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Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds July 4th 2025
The Cincinnati Reds will take on the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. The game is scheduled for Friday, July 4, 2025, at 1:05 PM. Fans can catch the action on FDSOH, with the weather forecast predicting a mild day and clear skies.
The Reds, managed by Terry Francona, have a season record of 45-42. They are 7 games behind in the NL Central. On the mound, Andrew Abbott will start with a strong ERA of 1.79. The Phillies, led by Rob Thomson, hold a 51-36 record. Jesús Luzardo will start for the Phillies, bringing a 4.06 ERA into the game.
Reds vs Phillies Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA
- Date: Friday, July 4, 2025
- Betting Odds: Reds Moneyline +138, Phillies Moneyline -163, Reds Runline +1.5 (-156), Phillies Runline -1.5 (+130), Total Over 8.5 (-102), Total Under 8.5 (-119)
The Reds Can Win If…
The Cincinnati Reds enter the game with momentum after an 8-4 win over the Boston Red Sox. Christian Encarnacion-Strand led the way with a home run and four RBIs. Nick Martinez pitched 6 2/3 innings, allowing four runs, which helped secure the win.
Key stats show the Reds’ potential to win. They rank 6th in doubles with 143 this season. Their pitching staff has a strong batting average against of .235, which ranks 6th in the league.
Andrew Abbott will start for the Reds, boasting an impressive ERA of 1.79. Elly De La Cruz remains a key player, with a batting average of .275 and 18 home runs. This combination of strong pitching and hitting gives the Reds a solid chance to win.
The Phillies Can Win If…
The Philadelphia Phillies recently secured a 5-1 win against the San Diego Padres. Cristopher Sánchez led the way with a strong pitching performance, allowing only one run over seven innings. Max Kepler and Brandon Marsh each hit home runs, providing the offensive support needed for the victory.
The Phillies have a solid hitting lineup, ranking 4th in batting average at .256 and 3rd in on-base percentage at .328. Kyle Schwarber is a key player, with 26 home runs and 58 RBIs, leading the team in both categories. Their ability to get on base and hit for power makes them a threat in any game.
Philadelphia’s pitching staff is also a strength, with a 3.71 ERA ranking 9th in the league. They lead the league with 48 quality starts, showing consistency from their starters. Jesús Luzardo, with a 7-4 record, will be on the mound, looking to add another win for the Phillies.
The Lean
The Phillies are favored with a moneyline of -163. The Reds have a moneyline of +138. My model projects the Phillies to win with a score of 5-4. The Phillies have a better batting average and on-base percentage, which supports this pick.
The total for the game is set at 8.5 runs. My model projects a total of 9 runs. Both teams have solid hitting stats, so I recommend taking the over at 8.5 (-102). The Phillies’ strong pitching might limit runs, but the Reds’ offense can push the total over.
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An Elite Pitching Duel as Confident Reds Visit Phillies
Two confident National League contenders will clash on Friday afternoon as the Cincinnati Reds visit the Philadelphia Phillies to open a three-game series. The matchup is highlighted by a premier duel on the mound, featuring two of the best left-handed starting pitchers in the league.
The Abbott Factor
The Cincinnati Reds are riding high after a stunning comeback victory in Boston on Wednesday, where they scored eight runs in the final three innings. They will look to carry that momentum into this series as they hand the ball to their ace, Andrew Abbott (7-1, 1.79 ERA). Abbott is having a spectacular, All-Star caliber season, but the 26-year-old is still focused on improving. After a high pitch count in his last start, he knows he needs to be more efficient.
“You want to stay around 15 pitches (per inning),” Abbott said. “You’ve just got to keep your foot down and keep grinding for the team.”
The Phillies’ Pitching Philosophy
The Philadelphia Phillies have been carried by their own dominant starting rotation. They will counter with lefty Jesus Luzardo (7-4, 4.06 ERA), who explained the mindset of the team’s excellent pitching staff.
“Every time we go out there, we don’t want to give up any runs,” Luzardo said. “So it doesn’t matter if we score 10 or if we don’t score any, our mentality never changes.” That consistent approach is a key topic in our expert betting guide.
A Premier Lefty Duel
This series opener is a treat for fans of good pitching. The matchup between the rising star Abbott and the veteran Luzardo is one of the best of the weekend and will be a major focus on the scores and odds board. Both pitchers will have to be at their best against two talented lineups.
For two MLB teams with playoff aspirations, this series is an important test. To see which lefty our experts think will lead his team to victory, check out our daily MLB picks.
