Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Picks and Predictions August 28th 2025

Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves August 28th 2025

The Atlanta Braves will visit the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on Thursday, August 28, 2025. The game is set to start at 6:45 PM. The Braves come into this game with a 61-72 record and are currently on a two-game winning streak.

The Phillies hold a 76-57 record and lead the NL East division. However, they are on a three-game losing streak. Both teams have a 6-4 record in their last ten games. The weather forecast for the game is warm with a light breeze and overcast clouds.

Braves vs Phillies Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies
• Venue: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA
• Date: Thursday, August 28, 2025
• Betting Odds: Braves Moneyline +159, Phillies Moneyline -189, Braves Runline +1.5 (-122), Phillies Runline -1.5 (+101), Total Over 9.5 (-107), Total Under 9.5 (-113)

The Braves Can Win If…

The Atlanta Braves are coming off a strong performance against the Miami Marlins, winning 12-1. Joey Wentz pitched well, allowing only one run over 6 2/3 innings. Jurickson Profar and Ozzie Albies led the offense with home runs, driving in a total of seven runs between them.

The Braves have shown they can win with their offense, ranking 8th in on-base percentage this season. They hit five home runs in their recent game, showing their power potential. Their ability to draw walks, ranking 3rd in the league, helps them get runners on base and score runs.

Matt Olson is a key player to watch, leading the team in home runs and RBIs. Ronald Acuña Jr. adds speed and power with a .301 batting average. With Cal Quantrill starting, the Braves will look to support him with their strong lineup against Aaron Nola and the Phillies.

The Phillies Can Win If…

The Philadelphia Phillies are looking to bounce back after their recent game against the New York Mets, where they lost 6-0. Despite the loss, Alec Bohm showed consistency with two hits. Trea Turner and Bryce Harper also contributed with hits, highlighting their potential to spark the offense in the upcoming game.

The Phillies have a strong batting lineup that ranks 3rd in batting average at .256 and 5th in on-base percentage at .325. Kyle Schwarber is a key player with 45 home runs, ranking 2nd in the league. Trea Turner’s batting average of .297 and Bryce Harper’s .267 further add depth to their lineup.

Philadelphia’s pitching staff leads the league in quality starts with 72, showing their ability to keep games competitive. Aaron Nola, despite a challenging season, has the potential to deliver a solid performance. The Phillies will be facing the Braves’ Cal Quantrill, who has struggled with an ERA of 5.51, providing an opportunity for the Phillies’ hitters to capitalize.

The Lean

The Phillies are favored to win with a moneyline of -189. My model projects the Phillies to win 5-4. The Phillies have a better team batting average and a lower ERA, which gives them an edge over the Braves. Based on these factors, the recommendation is to pick the Phillies to win straight up.

The total for the game is set at 9.5 runs. My model projects a total score of 9 runs. Both teams have strong hitting stats, but their pitching could keep the score lower. Therefore, the recommendation is to pick the under 9.5 runs.

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Phillies Ask Aaron Nola to Spark Turnaround vs. Braves

The Philadelphia Phillies return home Thursday in need of a spark after being swept in three games by the Mets, who outscored them 25-8. The skid trimmed Philadelphia’s NL East lead to just four games.

Manager Rob Thomson stressed confidence in his team:
“It’s one series. And I know it’s against the Mets, but admittedly so, we need to play better. But we will. We’ve got a good club — and that’s not going to change.”

But with ace Zack Wheeler sidelined for the season due to a blood clot, the Phillies need Aaron Nola to rediscover his form in the opener of a four-game set against the Atlanta Braves.

Aaron Nola’s pivotal role

Nola is 2-7 with a 6.52 ERA in what has been his most difficult season. He missed three months with ankle and rib injuries and has struggled even when healthy.

His first start back on Aug. 17 against Washington was rough (six runs in 2 1/3 innings), but he rebounded with six solid frames in his latest outing.

Nola vs. Braves (career)

Nola has plenty of history against Atlanta, but he’ll need to lean on that experience with Wheeler out and the Braves surging.

Braves’ bats catch fire

Atlanta enters the series with momentum after scoring 23 runs in its last two games against Miami. Ozzie Albies has led the charge with three homers and nine RBIs in that stretch, while Michael Harris II and Jurickson Profar added big nights of their own.

Manager Brian Snitker credited Albies’ resilience:
“He just keeps a great attitude about it and confidence in himself. Hopefully he can keep it up and finish on a really good note.”

Braves’ offensive surge (last 2 games)

Braves’ rotation turn: Cal Quantrill

Atlanta will start Cal Quantrill, recently claimed off waivers from Miami. In his Braves debut, he allowed three runs over 4 2/3 innings against the Mets.

The Phillies, however, have tagged him before. In two starts this year, he’s allowed 10 runs in just over seven innings.

Keys to the opener

Phillies

• Nola must pitch deep into the game.
• Lineup needs timely hits after scoring only eight runs vs. the Mets.
• Bullpen must protect any lead against Atlanta’s hot offense.

Braves

• Continue riding Albies’ hot bat.
• Support Quantrill with early runs.
• Stay aggressive against Nola, who has struggled with command.

Prediction outlook

Philadelphia has the urgency, but Atlanta has the momentum. If Nola finds his rhythm, the Phillies can flip the script. If not, the Braves’ offense could feast again.