost 3 straight • 3–7 last 10 | Won 2 straight • 6–4 last 10 |
| Batting Average | .250 (8th) | .254 (5th) |
| Slugging % | .429 (4th) | .432 (4th) |
| ERA Rank | 14th (4.09) | 28th (4.92) |
The Lean
The A’s have been playing better baseball lately, but their shaky pitching staff has struggled all season. With the Rays’ speed game and Pepiot’s track record against Oakland, Tampa Bay has a narrow edge in what should be a high-scoring game.
Pick: Rays ML (-105)
Projected Score: Rays 6, Athletics 5
Total Lean: Over 10.0 — both lineups have the pop to push double-digit runs.
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