Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles Picks and Predictions August 5th 2025

Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles August 5th 2025

The Baltimore Orioles will travel to Citizens Bank Park to play the Philadelphia Phillies on Tuesday, August 5, 2025. The Orioles are currently in fifth place in the AL East with a record of 51-62. They have lost their last two games and are 6-4 in their last ten. Interim manager Tony Mansolino leads the Orioles, with Dean Kremer set to start on the mound.

The Philadelphia Phillies are first in the NL East with a record of 64-48. They have won their last two games and also hold a 6-4 record in their last ten outings. The Phillies have been strong at home with a 36-20 record. Rob Thomson manages the team, and Taijuan Walker will be their starting pitcher for this game. The weather forecast for the night game indicates overcast clouds, with warm and calm conditions expected.

Orioles vs Phillies Key Information

The Orioles Can Win If…

The Baltimore Orioles are looking to bounce back after a tough 13-3 loss against the Philadelphia Phillies. Despite the defeat, Tyler O’Neill and Jordan Westburg each hit a home run, showing their power at the plate. Starting pitcher Cade Povich had a challenging outing, but he managed to strike out seven batters, which shows his potential to dominate the mound.

The Orioles have some strong stats that could help them win. They rank 9th in home runs with 139 this season, showing they can hit for power. Their slugging percentage is 10th in the league at .409, indicating they can drive the ball for extra bases.

Dean Kremer will start for the Orioles, bringing a solid 4.27 ERA and a WHIP of 1.27. With an 8-7 record, Kremer has shown he can keep the team in games. The Orioles’ lineup includes key hitters like Gunnar Henderson, who has a batting average of .286 and 47 RBIs, providing a strong offensive threat.

The Phillies Can Win If…

The Philadelphia Phillies are coming off a strong performance against the Baltimore Orioles, winning 13-3. Kyle Schwarber led the charge with two home runs and six RBIs. Jesús Luzardo pitched six innings, allowing three runs and striking out seven batters.

The Phillies have a solid team batting average of .254, ranking fourth in the league. They also rank fifth in on-base percentage at .325. Their slugging percentage is .416, placing them seventh, showing their ability to hit for power.

Taijuan Walker will be on the mound for the Phillies, bringing an ERA of 3.82. The team also leads the league in quality starts with 60, indicating consistent pitching performances. With their strong lineup and reliable pitching, the Phillies have a good chance to win this game.

The Lean

The Phillies are favored with a moneyline of -142, while the Orioles are at +120. Given the Phillies’ strong pitching, ranked 9th in ERA, they are likely to win. My model projects a score of Phillies 5, Orioles 4, supporting a pick on the Phillies to win straight up.

The total for the game is set at 9.5 runs. The Orioles have a high ERA of 4.91, ranked 27th, which could lead to more scoring. My model projects a total of 9 runs, suggesting a pick on the under 9.5. This aligns with the Phillies’ solid pitching performance this season.

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The Schwarber Show: MVP Candidate Leads Phillies’ Power Display Against Orioles

With just under two months remaining in the regular season, a legitimate MVP candidate has emerged in the city of Brotherly Love, and his name is Kyle Schwarber. The Philadelphia Phillies’ slugging designated hitter is in the middle of a historic power surge, a one-man wrecking crew who is carrying his team to the top of the National League East. Fresh off another multi-homer masterpiece in the series opener, Schwarber and the potent Philadelphia Phillies will look to continue their offensive onslaught on Tuesday as they continue their three-game series against the visiting Baltimore Orioles.

The Schwarber Show: An MVP Campaign

Kyle Schwarber is not just hot; he is playing on a completely different level than nearly any other hitter in baseball right now. His performance in Monday’s 13-3 rout of the Orioles was a perfect encapsulation of his season. He hit a two-run homer early in the contest to get the scoring started and then delivered the knockout blow with a towering grand slam to cap a massive eight-run sixth inning. With that performance, he now leads the National League in both home runs (40) and RBIs (94), and his .975 OPS is second only to Shohei Ohtani. It is a truly dominant season that has firmly placed him at the center of the NL MVP conversation.

“He’s had a great year,” a beaming Phillies manager Rob Thomson said of his star slugger. “He really has — the home runs, the RBIs, the big hits he’s had for us, the on-base (percentage)… I can understand why everybody loves him, because I do, too.” Schwarber’s value to the Phillies goes beyond just the numbers; he is the emotional and spiritual leader of their lineup, a player whose every at-bat feels like a must-see event.

The statistical comparison of these two clubs shows two teams that are currently in very different places, with the Phillies emerging as a true powerhouse. To review the full box score from their last matchup, you can check the official MLB game results.

More Than a One-Man Show

While Schwarber is the headliner, the Phillies’ offense is far from a one-man show. Their 13-run outburst on Monday was a total team effort that saw five different players go deep. Superstars Bryce Harper and Harrison Bader joined the home run parade, as did role players Edmundo Sosa and Weston Wilson. It was a display of the incredible depth that makes this lineup so dangerous. They can beat teams in a variety of ways, and when they are clicking, they are arguably the most potent offense in the entire league. This ability to get contributions from up and down the roster is what separates good teams from great ones, a key topic often explored in our expert betting guide.

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A Tough Stretch in Baltimore

While the Phillies are celebrating a power surge, the Orioles are just trying to find a way to compete. They have lost four of their last five games, and Monday’s loss was particularly demoralizing. After taking an early lead on home runs from Tyler O’Neill and Jordan Westburg, their pitching staff completely imploded, allowing 12 unanswered runs to close out the game. “I thought we competed well the first five innings,” said interim manager Tony Mansolino. “Once Povich came out of the game… we just weren’t able to give our hitters a chance to have competitive at-bats.”

The Pitching Matchup: A Deeper Look

Tuesday’s game features a pitching matchup between two veterans. The Phillies will send out the versatile Taijuan Walker (3-5, 3.82 ERA), who has shuttled between the rotation and the bullpen this season. He has a fantastic 2.77 career ERA against the Orioles. The Orioles will counter with Dean Kremer (8-7, 4.27), who has been a steady presence in their rotation and has not lost a personal decision in his last eight starts.

The scores and odds for this matchup will heavily favor the home team. For more in-depth analysis of this and other games, you can view all of our MLB previews. To see who our experts are backing, check out our daily MLB picks. To get access to even more premium content and betting tools, you can register for an account today.