Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds Picks and Predictions July 6th 2025

Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds July 6th 2025

The Cincinnati Reds are set to take on the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on Sunday, July 6, 2025. The game will start at 1:35 PM and will be broadcast on FDSOH. Fans can expect a warm afternoon with a light breeze and overcast clouds.

Leading the Reds is manager Terry Francona, while Rob Thomson manages the Phillies. The Reds have a season record of 46-43, while the Phillies stand at 52-37. On the mound, Chase Burns will start for the Reds with an ERA of 13.50. Zack Wheeler will pitch for the Phillies, boasting an ERA of 2.27.

Reds vs Phillies Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies
• Venue: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA
• Date: Sunday, July 6, 2025
• Betting Odds: Reds Moneyline +190, Phillies Moneyline -228, Reds Runline +1.5 (-107), Phillies Runline -1.5 (-112), Total Over 8.5 (-121), Total Under 8.5 (+100)

The Reds Can Win If…

The Cincinnati Reds recently lost to the Philadelphia Phillies 5-1. Despite the loss, Nick Lodolo had a strong performance with 8 strikeouts over 6 innings. Will Benson showed power with a home run, and Santiago Espinal contributed with two singles.

The Reds have a solid batting lineup that can make a difference. Elly De La Cruz leads the team with 18 home runs and a .279 average. The team ranks 6th in doubles with 147, showing they can hit for extra bases.

The Reds’ pitching staff has been effective at limiting opponents’ batting averages to .236, ranking 8th. Although Chase Burns struggled in his last outing, the Reds have 35 quality starts this season. With their ability to bounce back, the Reds have the tools to win this game.

The Phillies Can Win If…

The Philadelphia Phillies secured a 5-1 win against the Cincinnati Reds in their most recent game. Ranger Suárez pitched five solid innings, allowing just one run and striking out six. Kyle Schwarber and Alec Bohm each hit home runs, contributing to the team’s strong offensive performance.

The Phillies have a batting average of .256, ranking fourth in the league. Their on-base percentage is .328, placing them third. These stats show their ability to get on base and create scoring chances, which can be key to winning games.

Zack Wheeler will start for the Phillies with an impressive ERA of 2.27 and a WHIP of 0.91. His strong pitching can shut down opposing batters and keep the game in control. With Wheeler on the mound and their solid hitting, the Phillies have a good chance to win the next game.

The Lean

The Phillies are favored on the moneyline at -228. They have a strong batting average of .256, ranked 4th, and an earned run average of 3.73, ranked 9th. The Reds have a batting average of .248, ranked 9th, and an earned run average of 3.96, ranked 17th. My model projects the Phillies to win with a score of 5-3. The recommendation is to pick the Phillies to win straight up.

The total for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Phillies have given up 90 home runs, ranked 6th, while the Reds have given up 109 home runs, ranked 14th. Both teams have shown the ability to score, but the pitching stats suggest a lower-scoring game. My model projects a total of 8 runs. The recommendation is to take the under 8.5 runs.

Crush Your MLB Draft

Unlock Pro Projections

Get Free Trial

A Master vs. Apprentice Duel as Wheeler, Phillies Face Reds’ Prospect Burns

It is a classic “master vs. apprentice” showdown on the mound in Philadelphia on Sunday afternoon. The Philadelphia Phillies will send their veteran ace, Zack Wheeler, to the hill as they look to win their series against the Cincinnati Reds and their top pitching prospect, Chase Burns, in a fantastic rubber match.

The Wheeler Masterclass

Zack Wheeler (8-3, 2.27 ERA) is in the middle of one of the most dominant stretches of his career. The reigning NL Cy Young runner-up was sensational in June, posting a microscopic 0.58 ERA. He capped the month with a brilliant performance, tossing eight scoreless innings with 10 strikeouts against the Padres.

“I don’t think I’ve had a pitcher that… has had a month like that,” said Phillies manager Rob Thomson. “He was pretty much dominant the whole month… He had it all.”

The Burns Bounce-Back

While Wheeler is at the peak of his powers, the Reds’ rookie, Chase Burns (0-1, 13.50 ERA), is looking to bounce back from a rude awakening. After an electric MLB debut, Burns was shelled for seven runs while recording only one out in his second start against the Red Sox last week. The Reds believe he may have been tipping his pitches and are hoping they have the issue corrected. This matchup against an established ace is a huge test for the 22-year-old.

Philly’s Friendly Competition

Wheeler is just one part of a Phillies rotation that is pushing itself to be great. Their starters have a friendly internal competition to one-up each other with every outing. “It’s great competition,” said fellow Phillies ace Ranger Suarez. “I think that’s what drives us to be better. We look at each other. We watch each other.” The value of a dominant starting rotation is a key topic in our expert betting guide. This pitching matchup is the main event on the scores and odds board.

For two MLB teams looking to win a key series, the focus will be on the mound. To see who our experts think will win this fantastic duel, check out our daily MLB picks.