Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs Picks and Predictions June 10th 2025

Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs June 10th 2025

The Chicago Cubs travel to Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies on Tuesday, June 10, 2025. This night game is set to start at 6:45 PM and will be broadcast on MARQ. The weather forecast predicts light rain with a mild breeze, which might affect gameplay.

The Cubs, led by manager Craig Counsell, hold a 40-26 record this season. They have performed well both at home and on the road, with a 20-15 road record. The Phillies, managed by Rob Thomson, have a 38-28 record and are 4 games behind in the NL East. At home, they have a strong 20-12 record. Starting for the Cubs is Colin Rea, while Mick Abel takes the mound for the Phillies.

Cubs vs Phillies Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies
• Venue: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA
• Date: Tuesday, June 10, 2025
• Betting Odds: Phillies MoneyLine -121, Cubs MoneyLine +101

The Cubs Can Win If…

The Chicago Cubs are coming off a close 4-3 loss to the Philadelphia Phillies. In that game, Kyle Tucker and Ian Happ each hit a home run, showing their power at the plate. Despite the loss, the Cubs’ ability to hit home runs remains a key strength.

The Cubs’ batting stats show they are a top team in the league. They rank 2nd in batting average at .262 and 3rd in on-base percentage at .335. Their ability to get on base and hit home runs, with 83 homers this season, makes them a threat in any game.

Colin Rea will start for the Cubs, bringing a solid ERA of 3.59. His performance can help keep the game within reach for the Cubs’ strong hitters. With players like Seiya Suzuki and Pete Crow-Armstrong, who both have 53 RBIs, the Cubs have the potential to score big and secure a win.

The Phillies Can Win If…

The Philadelphia Phillies recently secured a 4-3 win against the Chicago Cubs. Zack Wheeler pitched six solid innings, allowing only one run and striking out seven. Nick Castellanos, J.T. Realmuto, and Otto Kemp led the offense with multiple hits each, contributing to the team’s 16-hit performance.

The Phillies have strong stats this season that could lead them to another win. They hold a .254 batting average, ranking 6th in the league, and have an on-base percentage of .330, placing them 5th. Their pitching staff has delivered 586 strikeouts, ranking 2nd, which can be a key factor in controlling the Cubs’ lineup.

Mick Abel will start for the Phillies, bringing an impressive ERA of 0.79 and a WHIP of 0.71. His ability to limit base runners gives the Phillies a solid chance to keep the Cubs’ scoring low. With Kyle Schwarber and Trea Turner leading the lineup, the Phillies have the offensive power to support Abel and aim for another victory.

The Lean

The Phillies are favored with a moneyline of -121, while the Cubs are at +101. The Phillies have a stronger batting average and on-base percentage, ranking 2nd and 3rd, respectively. The Cubs’ pitching has a higher ERA at 4.04, ranked 21st. Given these factors, the recommendation is to pick the Phillies to win. The model projects the Phillies to win with a score of 5-4.

The over/under line is set at 9.5. Both teams have shown strong offensive capabilities, with the Phillies ranking 4th in slugging percentage and the Cubs ranking 6th in batting average. Additionally, both teams have had their pitching challenges, with the Phillies having a higher ERA. The model projects a total of 9 runs, so the recommendation is to take the under 9.5.

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Phils’ Mick Abel Looks to Continue Impressive Career Start vs. Cubs

Philadelphia Phillies rookie Mick Abel has made quite an impression in a short amount of time! This Tuesday, Abel gets the ball again as the Philadelphia Phillies continue their three-game home series against the Chicago Cubs.

In his first two career starts, Abel (1-0, 0.79 ERA) has been lights out, allowing just one run in 11 1/3 innings with 11 strikeouts and zero walks. He yielded one run and three hits over 5 1/3 innings in a no-decision against the Toronto Blue Jays last Wednesday. “I wouldn’t say I had my greatest stuff today,” the 23-year-old right-hander admitted, “but I think I did a pretty good job.” His major league debut was even more stellar, as he fired six shutout innings and struck out nine in a 1-0 win over the Pittsburgh Pirates on May 18.

Phillies Riding Momentum After Comeback Win

The Phillies would love to see Abel mimic the dominant outing from Zack Wheeler in Monday’s series opener. The Philadelphia ace logged six innings and allowed just one run and three hits, striking out seven in an eventual no-decision. After Wheeler’s departure, the Phillies found themselves down 3-2 in the 11th inning before rallying dramatically to win 4-3 in the bottom half on Brandon Marsh’s bases-loaded hit.

Rookie Otto Kemp recorded the first three hits of his career, highlighting the Phillies’ 16-hit attack. Philadelphia manager Rob Thomson was impressed, saying, “He’s looked comfortable. He’s got great composure.” This clutch effort, combined with strong performances from Wheeler and Nick Castellanos (three hits), helped Philadelphia secure just their second win in 11 games. “It was a big win for us,” Marsh said. “We’ve just got to keep the momentum rolling.”

Cubs Search for Offense Against Rea

Meanwhile, Chicago has lost four of its past six games and managed only five hits on Monday. Home runs by Kyle Tucker and Ian Happ provided their only offense through regulation before Pete Crow-Armstrong delivered a run-scoring double in the 11th. “We had five hits, so there wasn’t a lot of offense tonight,” Chicago manager Craig Counsell said. “We had some big swings… But ultimately, that means not a lot of action on the bases, not a lot of pressure innings. And that eventually came back to bite us tonight.”

The Cubs will give the ball on Tuesday to Colin Rea (4-2, 3.59 ERA). The right-hander tossed 5 1/3 scoreless innings in his most recent outing, a 7-1 win over the Washington Nationals on Thursday. Rea gave up just five hits and a walk in that contest, earning the win despite not striking out any of the 22 batters he faced. The Phillies are expected to have a lineup heavy with right-handed batters against Rea, who is 1-2 with a 2.45 ERA in seven career games (five starts) versus Philadelphia. He previously got a win against the Phillies on April 25 when he threw five scoreless innings and fanned seven.

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