Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red Sox Picks and Predictions July 22nd 2025

Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red Sox MLB Tue, Jul 22, 17:45 pm.
Philadelphia Phillies
ML: -213
0
0
Boston Red Sox
ML: 165
Last Updated on

The Boston Red Sox will take on the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on Tuesday, July 22, 2025. The game is set to start at 6:45 PM and will be broadcast on NSPPH. The weather forecast predicts a warm evening with a light breeze and scattered clouds, creating a pleasant atmosphere for this night game.

The Red Sox, managed by Alex Cora, enter the game with a 54-48 record. They hold a road record of 22-28. Richard Fitts will start for Boston, bringing an ERA of 4.28. Meanwhile, the Phillies, led by Rob Thomson, have a 57-43 record and a strong home record of 32-18. Cristopher Sánchez will take the mound for Philadelphia, boasting an ERA of 2.50. Fans can expect a competitive game between these two teams.

Red Sox vs Phillies Key Information

  • Sport: Baseball
  • Teams: Boston Red Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies
  • Venue: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA
  • Date: Tuesday, July 22, 2025
  • Betting Odds: Red Sox Moneyline +168, Phillies Moneyline -200, Red Sox Runline +1.5 (-124), Phillies Runline -1.5 (+104), Total Over 8.5 (-114), Total Under 8.5 (-106)

The Red Sox Can Win If…

The Boston Red Sox recently played against the Philadelphia Phillies, losing 3-2. Despite the loss, the Red Sox showed strong pitching from Walker Buehler, who pitched seven innings, giving up only one earned run. Jarren Duran stood out with a home run, contributing to the team’s offense.

Boston’s hitting stats show why they can win. They rank first in doubles with 205 and fifth in slugging percentage at .429. These numbers indicate their ability to make impactful hits and score runs.

The Red Sox have strong players like Trevor Story and Alex Bregman. Story leads the team with 15 home runs, while Bregman has a batting average of .292. With these key players, Boston has the potential to win their next game.

The Phillies Can Win If…

The Philadelphia Phillies are coming off a close 3-2 win against the Boston Red Sox. Zack Wheeler pitched six innings, striking out ten batters. Bryce Harper led the offense with two doubles, helping the team secure the victory.

The Phillies have a strong batting lineup. They rank 6th in batting average and 4th in on-base percentage this season. Kyle Schwarber, with 32 home runs, is a key player to watch.

Cristopher Sánchez will start for the Phillies. He has an impressive 2.50 ERA and an 8-2 record. His solid performance on the mound gives the Phillies a good chance to win.

The Lean

The Phillies are favored with a moneyline of -200 against the Red Sox’s +168. The Phillies have a better on-base percentage and more quality starts, suggesting they can control the game. My model projects the Phillies to win 5-3, making them the recommended pick to win straight up.

The total for the game is set at 8.5 with the over at -114 and the under at -106. Both teams have solid pitching, with ERAs ranked in the top 10. My model predicts a total score of 8, so the recommendation is to take the under.

sas logo

Stay Ahead of the Diamond

MLB Data & Insights

Cristopher Sanchez Looks to Continue Dominant Run as Phillies Host Red Sox

The Philadelphia Phillies have a friendly competition brewing in their starting rotation, and on Tuesday night, it’s Cristopher Sanchez’s turn to try and one-up his teammates. After Zack Wheeler’s dominant performance in the series opener, the Philadelphia Phillies will turn to their own red-hot lefty as they look to clinch a series victory against the visiting Boston Red Sox.

The Sanchez Standard

Cristopher Sanchez (6-2, 2.79 ERA) may have been an All-Star snub, but he is pitching like one of the best in the league. The left-hander has allowed two runs or fewer in each of his last nine starts and has a sparkling 1.27 ERA in the month of July. His development has been a massive boost for the Phillies.

“I’m just so proud of (Sanchez) from where he started and where he’s at right now,” manager Rob Thomson said. “Not just stuff, but command, poise and composure.”

After Wheeler’s 10-strikeout performance on Monday, the ace had a simple challenge for his teammate: “Hopefully Sanchy can beat me tomorrow.”

A baseball player in a blue jersey with "PHILLY" written prominently celebrates on the field, with a blurred crowd in the background.

Boston’s Baffled Bats

The Red Sox offense is in a deep funk. They are coming off a 3-2 extra-inning loss where they left eight runners on base and went just 1-for-10 with runners in scoring position. Their lineup is struggling with strikeouts, with five different players fanning at least twice in the loss.

“We had our chances, we didn’t cash in,” a frustrated Boston manager Alex Cora said.

A Duel of Opposing Trajectories

Tuesday’s pitching matchup features two right-handers in very different places. While Sanchez has been dominant for the Phillies, the Red Sox will counter with rookie Richard Fitts (1-3, 4.28). Fitts is coming off a major milestone, having earned his first career major league win in his last start. “He gives us a chance to win almost every time,” Cora said of his young pitcher. This pitching duel will be a key focus on the scores and odds board.

The Phillies won Monday’s game in bizarre fashion, scoring the winning run without a hit. How teams find ways to win is a key topic in our expert betting guide. For two MLB teams with playoff aspirations, this is a key series. To see who our experts think will win, check out our daily MLB picks.