NFL Previews 
MLB Previews 
NBA Previews 
NHL Previews 
Soccer Previews 
Prediction 
Odds 
Last Recap 
Game Picks 
Top Handicapper 
Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs June 11th 2025
The Chicago Cubs will take on the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday, June 11, 2025. The game is set for an afternoon start at 1:05 PM and will be broadcast on MLBN. The weather forecast predicts a mild day with scattered clouds and a light breeze blowing in.
The Cubs, led by manager Craig Counsell, enter the game with a 41-26 record. They have performed well on the road with a 21-15 record. The Phillies, managed by Rob Thomson, hold a 38-29 record and are currently 5 games back in the NL East. Their home record stands at 20-13. Starting on the mound for the Cubs is Ben Brown, while Jesús Luzardo will pitch for the Phillies.
Cubs vs Phillies Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA
- Date: Wednesday, June 11, 2025
- Betting Odds: Phillies MoneyLine -119, Cubs MoneyLine +101
The Cubs Can Win If…
The Chicago Cubs secured a win against the Philadelphia Phillies with an 8-4 victory in their most recent game. Ian Happ was a standout performer, hitting two home runs and driving in three runs. Dansby Swanson and Reese McGuire also contributed with solid performances at the plate.
The Cubs’ batting stats show why they can win. They rank 3rd in batting average at .258 and slugging percentage at .445. Their power is evident with 94 home runs, placing them 3rd in the league.
Seiya Suzuki leads the team with 16 home runs and 56 RBIs. Pete Crow-Armstrong is not far behind with 17 home runs. With these key players, the Cubs have a strong lineup capable of producing runs.
The Phillies Can Win If…
The Philadelphia Phillies are looking to bounce back after a 4-8 loss to the Chicago Cubs. Despite the loss, the Phillies showed strong hitting with 10 hits, including a home run by Max Kepler. Brandon Marsh had a perfect day at the plate, going 2-for-2 with a double, showing that the lineup has the potential to produce runs.
The Phillies have some solid stats that suggest they can win this game. They rank 6th in batting average with .253 and have a strong on-base percentage at .327, ranking 7th. Their pitching staff is also effective in getting strikeouts, ranking 2nd with 627 strikeouts this season, which can be a key factor in shutting down the Cubs’ offense.
Starting pitcher Jesús Luzardo is set to take the mound for the Phillies. Luzardo has a 5-2 record and can keep the game under control with his ability to strike out batters. With the support of hitters like Kyle Schwarber, who has 20 home runs, the Phillies have a good chance to secure a win at home.
The Lean
The Phillies are the favorites with a moneyline of -119. The Cubs have a moneyline of +101. My model projects the Phillies to win with a score of 5-4. The Phillies’ better batting average and on-base percentage give them an edge.
The over/under line is set at 9.0. My model projects a total score of 9 runs. Given both teams’ offensive stats and pitching ranks, the total score is likely to be close to the line. Therefore, the recommendation is to take the over.
Dive into Advanced MLB Metrics
Subscribe Today
A Tale of Two Pitchers in Series Finale
When they meet for the deciding game of their series on Wednesday, the pitching matchup will tell a compelling story. The visiting Chicago Cubs and the Philadelphia Phillies are sending starters to the mound who are trending in completely opposite directions.
Brown’s Ascent for the Cubs
Chicago’s Ben Brown (3-4, 5.37 ERA) is hitting his stride at the perfect time. The 25-year-old right-hander has been lights out in his last two starts, allowing just two total runs over 13 innings and significantly lowering his ERA. He was particularly sharp in a tough-luck loss against Detroit, where he went toe-to-toe with a Cy Young winner.
“Ben can go toe to toe stuff-wise with anybody,” Cubs manager Craig Counsell said. “That was Ben’s best fastball of the year.” He’ll be looking for a measure of revenge against the Phillies, the very team that drafted him, after they roughed him up earlier this season.
Luzardo’s Search for Answers
On the other side of the diamond, Phillies’ starter Jesus Luzardo (5-2, 4.46 ERA) is in a shocking and dramatic slump. After a fantastic start to the year, his ERA has more than doubled in his last two games, where he’s been tagged for a staggering 20 earned runs. The latest scores and odds reflect the team’s recent struggles.
“There’s something obvious that we’re missing,” a candid Luzardo admitted. “The first 11 starts are lights out, and then the next two are 20 earned runs… It has to happen fast.” He’ll try to get back on track against a Cubs team he has historically handled well, boasting a 3-0 career record against them.
Cubs Find Their Power Stroke
Chicago comes into the finale with some real momentum after an 8-4 victory on Tuesday that was powered by four home runs. Ian Happ has suddenly caught fire, launching two of those homers. Incredibly, he has more home runs on this road trip (four) than he had all season prior to it (three). The bullpen was also a huge factor, delivering 4 2/3 scoreless innings to lock down the win.
“It’s huge,” Happ said of the bullpen’s effort. “They give up any more runs. They give us a chance to add on.”
Philadelphia’s Power Outage
The Phillies find themselves in a deep slide, having lost 10 of their last 12 contests. The team’s power has vanished, with key slugger Kyle Schwarber hitting just .114 this month and superstar Bryce Harper out with a wrist injury. Finding a way to win without them is the team’s biggest challenge, a topic often covered in our expert betting guide.
Manager Rob Thomson remains hopeful. “I think (the power) will come,” he said. “We’re just going through a stretch where we’re not getting the ball in the air… It’ll come.” For those looking for an edge on this game, you can see our daily MLB picks to see who the pros are backing.
