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Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles August 6th 2025
The Baltimore Orioles will take on the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. The Orioles have a record of 51-63 and are ranked fifth in the AL East. They are on a three-game losing streak and have gone 5-5 in their last ten games.
The Phillies, with a record of 65-48, sit at the top of the NL East. They have won their last three games and are 6-4 in their last ten. The game is scheduled for Wednesday, August 6, 2025, at 12:35 PM. Weather conditions are expected to be overcast with a light breeze.
Orioles vs Phillies Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: Baltimore Orioles vs. Philadelphia Phillies
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA
- Date: Wednesday, August 6, 2025
- Betting Odds: Orioles Moneyline +134, Phillies Moneyline -158, Orioles Runline +1.5 (-155), Phillies Runline -1.5 (+130), Total Over 8.5 (-104), Total Under 8.5 (-118)
The Orioles Can Win If…
The Baltimore Orioles are looking to bounce back after a 5-0 loss to the Philadelphia Phillies. Despite the score, Dean Kremer pitched six innings with six strikeouts. Jordan Westburg was a bright spot, going 2-for-3 at the plate.
The Orioles have shown power this season, ranking 9th in home runs with 139. Their slugging percentage is 10th in the league at .407. Key players like Jackson Holliday and Gunnar Henderson are expected to lead the charge with their batting skills.
Trevor Rogers will be on the mound for the Orioles. He has an impressive ERA of 1.44 and a WHIP of 0.75. With his strong pitching, the Orioles have a solid chance to secure a win against the Phillies.
The Phillies Can Win If…
The Philadelphia Phillies are coming off a strong 5-0 win against the Baltimore Orioles. In this game, Taijuan Walker pitched six scoreless innings, allowing only four hits. Brandon Marsh and Max Kepler both hit home runs, contributing to the team’s ten hits and five extra-base hits.
The Phillies have been performing well with a .255 team batting average, ranking fourth in the league. They also have a .325 on-base percentage, which is another top-four ranking. Their ability to get on base and hit for power, shown by their 137 home runs, makes them a tough team to beat.
Ranger Suárez will start for the Phillies with a solid 2.68 ERA and an 8-4 record. Suárez’s pitching has been key for the Phillies, who lead the league with 61 quality starts. With their strong hitting and reliable pitching, the Phillies have a good chance to win their upcoming game.
The Lean
The Phillies are favored on the moneyline at -158. The Orioles have a moneyline of +134. The Phillies have a better batting average and on-base percentage, ranking 4th in both. Their pitching is also stronger, with a 3.75 ERA, ranked 9th. My model projects the Phillies to win with a score of 5-3.
The total for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Phillies’ strong pitching and the Orioles’ lower batting average suggest a lower-scoring game. My model projects a total of 8 runs. I recommend taking the under at 8.5 (-118).
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First-Place Phillies Go for Sweep as Trevor Rogers Faces His Kryptonite
The Philadelphia Phillies are playing with the confidence and swagger of a first-place team, and they are beginning to create some valuable separation in the National League East. After two dominant victories to open their series, the Philadelphia Phillies will look to complete a three-game sweep of the visiting and slumping Baltimore Orioles on Wednesday. For the Phillies, it’s a chance to solidify their position atop the division. For the Orioles, it’s about finding a way to stop the bleeding in what has become another difficult season.
The Phillies’ Surge to the Top
The Phillies have taken full advantage of a recent slump by the New York Mets, and their strong play has vaulted them into first place. They have won three straight games and have outscored the Orioles by a combined margin of 18-3 in the first two games of this series. Their offense, which has been inconsistent at times this season, has come to life, with five different players hitting home runs in Monday’s 13-3 rout. The charge has been led by their superstar slugger, Kyle Schwarber, who is in the thick of the NL MVP conversation with a league-leading 40 home runs.
The team’s recent success has the clubhouse buzzing with excitement as they look ahead to a potential fourth straight playoff berth. “The biggest thing is we have a group where we know we can go really far in the playoffs and be where we want to be,” Schwarber said. “It’s a day-by-day challenge. Obviously, we have our goals before that. We want to win our division.” That confidence was on display again on Tuesday, as Brandon Marsh and others provided the power in a 5-0 victory.
The table below provides a snapshot of two teams heading in completely opposite directions.
| Team | Record | Division Standing | Runs Per Game | Team ERA |
| Philadelphia Phillies | 71-51 | 1st in NL East | 5.0 | 3.80 |
| Baltimore Orioles | 50-74 | 5th in AL East | 4.1 | 5.10 |
The Rogers Conundrum: An Ace vs. His Kryptonite
While the Orioles are struggling as a team, their starting pitcher for Wednesday’s game, Trevor Rogers (4-2, 1.44 ERA), has been one of the best pitchers in baseball over the past month. The left-hander has been absolutely dominant in his last two starts, throwing a combined 15 shutout innings while allowing just five total hits. He has been the one undeniable bright spot for a Baltimore team in the midst of a rebuild. “I think the sky’s the limit for the guy,” said interim manager Tony Mansolino. “He has to continue to work… but we love right where he’s at right now.”
However, Rogers will have to overcome his own personal house of horrors on Wednesday. Throughout his career, he has been inexplicably terrible against the Philadelphia Phillies. In 11 career starts against them, he has a dismal 1-6 record with a sky-high 6.71 ERA. It is a shocking statistical anomaly for a pitcher of his talent. This matchup presents a classic conundrum: does his current hot streak outweigh his career-long struggles against this specific opponent? How to navigate these kinds of conflicting statistical trends is a key topic for any bettor, one often explored in our expert betting guide.
A Season of Frustration in Baltimore
The Orioles’ 2025 campaign has not gone as planned. After showing signs of progress in recent years, they have taken a step back this season, a reality that is beginning to set in for their veteran players. “We definitely had higher expectations for where we’d be at this time at the beginning of the year,” said All-Star catcher Adley Rutschman. Their young stars have also hit a wall, as both Colton Cowser and Jackson Holliday are in the midst of deep slumps at the plate.
The Pitching Matchup: A Deeper Look
Wednesday’s game features a fantastic duel between two of the best left-handers in the National League. The Phillies will send out their own ace, Ranger Suarez (8-4, 2.68 ERA), who has been a model of consistency all season.
| Pitcher | W-L (2025) | ERA (2025) | Career vs. Opponent |
| Trevor Rogers (BAL) | 4-2 | 1.44 | 1-6, 6.71 ERA |
| Ranger Suarez (PHI) | 8-4 | 2.68 | 0-1, 3.38 ERA (3 starts) |
The scores and odds for this matchup will be fascinating. For more in-depth analysis of this and other games, you can view all of our MLB previews. You can also review the most recent MLB game results to see their latest form. To see who our experts are backing, check out our daily MLB picks. To get access to even more premium content and betting tools, you can register for an account today.
